DopplerWx Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 latest HRRR run continuing to show a nice snow band for ~10pm tonight, even expending down to the midlands of sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 51 and overcast here. Liking the look of the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Temp is 40 atm. Still having a hard time moisting the lower levels. But still spritzing rain and few wet snow flakes. That band continues to expand and s/w towards Hickory. Nice 25-30dbz returns south of Danville. http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=FCX&loop=yes Turnerteam has the rain changed over to all snow under those higher returns? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 looks like it's starting. dont trust the 17z run of the hrrr. 16z looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turner Team Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Temp is 40 atm. Still having a hard time moisting the lower levels. But still spritzing rain and few wet snow flakes. That band continues to expand and s/w towards Hickory. Nice 25-30dbz returns south of Danville. http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=FCX&loop=yes Turnerteam has the rain changed over to all snow under those higher returns? No not yet. We are sitting at 44 with light rain here at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Really ramping up fast. faster than the HRRR actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 No not yet. We are sitting at 44 with light rain here at the moment. Now that is surprising... considering how quick your temps dropped and the returns over Rockingham and Caswell counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Pretty crazy temp plunges coming with the front. Here's a station in Hillsborough. Station near my house in Chapel Hill is down to 43.1 42.1, 10 degrees down from an hour ago and down a degree in the last 3 minutes hahah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Falling here, too. Down to 46 now. Down 5 degrees in the last 30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 tempted to drive up to chesterfield county in the hopes of seeing snow but I think I'll be stuck here for work, ugh. HRRR showing the precip field expanding significantly over the next 3-4 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Just saw reports of snow in Greensboro and Roxboro on facebook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Its snowing even though very very light atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Holy crap down to 39.9 in Chapel Hill now. If I miss snow I'm gonna be so pissed. If i were in the midlands rather than the upstate there would be a better shot; how often is that true? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Sprinkles here, but different story up at beech Mtn Pkwy: http://www.resortcams.com/cam-beech-parkway/createimage.php?1384288722074 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 From RAH this afternoon. Looks like a lot of us will see at least a little snow: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...AS OF 300 PM TUESDAY...LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS THE ARCTIC FRONT MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERNPIEDMONT AND SANDHILLS REGION AT 19Z. SURFACE COLD ADVECTION FINALLYBEGINNING TO KICK IN WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER 40SNEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER OUTSIDE OF ANY COOLING CONTRIBUTIONS FROMPRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURES EARLIER TODAY CLIMBED INTO THE UPPER 50STO MID 60S IN MOST LOCATIONS...IT MADE IT TO 61 IN WINSTON-SALEM...WHICH IS NOT A TYPICAL OR FAVORABLE SCENARIO FOR AN IMPENDING WINTEREVENT. HOWEVER...LATEST REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS PRECIPITATIONMOSTLY ALOFT BREAKING OUT ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND EXPANDINGINTO THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT AND TRIAD AREA. DUAL POL RADAR ANALYSISFROM KRAX SHOWS THE PRECIPITATION AT 4-8KFT APPEARS TO BE ALL SNOW.JUST NOW GETTING SOME REPORTS OF PRECIPITATION AT THE SURFACE WITHLIGHT RAIN IN ROXBORO AND REIDSVILLE WHICH IS NOT SURPRISING GIVENTHE GENERAL UPWARD TREND IN REFLECTIVITY VALUES NOW PEAKING ATAROUND 25DBZ.RECENT RAP AND HRRR RUNS...AS WELL AS MANY OF THE HIGHER RESOLUTIONCAM MODELS HAVE BEEN HIGHLIGHT RECENT RADAR TRENDS AND SUGGESTINGTHAT A BAND OR AREA OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION SHOULD CONTINUE TODEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN PIEDMONT AND SHIFTSOUTHEAST DURING THE EVENING. GUIDANCE INCLUDING THE RAP/NAM/GFS AREVERY CONSISTENT IN SHOWING THAT THE GREATEST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTSARE LIKELY TO FALL IN A CORRIDOR BETWEEN RALEIGH/FAYETTEVILLE WESTTO GREENSBORO/ALBEMARLE WHERE AMOUNTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 0.05 AND0.10 INCHES WITH A SWEET SPOT POTENTIALLY NEAR BURLINGTON ANDASHEBORO. WITH COOLING ALOFT AND SATURATION EXTENDING INTO THE ICENUCLEATION REGION...PRECIPITATION SHOULD DEVELOP AS SNOW ALOFT WITHBOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS DETERMINING WHETHER THE PRECIPITATIONCHANGES TO SNOW. WET BULB TEMPERATURES AT 19Z WERE IN THE UPPER 30SIN THE VA BORDER COUNTIES WITH COLD/DRY ADVECTION PUSHING SOUTH INTOCENTRAL NC. AS COLDER AND DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA FROM THENORTH...EXPECT THE RAIN TO MIX WITH SNOW AND GRADUALLY CHANGE TO AMOSTLY WET SNOW FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BEFORE ENDING. LOCATIONS MOSTLIKELY TO SEE MORE SNOW THAN RAIN WILL BE CLOSER TO THE VA BORDERAND IN THE TRIAD REGION WHERE COLDER AND DRIER SURFACE CONDITIONSARE PRESENT. THE PRECIPITATION DURATION WILL TYPICALLY LAST 2-3HOURS LONG WITH MUCH OF IT FALLING AS JUST RAIN. THIS SHOULD CONFINETO ACTUAL SNOW LIQUID GFS ON THE ORDER OF 0.05 OR LESS. THESEAMOUNTS WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAINING AT LEAST SEVERAL DEGREESABOVE FREEZING AND A WARM GROUND THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURSSHOULD RESULT LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION WITH NO IMPACTS EXPECTED.NOTE THOUGH THAT A HEAVIER AND MORE PERSISTENT BURST OF SNOW WHICHIS POSSIBLE IN A PATTERN SUCH AS THIS WITH STRONG FRONTOGENESIS ANDFORCING ALOFT COULD BE SUFFICIENT TO PROVIDE A QUICK COASTING OF WETSNOW BEFORE MELTING ONCE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS.ALL OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEASTBETWEEN 02-05Z WITH CLEARING SKIES QUICKLY ARRIVING AFTER THEPRECIPITATION ENDS. SURFACE TEMPERATURES...THE AMOUNT OFPRECIPITATION AND WETNESS ALONG WITH DRYING FROM THE NORTHERLY WINDSWILL NEED TO BE MONITORED FOR SOME POSSIBLY ICY SPOTS. STRONG CAASHOULD SUPPORT LOWS IN THE 24-29 DEGREE RANGE OVERNIGHT. -BLAES&& Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 RAH on facebook 335 PM - Reports from Person Co are mostly snow, mixing with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 39F/RN IMBY right now and the temperature is plummeting quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Holy crap down to 39.9 in Chapel Hill now. If I miss snow I'm gonna be so pissed. If i were in the midlands rather than the upstate there would be a better shot; how often is that true? It doesn't rain here and what is this "s" word you speak of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 19z HRRR trending wetter than the previous 2 runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Just saw reports of snow in Greensboro and Roxboro on facebook. Just rain here, but I would tend to think we'll be changing over soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 850 temps. below freezing throughout many of the areas with precip. returns showing up. Probably won't be long until the areas seeing rain now see some snow/mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 It doesn't rain here and what is this "s" word you speak of HRRR was letting that band clip the midlands with some snow it seemed. I mean S word, sorry pardon my french. Rooting for you down there and everyone else in the path of the band too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Just rain here, but I would tend to think we'll be changing over soon. It will infact... the precip band is all the way in Hickory. They'll be changing over soon as well. Mind blowing that it was near 60 earlier today and snowing now.... wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Someone is reporting snow in Chapel Hill on Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 It will infact... the precip band is all the way in Hickory. They'll be changing over soon as well. Mind blowing that it was near 60 earlier today and snowing now.... wtf Yeah, my in-car thermometer (not sure how accurate it is) read out 59F at 12:30 PM and even showed a temperature in the low to mid 50s at 2 PM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 HRRR @ 9pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
norcarolinian Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 just in from work ... down to 38 with rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Nate Johnson @nsj 5s Temperature at the American Tobacco campus in downtown Durham now down to 40° http://www.wral.com/weather/page/1005691/?icao=ATHD&zip=or+enter+your+zip+code … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 GSMNationalParkInfo @gsmnp 10m Newfound Gap is now a chilly 20 degrees. Other areas report a drop of more than 2 degrees in the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 Pleased to report a temperature of 37.2 and light rain with snow mixing in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.