CT Rain Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Yep, and I thought it was a lock for AN about 3 weeks ago. Funny how this pattern shook out. Thank you Pacific. It's been a very unstable longwave pattern too... not a surprise given the time of year. Obviously still a lot to sort out but the ridging in the EPO domain continues to be good news down the line. We'll need some luck to get some snow in here but odds are definitely better than climo for measureable snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Ryans got snowflakes on the online/ on air forecast for Sunday Yup I have rain showers on Saturday and rain/snow showers for Sunday. 44 for the high Saturday and 34 for the high Sunday. We'll see... pretty low confidence. Models have been all over the place last 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 It's been a very unstable longwave pattern too... not a surprise given the time of year. Obviously still a lot to sort out but the ridging in the EPO domain continues to be good news down the line. We'll need some luck to get some snow in here but odds are definitely better than climo for measureable snow. Yeah a very progressive one at that. The cold shots overall have won the battle....I hope it continues in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Jeez, everyone is in the tropics and we struggled to break 40 in the upper Pioneer Valley. Raw. 42 and the sheet drizzle continues. Feels like November though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 I like Will and Ryan's comments. Unstable pattern is probably the best way of stating it. I like this pattern. Sunny, I think for Thanksgiving the focus isn't on the major storm a few models have shown...they seem to be doing this to some degree with almost every event in the longer ranges but then back off as it approaches. I'm expecting that may be the case here too so we don't end up with this major system but instead something less dramatic and as a result colder. This may not be the winter of the epic storms we've been seeing over the last several years to some degree or another. I could see this easily being a winter with faster moving .3 to .6" QPF type events but coming at us in rapid fashion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 I like Will and Ryan's comments. Unstable pattern is probably the best way of stating it. I like this pattern. Sunny, I think for Thanksgiving the focus isn't on the major storm a few models have shown...they seem to be doing this to some degree with almost every event in the longer ranges but then back off as it approaches. I'm expecting that may be the case here too so we don't end up with this major system but instead something less dramatic and as a result colder. Usually models that far out show something crazy anyways so I'm not buying into a big storm on T-day just yet. I really hope we get nothing because I don't want to be sitting in traffic for 2+ hours (and I know others will be sitting in it longer). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 I like Will and Ryan's comments. Unstable pattern is probably the best way of stating it. I like this pattern. Sunny, I think for Thanksgiving the focus isn't on the major storm a few models have shown...they seem to be doing this to some degree with almost every event in the longer ranges but then back off as it approaches. I'm expecting that may be the case here too so we don't end up with this major system but instead something less dramatic and as a result colder. This may not be the winter of the epic storms we've been seeing over the last several years to some degree or another. I could see this easily being a winter with faster moving .3 to .6" QPF type events but coming at us in rapid fashion. Yeah I'd prefer that to a winter with 1 or 2 big storms, with warm temps after the storm. I remember several winters when I was younger where it was cold and we got a lot of 2/4 3-6 type events but the snow lasted and it didn't have massive temp fluctuations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 I like Will and Ryan's comments. Unstable pattern is probably the best way of stating it. I like this pattern. Sunny, I think for Thanksgiving the focus isn't on the major storm a few models have shown...they seem to be doing this to some degree with almost every event in the longer ranges but then back off as it approaches. I'm expecting that may be the case here too so we don't end up with this major system but instead something less dramatic and as a result colder. This may not be the winter of the epic storms we've been seeing over the last several years to some degree or another. I could see this easily being a winter with faster moving .3 to .6" QPF type events but coming at us in rapid fashion. I think next weekends event if we can get the cold in here nicely could drop a few inches for many in the area. That should be watched more than the t day storm I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Usually models that far out show something crazy anyways so I'm not buying into a big storm on T-day just yet. I really hope we get nothing because I don't want to be sitting in traffic for 2+ hours (and I know others will be sitting in it longer). I hope we are sitting in traffic for 4+ hrs and that there is so much blowing and drifting you can't see 10 feet in front of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Yeah I'd prefer that to a winter with 1 or 2 big storms, with warm temps after the storm. I remember several winters when I was younger where it was cold and we got a lot of 2/4 3-6 type events but the snow lasted and it didn't have massive temp fluctuations. Yeah usually after a big storm we get somewhat of a pattern change with warmer air streaming in off the water or nice ridging coming in from the west behind the front. I always welcome it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Usually models that far out show something crazy anyways so I'm not buying into a big storm on T-day just yet. I really hope we get nothing because I don't want to be sitting in traffic for 2+ hours (and I know others will be sitting in it longer).Where do sit in traffic on T day?, just wondering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Best look heading to the beginning of met winter since the early 2000s....maybe 2003? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Usually models that far out show something crazy anyways so I'm not buying into a big storm on T-day just yet. I really hope we get nothing because I don't want to be sitting in traffic for 2+ hours (and I know others will be sitting in it longer).I don't think there's anyone that wouldn't risk sitting in deep traffic for hours if it meant snow on or near Tgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Where do sit in traffic on T day?, just wondering. I'll be driving on I-93 S from Andover to Brockton, Rt. 24 (which isn't bad actually) for a bit, then I-495 S for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 There is always traffic here on T-Day but I would kill to be stuck in a Thanksgiving '89 redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 There is always traffic here on T-Day but I would kill to be stuck in a Thanksgiving '89 redux. Was in NYC that day for the parade. One of my earliest and favorite snow memories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 There is always traffic here on T-Day but I would kill to be stuck in a Thanksgiving '89 redux.or a 2002. Just heavy heavy snow on travel day FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 or a 2002. Just heavy heavy snow on travel day FTW Snow was done by morning in that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Snow was done by morning in that one.Maybe it was Tuesday then. ? I remember driving home from work in Bristol in a raging snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 It's nice to sit at home for Tday watching it snow. Lucky to not have traffic issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Jeez, everyone is in the tropics and we struggled to break 40 in the upper Pioneer Valley. Raw. 42 and the sheet drizzle continues. Feels like November though. We broke into the 40's easily, but it's been a tedious climb up from there. At the current high of 47.2/46 now. Hopefully, we'll get into some of the rains like Dave got. or a 2002. Just heavy heavy snow on travel day FTW Nothing beats heavy snow on travel day when you don't need to travel anywhere (like me). Not that there's any traffic here in GC anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Boy--just looked at the GFS. Hopefully that's not what plays out for the 27th. Lots of rain after perhaps a little snow. Too far out to worry about it anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Maybe it was Tuesday then. ? I remembe driving home from work in Bristol in a raging snowstorm I was wrong. It was Wednesday. It was snowing until early aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Boy--just looked at the GFS. Hopefully that's not what plays out for the 27th. Lots of rain after perhaps a little snow. Too far out to worry about it anyway. Need the water though. Plenty of snow chances will come after I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Need the water though. Plenty of snow chances will come after I'm sure Especially out here. Doesn't really look like we'll get much tonight/tomorrow. Maybe eek out between .10 - .25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Especially out here. Doesn't really look like we'll get much tonight/tomorrow. Maybe eek out between .10 - .25" Regressing to the mean a bit. We've had some wet years recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Especially out here. Doesn't really look like we'll get much tonight/tomorrow. Maybe eek out between .10 - .25" I've got .10 so far, so we've hit your minimum level Wind's picked up a little bit starting right at 9:00. Signs of things to come. 48.2/48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Rainy turkey day doesn't bother me either....as long as it's a cold rain, I forget the year...maybe 1971 when there was much hope. A full in Arctic blast made us weenies hopeful. I went to clinic on the day before thanksgiving with am temps in the low 20s and clouds moving in. When I left in the afternoon it was in the upper 30s with strong marine influence. I think Albany got 20 inches. We had thanksgiving at our cousins house then in LI....some quick hitting snow squalls to end the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 18, 2013 Author Share Posted November 18, 2013 Rainy turkey day doesn't bother me either....as long as it's a cold rain, I forget the year...maybe 1971 when there was much hope. A full in Arctic blast made us weenies hopeful. I went to clinic on the day before thanksgiving with am temps in the low 20s and clouds moving in. When I left in the afternoon it was in the upper 30s with strong marine influence. I think Albany got 20 inches. We had thanksgiving at our cousins house then in LI....some quick hitting snow squalls to end the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Rainy turkey day doesn't bother me either....as long as it's a cold rain, I forget the year...maybe 1971 when there was much hope. A full in Arctic blast made us weenies hopeful. I went to clinic on the day before thanksgiving with am temps in the low 20s and clouds moving in. When I left in the afternoon it was in the upper 30s with strong marine influence. I think Albany got 20 inches. We had thanksgiving at our cousins house then in LI....some quick hitting snow squalls to end the event. We've had plenty of wet and raw Thanksgivings that I can remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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