michsnowfreak Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 "Clark, thats the gift that keeps on givin the whole year....that it is edward, that it is indeed." There are 5 days til this storm. Does EVERYONE know how many ups and downs are on the way. GUARENTEED. So everyone just relax. And lets just press on, and have the hap, hap, happiest Christmas since Bing Crosby tapdanced with Danny F**kin Kaye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 yea then slides it off the n. georgia coast....looks ots OTS= over the top suppression???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 OTS= over the top suppression???? Out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Out to sea. I think over the top suppression is better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Sorry.. should have said 850 low is where it should be. Progged SLP turns out to be kind of irrelevant in these types of situations at this lead time... i.e. where cold air is entrenched east of the Rockies, as this can lead to an inverted trough type situation, and make it seem like the SLP track is flopping every run. If you look at the 850mb level and up, it doesn't really change that much. Take a look at the 102 hr frame on the 00z run vs the 108 hr frame on the 18z run. A little stronger (and thus a tad slower) on the more phased 18Z, which makes sense, but otherwise, very little change there. Guess we will have to agree to disagree as i think at 102hrs problems began on this model anyways. Really no biggie as i am certain it will change a number of more times between now and the end of the week/storm time anyways. As stebo points out we still have a system ahead of it to go yet. Atleast we have something else to track though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 "Clark, thats the gift that keeps on givin the whole year....that it is edward, that it is indeed." "Dont forget the rubber sheets and the gerbils" Gotta love eddie lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Guess we will have to agree to disagree as i think at 102hrs problems began on this model anyways. Really no biggie as i am certain it will change a number of more times between now and the end of the week/storm time anyways. As stebo points out we still have a system ahead of it to go yet. Atleast we have something else to track though. No doubt about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 what direction is the wrench going? north or south south, weak, and drys out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I think over the top suppression is better I agree well until the king weighs in it looks like the theme of tonites runs is south and to the coast. Im sure by 12z tomorrow we'll all be talking about whether chicago will have mixing issues...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 There are 5 days til this storm. Does EVERYONE know how many ups and downs are on the way. GUARENTEED. So everyone just relax. And lets just press on, and have the hap, hap, happiest Christmas since Bing Crosby tapdanced with Danny F**kin Kaye. OMG!! First time i have ever seen you use THAT word.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 south, weak, and drys out. unfortunately after what we've seen so far, it wouldn't surprise me. But honestly neither would Dr. No taking a full phase monster over our heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 OMG!! First time i have ever seen you use THAT word.. you didn't know Danny Kaye's middle name was Felkin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I agree well until the king weighs in it looks like the theme of tonites runs is south and to the coast. Im sure by 12z tomorrow we'll all be talking about whether chicago will have mixing issues...lol LOL! but so very true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Remember as always use with EXTREME CAUTION, and don't forget this is INCLUDING the clipper tomorrow/Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I am going to predict the euro will once again be all alone with the north solution like last weekends storm. It phases more and we see a low from oklahoma to sw missouri southern illinois and indiana to south central ohio where it will soon transfer to a low off the coast. heavy snow north and west of that line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Remember as always use with EXTREME CAUTION, and don't forget this is INCLUDING the clipper tomorrow/Tuesday Well, I'm on a complete free roll. Can't get worse than that for me. I'll see if I can work some Christmas 2002 magic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 yep, nice hit for MO according to the 0Z ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Euro is going to be slower with ejecting the energy out of the SW, also stronger. H500 energy is across SE New Mexico @ 96.... GFS is over central Kansas at same time. Tombo: hr 108 has a sub 1012 low just north of dallas, tx lgt precip in northern and central plains, heavier stuff over tx and oklahoma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Well, I'm on a complete free roll. Can't get worse than that for me. I'll see if I can work some Christmas 2002 magic. Now if you want to see a storm where the overall model performance was abominable, that's the one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omahawx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Euro is going to be slower with ejecting the energy out of the SW, also stronger. H500 energy is across SE New Mexico @ 96.... GFS is over central Kansas at same time. Tombo: hr 108 has a sub 1012 low just north of dallas, tx lgt precip in northern and central plains, heavier stuff over tx and oklahoma thats a good 6hrs slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I have to do it. The 0Z Navy/NOGAPS looks amazingly similar to the 12Z ECMWF. EDIT: Omahawx beat me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 0z ECMWF coming in further south/weaker than the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 00z euro at 120hrs has a 1012mb low over LA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hahaha wow. tombo: lol hr 120 sub 1012 over central louisiana lgt to mnod precip iowa to la, with heavier stuff in la, ark, ms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 00z euro at 120hrs has a 1012mb low over LA. Way south. looks like I was correct in my thinking. Further south, weaker, and lets see if it dries up lol. maybe it'll throw a couple inches to CMH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 126hrs over southern MS..LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Holy cripes, Euro. It's almost in the dang Gulf of Mexico. Just when I think a nice snow event is likely, it's amazing how fast it can disappear on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Let the flopping begin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 132hrs.. se AL.1008mb.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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