Heisy Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 If you took EURO verbatim, I think it would lead to a snowstorm for NE on turkey day. You can actually see it has some support on the EURO ensembles as well, I think we're headed into good things here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Whoa Euro... now that's cold! Nice snow potential next weekend too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Whoa Euro... now that's cold! Nice snow potential next weekend too. Yeah that's a shot for the interior if that happened, even a little SN-RA-SN here as well. Would be nice to turn that into a Miller B lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Yeah that's a shot for the interior if that happened, even a little SN-RA-SN here as well. Would be nice to turn that into a Miller B lol.nice, I know Phil is very worried about what happens after and winter shooting its load too quickly but hey let's enjoy the next couple of weeks threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 nice, I know Phil is very worried about what happens after and winter shooting its load too quickly but hey let's enjoy the next couple of weeks threats. Well we all talked about that, I certainly don't want to see that either, but in the end...nothing we can do. I don't think the tropics will become unfavorable through early December. Hopefully those aren't famous last words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Where's Wiz? We're in a slight risk! I disagree with that call... but I'm sure Wiz will be excited lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Where's Wiz? We're in a slight risk! I disagree with that call... but I'm sure Wiz will be excited lol Yeah see banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 nice, I know Phil is very worried about what happens after and winter shooting its load too quickly but hey let's enjoy the next couple of weeks threats. I'm of the mind set of 'bring it on early'. End-to-end rocks, but it's a bit of a let-down to be continually awaiting it's arrival. Bring it early I say. We can still get snows in AN scenarios later in the winter anyway. At least we have some interesting things to track.....maybe chilly, maybe snowy could be in the cards. Enjoy the ride. 39.2/38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 I'm of the mind set of 'bring it on early'. End-to-end rocks, but it's a bit of a let-down to be continually awaiting it's arrival. Bring it early I say. We can still get snows in AN scenarios later in the winter anyway. At least we have some interesting things to track.....maybe chilly, maybe snowy could be in the cards. Enjoy the ride. 39.2/38 Not too early for my selfish reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 granted it's 7 days out...but that is strong agreement for the arctic to pay a visit. sub -15C 850s into SNE this time of year is noteworthy cold. period after that gets a little strange but deal with that later i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Yeah that's a shot for the interior if that happened, even a little SN-RA-SN here as well. Would be nice to turn that into a Miller B lol. Euro and GGEM leading way on this. Wonder if we have to consider Tips icestorm threat next weekend too. I see lots of 40's to near 50 forecasts for next weekend. Will be fun to see those change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Huge changes on the euro ensembles regarding that cold outbreak next weekend. Huge. Almost goes to our thoughts about how sometimes the op runs can lead the way when it comes to showing the magnitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lindsaywx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Huge changes on the euro ensembles regarding that cold outbreak next weekend. Huge. Almost goes to our thoughts about how sometimes the op runs can lead the way when it comes to showing the magnitude. Good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Good? Pretty big drop in temps on the ensembles next weekend. Of course we saw the same for this cold shot coming tomorrow night and the models backed off, but the cold signal is significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Pretty big drop in temps on the ensembles next weekend. Of course we saw the same for this cold shot coming tomorrow night and the models backed off, but the cold signal is significant.Like I was saying a few days ago next weekend still looks like a "good" shot at a wintry event and then again around or just after thanksgiving. Although I always worry about winter burning itself out early I don't think that's going to be a concern this year at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Sorry for changing the subject but how do the euro ensembles look for the southeast....thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Sorry for changing the subject but how do the euro ensembles look for the southeast....thanks in advance It looked a little below normal in the 11-15 day, but nothing noteworthy. Looks like you guys will also get a piece of this cold shot as well next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Euro and GGEM leading way on this. Wonder if we have to consider Tips icestorm threat next weekend too. I see lots of 40's to near 50 forecasts for next weekend. Will be fun to see those change depends on how the flow evolves....could very easily be in the 40s / 50s with a primary going from the lakes to maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 depends on how the flow evolves....could very easily be in the 40s / 50s with a primary going from the lakes to maine. this is for friday and saturday. sunday regardless should be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Euro and GGEM leading way on this. Wonder if we have to consider Tips icestorm threat next weekend too. I see lots of 40's to near 50 forecasts for next weekend. Will be fun to see those change Not according to BOX--at least through Saturday out in GC. Not too cool, but not 40's-50's. Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow showers. Cold with highs in the mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 It looked a little below normal in the 11-15 day, but nothing noteworthy. Looks like you guys will also get a piece of this cold shot as well next weekend. Thanks for the info....I think you guys could be in for a Thanksgiving week surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 nice, I know Phil is very worried about what happens after and winter shooting its load too quickly but hey let's enjoy the next couple of weeks threats. "very worried" is a relative term. it's not keeping me up at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Thanks for the info....I think you guys could be in for a Thanksgiving week surprise Well here on the coast, we need a very cold airmass for that to happen or at least the perfect storm track to lock in nrly winds. Plenty of time between now and then so I'm just going to ride it out and see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 this is for friday and saturday. sunday regardless should be cold. I meant with the Euro snowevent for next weekend, The overrunning deal..I noticed the GFS sort of jumped on board too this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 I meant with the Euro snowevent for next weekend, The overrunning deal..I noticed the GFS sort of jumped on board too this morning The euro verbatim was more of a slug of moisture sliding through with a trough and then a low develops SE of the Cape as it swings through. One of those deals with E-SE winds ahead of it and then switching NW behind it. It was very cold aloft though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Step down continues but the steps are getting bigger I still worry about the lack if anything getting going for a while even if the temps cool. The Pacific needs to get kinky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 "very worried" is a relative term. it's not keeping me up at night.In relative weather sense, figured that was understood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 The +PNA spike will be paramount in the development of any storm we get next weekend into the later part of the week during Thanksgiving week. Also what will finally be in play will be the -AO spike as well or at least towards a neutral AO index. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Contrasts across the region. Milder E & W cold in the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 17, 2013 Share Posted November 17, 2013 Cold air damming signal across central New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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