Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I think I'll just sit by and watch for now. I think we can put in the front of our minds that, for now, the way things look, this might not be our storm, at least anyone north of I-70 or so..... Per the 120 hr. GFS total snowfall map (significantly downgraded since this morning): looks like an I-72 special in Illinois (Quincy, Springfield, Decatur, Champaign in line for at least 8 inches, and 10+ in eastern Missouri extending into Pike County, IL. With the areas around Peoria and east of St. Louis (including along I-70) in only the 6-8 range. Earlier GFS total snow forecasts had Peoria northward in line for at least a foot of snow. http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=ILX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Just over 6" of snow followed by about an inch of ice. One of the worst ice-storms in Ohio history, actually. About 2" of ice here. Never snowed til the backend a few flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 with the inverted trough set up...Iowa, N. IL, N. In should be in business with this system. probably two big snow bands one along I-80 and another along I70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Wow I didnt realize detroit has had less big snows than toledo. I guess being 50 miles north of the city I have done a lot better with quite a few 10" plus storms. If this storm can keep its act together it looks good for indy and other areas to the SW that dont see snow as much. Toledo gets noticeably less snow than Detroit most of the time, it almost seems like the state line is the cutoff half the time..but a few of the big ones TOL reports quite a bit. A few of them looked a bit suspect to me based snow depth, but how do I know which one is suspect, the snowfall total or the depth? lol. Plus keep in mind that is just the last 5 years. I had two 10" snows myself (Dec 15/16, 2007 and Mar 4/5, 2008) in that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 with the inverted trough set up...Iowa, N. IL, N. In should be in business with this system. probably two big snow bands one along I-80 and another along I70. I-70 in Ohio? If so I hope you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 quite a few models hinting at a decent (by this side's standards) LE setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I-70 in Ohio? If so I hope you're right. It will really come down to the shredder in the NE for Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 with the inverted trough set up...Iowa, N. IL, N. In should be in business with this system. probably two big snow bands one along I-80 and another along I70. Yeah, if it goes to the large inverted trough scenario, things would pan out pretty darn well all the way into Iowa and Far S. WI/MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Anyone wanna listen to Henry talk about whats going to happen? Here is a link lol http://www.ustream.tv/channel/meteomadness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Central IL thunderstorms + snow = 6+" according to Harry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Central IL thunderstorms + snow = 6+" according to Harry. HA I'd laugh at that but by golly thundersnow COULD happen this time. heck parts SW of Chicago are getting Thundersnow tonight per Skilling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I mean I think its cool hes getting people involved and anwsering questions but the snow amount stuff before is even onshore its crazy. Questions should be more about the models weather pattern etc. O well I enjoyed reading the comments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 FWIW...21Z sref is a little further n at hr 81 compared to the 15Z at hr 87...qpf from MO to MN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 FWIW...21Z sref is a little further n at hr 81 compared to the 15Z at hr 87...qpf from MO to MN Good news...yes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 FWIW...21Z sref is a little further n at hr 81 compared to the 15Z at hr 87...qpf from MO to MN i can't find a surface low on the sref...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 i can't find a surface low on the sref...lol prettty normal for a mean with a large spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 i can't find a surface low on the sref...lol i couldn't either...i was comparing the h5 and qpf between the runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 i can't find a surface low on the sref...lol Mean is just an open wave, but the spread has a closed slp over Cape Girardeau, MO, which is further north than the 18z GFS sfc low position around 84 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Mean is just an open wave, but the spread has a closed slp over Cape Girardeau, MO, which is further north than the 18z GFS sfc low position around 84 hours. "Spread" is uncertainty. The region of greatest uncertainty is often not the SLP region (though it is the most likely location of any super-outliers). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 those make me really happy. That is north with the SLP and UL features but still is cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Those are 15z? 21z don't come out for another hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Those are 15z? 21z don't come out for another hour. Yeah, was just posting for comparison on how individual members effect the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Nam is gonna dig more. more suppressed over the Lakes..more riding out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Well through 69 hrs, the NAM is slower with the 500 vort, and a little weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 it's painful watching that 500 map progress on the nam.... I almost want to take a baseball bat and beat it out of it's misery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 it's painful watching that 500 map progress on the nam.... I almost want to take a baseball bat and beat it out of it's misery Looks like it wants to close off but it never really does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 way weaker and north at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 way weaker and north at 850. NAM has been weaker each run lately compared to the GFS. time to see what the 0z GFS does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 NAM has been weaker each run lately compared to the GFS. time to see what the 0z GFS does. yep, this even has been looking more and more like a non starter for us, at leas the grass is covered again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.