weatherbo Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 APX graphic. Looks like a well fed superior connected band sets up close to me. 8-12" bulls eye here in Antrim county. A good bet someone sees more than that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mempho Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 It appears they have updated grids for increased synoptic snow for me in central Ohio. I would certainly love to pick up a couple of inches while visiting. Sent from my SCH-L710 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Buffalo WRF shows a pretty intense band in the London area around midnight that will probably migrate a bit too far west for the city to pick up a lot, but it will be the first of the year. Getting snow tires on the explorer today around noon. Hope that happens before the front rolls through and the snow develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Very nasty (in a good way) this morning. Snowy and blowing and below freezing now. I suspect the wwa will be replaced with a lake effect snow advisory (possibly a warning for a couple counties) by early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Unfortunately, it looks like most of the moisture and associated precip will be pre-frontal...meaning this will be a mostly rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Unfortunately, it looks like most of the moisture and associated precip will be pre-frontal...meaning this will be a mostly Lol. From LOT....MUCH OR ALL OF THE PCPN WILL BE ALONG THE BNRDY OR POSTFRONTAL.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Chicagoland and Detroit are different areas after all. Either way, total snoozer for all except extreme SW MI and NW IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Chicagoland and Detroit are different areas after all. Either way, total snoozer for all except extreme SW MI and NW IN The UP and NW MI should cash in nicely too, but anyone who isn't in the favored snowbelts will see mood flakes at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Mason City currently 25F with heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Mason City currently 25F with heavy snow. Impressive! Didn't think 25F would be achieved with steady snow still occurring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Probably the more interesting aspect of this for this area will be the big drop in temps during the day. Definitely going to be the strongest surge of cold air of the season, and it's initiating during the day which is pretty cool. Temps out there now are hovering in the mid 40s, but should be down in the upper 20s by sunset. Only expecting about a 1-2hr period of snow here, but it may be just enough to dust the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted November 11, 2013 Author Share Posted November 11, 2013 lol NAM 12z run spitting out 0.36" before 0z here, even 0.28" at ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Mason City currently 25F with heavy snow. To the west of Mason City at Algona Iowa they're down to 1/8 mile at 1515z. Pretty impressive frontogenesis band in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Probably the more interesting aspect of this for this area will be the big drop in temps during the day. Definitely going to be the strongest surge of cold air of the season, and it's initiating during the day which is pretty cool. Temps out there now are hovering in the mid 40s, but should be down in the upper 20s by sunset. Only expecting about a 1-2hr period of snow here, but it may be just enough to dust the grass. Yeah the temperature plunge will be pretty impressive behind this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Flipped over at MSN. Looks like it's about to in MKE. -RN just started here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 The column on the NAM cools very fast by hour 9. The precipitation that is falling at that time is definitely snow, despite marginal surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Just for future reference, about where in the city do you live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 After just a light shower it fell 2° to 41°. Dew 32° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 After just a light shower it fell 2° to 41°. Dew 32° How much are you expecting up there? After looking at some of the 12z runs, along with the RAP I'm thinking we may do a little better here than I thought previously. Maybe a good half inch to inch despite the short duration. Still 45 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Just for future reference, about where in the city do you live?Hyde Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 The GFS also has a burst of heavier precip around Lake and Cook counties. Someone there will be happily surprised if the precip falls heavy enough to overcome the boundary layer temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 How much are you expecting up there? After looking at some of the 12z runs, along with the RAP I'm thinking we may do a little better here than I thought previously. Maybe a good half inch to inch despite the short duration. Still 45 here. Well the forecast saying little to nothing, but I think 0.5-1.0" isn't out of the question. It will probably have to snow moderately though to get the ground to cool fast. Snow shouldn't have a hard time sticking to all the leaves I got. GFS map Mimillman is talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Storm Lake and Clarion Iowa both at 1/4 mile. That band out there is narrow, but obviously has some intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 ground is covered here this morning in Saint Charles, MN. Winters first real appearance here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Well the forecast saying little to nothing, but I think 0.5-1.0" isn't out of the question. It will probably have to snow moderately though to get the ground to cool fast. Snow shouldn't have a hard time sticking to all the leaves I got. GFS map Mimillman is talking about. Be leery of these maps, they are showing QPF which is what has already fallen over the last 6 hours, it could very well fall as mostly rain but change over to snow at the tail end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 38.0° here now. Probably start seeing snow by 11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Be leery of these maps, they are showing QPF which is what has already fallen over the last 6 hours, it could very well fall as mostly rain but change over to snow at the tail end.That's why I looked at the surface parameters text output, which shows SN by hour 9. I'm guessing half of that is rain, the other half is frozen. Looking at the column, the only layer above freezing by hour 9 is 1000mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Wonder if some of the lake effect activity can survive the trip down here. Seems possible, and since the synoptic snows are meager to begin with, this may be a time where LES would have a chance to bail us out if system snow busts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 38.0° here now. Probably start seeing snow by 11. Looks like the rain/snow line is still a little north of Milwaukee over towards Dubuque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Wonder if some of the lake effect activity can survive the trip down here. Seems possible, and since the synoptic snows are meager to begin with, this may be a time where LES would have a chance to bail us out if system snow busts. 12z NAM shows 0.05-0.10" precip for you guys after the synoptic band departs. Looks like the LE band points right into your area for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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