jcwxguy Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 So the event ends for my area at hour 99 and begins for you at hour 102? Seems odd as you're not that far away. here, use this http://www.meteor.ia...data/index.html (or this for direct 12gfs )http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/cobb_gfs/gfs3_kcmh.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I thought ILN said you were gonna get 4 inches?? Picked up just over an inch here... They said an inch or less. It looked really good in Indiana... and then fell apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 So the event ends for my area at hour 99 and begins for you at hour 102? Seems odd as you're not that far away. I wouldn't take those graphs seriously. They almost never match the qpf maps at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I wouldn't take those graphs seriously. They almost never match the qpf maps at all. seems realistic to me, gfs had me in the .25 - .5 range for 12z and you guys in the .1 - .25.. The graph above gives me .30 and you guys .18 with decent ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 could someone post up again the MM to " qpf comparison info that was posted last night please, so I can figure out how much the GGEM is showing, thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 could someone post up again the MM to " qpf comparison info that was posted last night please, so I can figure out how much the GGEM is showing, thanks. 1-2.5mm=0.04-0.1" 2.5-5mm= 0.1-0.2" 5-10mm=0.2-0.4" 10-15mm=0.4-0.6" 15-20mm=0.6-0.8" 20-25mm=0.8-1.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 1-2.5mm=0.04-0.1" 2.5-5mm= 0.1-0.2" 5-10mm=0.2-0.4" 10-15mm=0.4-0.6" 15-20mm=0.6-0.8" 20-25mm=0.8-1.00" ahh perfecto... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 could someone post up again the MM to " qpf comparison info that was posted last night please, so I can figure out how much the GGEM is showing, thanks. I believe you just multiply .039 per mm. So if it shows 10mm, it'd be .39" of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Just not soon enough. But yeah it will be dead very soon and hopefully done with till atleast spring. Yeah, it's a shame it didn't budge in time for this storm. But I'm still liking the potential around NYE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 My feelings exactly! You want some blocking, otherwise these things cut like crazy, but not that far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Is the ec storm and all the vortex's with it our problem or is it the block, or a combo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Is the ec storm and all the vortex's with it our problem or is it the block, or a combo? actually yes and yes, the EC storm helps to reinforce the block I do believe, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Not sure if posted but HM is still pulling for the GFS on his facebook page! Says I will get my own Big Daddy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Is the ec storm and all the vortex's with it our problem or is it the block, or a combo? I think officially the "block" is that Greenland ridge, but the downstream Atlantic vortex which the Greenland ridge locks in place is the more direct problem for us. I tend to refer to both features as the "block". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 ALL ABOARD!!! Im getting back on for the 2 - 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Not sure if posted but HM is still pulling for the GFS on his facebook page! Says I will get my own Big Daddy! If by big daddy you mean flurries, ok.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Not sure if posted but HM is still pulling for the GFS on his facebook page! Says I will get my own Big Daddy! didnt see anywhere he says that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I think officially the "block" is that Greenland ridge, but the downstream Atlantic vortex which the Greenland ridge locks in place is the more direct problem for us. I tend to refer to both features as the "block". Makes sense, thanks. Just shows that it's tough to get a snowstorm because the block has to be east based and in the right place or else the lows will track like they did in november. Makes you appreciate the snow more when it does come. Just a quick newbie question regarding the NAO. When it is east based does that mean it's more likely neutral to positive? Or can it still be strongly negative and east based? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Through 72 the Euro is a little slower than the GFS, also maybe a hair farther north with the 500 and it's closed off. From tombo: hr 78 h5 low still closed off over se ok/north central tx..sub 1016 low south of dallas...lgt precip iowa to tex mod precip eastern tx and ok hr 84 h5 low closed off over dallas mod precip eastern tx and eastern ok...lgt precip missouri ks south hr 90 still has a closed h5 low where 0z opened it at this time....mod to hvy precip ark south...some lgt precip up to st louis northern stream starting to dfive in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 For us Ohio folks, 0 QPF through 0z Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 12z ECMWF still rides from South/Central Texas to New Orleans to the Florida Panhandle/Northern Gulf...as the 0z run did. Only difference is that it's about 6hrs or so slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 12z ECMWF still rides from South/Central Texas to New Orleans to the Florida Panhandle/Northern Gulf...as the 0z run did. Only difference is that it's about 6hrs or so slower. No surprise there, it is slower every run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 euro doesn't sound it's AS bad as the 0z, but still good grief, at least it's not even more south this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 For us Ohio folks, 0 QPF through 0z Saturday its slow. what about 12z saturday or 0z sunday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 its slow. what about 12z saturday or 0z sunday lol 0.00" through 0z Sunday. EDIT: 0.01" for cmh, guess a LE flurry hits! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 12z ECMWF still rides from South/Central Texas to New Orleans to the Florida Panhandle/Northern Gulf...as the 0z run did. Only difference is that it's about 6hrs or so slower. good riddance, hopefully it plows out towards the bahamas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Through 72 the Euro is a little slower than the GFS, also maybe a hair farther north with the 500 and it's closed off. From tombo: hr 78 h5 low still closed off over se ok/north central tx..sub 1016 low south of dallas...lgt precip iowa to tex mod precip eastern tx and ok hr 84 h5 low closed off over dallas mod precip eastern tx and eastern ok...lgt precip missouri ks south hr 90 still has a closed h5 low where 0z opened it at this time....mod to hvy precip ark south...some lgt precip up to st louis northern stream starting to dfive in Does the Euro show any precip getting into S. Illinois? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 0.00" through 0z Sunday. EDIT: 0.01" for cmh, guess a LE flurry hits! lol, riding the gfs train then still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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