JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:21 PM, Alek said: good riddance, hopefully it plows out towards the bahamas. Nope, bombing out on the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:23 PM, Amos83 said: Does the Euro show any precip getting into S. Illinois? Well he went on to say: hr 96 h5 low opened up over texarkana...sub 1016 low over southern la somewhere northern stream continuing to dive in....lgt precip ky south...mod precip over la and ark hr 102 sub 1016 low over mobile lgt precip ky south mod precip over la and southern ms If it did, it would probably be pretty light? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:23 PM, JoMo said: Nope, bombing out on the EC. That solution would really kill us for another week or two, hopefully it drops that idea soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:23 PM, dilly84 said: lol, riding the gfs train then still. I do a 7-day forecast daily and I won't be taking snow out of Friday yet In other news, looks like the Euro is gonna bury the east coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:23 PM, Amos83 said: Does the Euro show any precip getting into S. Illinois? What station, I'll grab the text data for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 132 sub 984 just east of orf...h5 low is now starting to capture storm ...way more exspanisive precip shield...lgt to mod precip back to wv .....lgt to mod precip phl southern nj...dc bout to get into mod precip...delmarva getting raked interesting....132 hrs out and the euro showing a powerhouse coastal... now we wait, suddenly i feel a little tension in the brakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:28 PM, wxdudemike said: I do a 7-day forecast daily and I won't be taking snow out of Friday yet In other news, looks like the Euro is gonna bury the east coast yep, we're talking 'feet' and 'white hurricane' again, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 EURO is sub 968 right off the coast of NYC. PHI has 1.25 QPF and it's not even close to being done snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:29 PM, JoMo said: yep, we're talking 'feet' and 'white hurricane' again, lol and in 2 minutes you'll see snowamaggedon again i bet too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:29 PM, wxdudemike said: What station, I'll grab the text data for you. KWMA Marion, Illinois or CAI depending on what station you are able to pull from. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:31 PM, Moneyman said: EURO is sub 968 right off the coast of NYC. PHI has 1.25 QPF and it's not even close to being done snowing. LOL....those lucky f**ks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:29 PM, wxdudemike said: What station, I'll grab the text data for you. Can you do STL? I probably don't want to know though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:31 PM, Moneyman said: EURO is sub 968 right off the coast of NYC. PHI has 1.25 QPF and it's not even close to being done snowing. be curious to see precip maps and how far back a comma head makes it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Well buckeye we have two options........... We pray that thing thing comes North and bowls across the Upper Tenn/Lower Ohio Valley or............. We pray that this thing winds up enough that it rides the spine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Good LES signal at least for NE IL, N IN if the 12z Euro pans out with the EC bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:29 PM, buckeye said: hr 132 sub 984 just east of orf...h5 low is now starting to capture storm ...way more exspanisive precip shield...lgt to mod precip back to wv .....lgt to mod precip phl southern nj...dc bout to get into mod precip...delmarva getting raked interesting....132 hrs out and the euro showing a powerhouse coastal... now we wait, suddenly i feel a little tension in the brakes what are we waiting for? It seems like our only chance is if we ride the gfs and hope we get the precip it is showing or hope the euro takes an apps runner track, so what a 250 mile nw trend 3 days out? I made you a bus last page lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:33 PM, buckeye said: be curious to see precip maps and how far back a comma head makes it About the PA/OH border. PIT is around 0.25". Pretty much nada into OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:38 PM, dilly84 said: what are we waiting for? It seems like our only chance is if we ride the gfs and hope we get the precip it is showing or hope the euro takes an apps runner track, so what a 250 mile nw trend 3 days out? I made you a bus last page lol. Or if a conveyer belt of qpf sets up a la 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:31 PM, Amos83 said: KWMA Marion, Illinois or CAI depending on what station you are able to pull from. Thanks! I think it is KMWA right? WMA looks wrong haha. Looks like .05" Friday morning then another 0.04" overnight into Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:34 PM, TheWeatherPimp said: Well buckeye we have two options........... We pray that thing thing comes North and bowls across the Upper Tenn/Lower Ohio Valley or............. We pray that this thing winds up enough that it rides the spine at this point our best option is 2..... simply because all the modelling is tracking the energy way too far south for us. 132 hr placement of a bomb just east of richmond is enough time for things in the atmosphere to jumble around and bring it even further west.... If models lock into a coastal without any signs of a westward trend by this time tomorrow, than the bus may at that point be air born. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:38 PM, Chicago WX said: About the PA/OH border. PIT is around 0.25". Pretty much nada into OH. meh you never know....blizz of '96 showed nada for us as well and a foot of snow madfe it all the way to cincy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:35 PM, Chicago WX said: Good LES signal at least for NE IL, N IN if the 12z Euro pans out with the EC bomb. I'm kind of torn, big east coast bombs often do set up are best LE events, but on the flip side, "best LE events" on this side is really only a couple inches and i don't like the implications are large, slow NE low has for our chances down the road. I'm hoping it goes OTS off the coast of Jacksonville, FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:40 PM, buckeye said: at this point our best option is 2..... simply because all the modelling is tracking the energy way too far south for us. 132 hr placement of a bomb just east of richmond is enough time for things in the atmosphere to jumble around and bring it even further west.... If models lock into a coastal without any signs of a westward trend by this time tomorrow, than the bus may at that point be air born. Cant believe you're still holding on. Im just riding the gfs. To me that is the only realistic hope at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:18 PM, jhamps10 said: euro doesn't sound it's AS bad as the 0z, but still good grief, at least it's not even more south this time around. It was pretty much just as bad as the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:43 PM, dilly84 said: Cant believe you're still holding on. Im just riding the gfs. To me that is the only realistic hope at this point. you seriously think 132 hrs on the euro is a lock....this season? granted, it could go babk east, or it could hold, or the northern stream could drop in 12 hours quicker and it's a whole new ball game. I think im abandoning the west to eaast snows at this point (at least significant snows). I bet most models start showing the eastcoast bomb or some version of it now. edit: im thinking about a 5% chance that we see sig snow from the east.....but again, my brakes are severed, zero vis, and hairpin turn ahead...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:34 PM, TheWeatherPimp said: Well buckeye we have two options........... We pray that thing thing comes North and bowls across the Upper Tenn/Lower Ohio Valley or............. We pray that this thing winds up enough that it rides the spine I was looking the EURO H5 plots at 120 and I was thinking this storm is an inch away from coming inland. Good news is that with the EURO trending slower with each subsequent run, we've still got lots of time for adjustments. The only thing working against us is poor Apps runner climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:46 PM, buckeye said: you seriously think 132 hrs on the euro is a lock....this season? granted, it could go babk east, or it could hold, or the northern stream could drop in 12 hours quicker and it's a whole new ball game. I think im abandoning the west to eaast snows at this point (at least significant snows). I bet most models start showing the eastcoast bomb or some version of it now. edit: im thinking about a 5% chance that we see sig snow from the east.....but again, my brakes are severed, zero vis, and hairpin turn ahead...lol here ill give u some hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Meh, too close for me to give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:46 PM, buckeye said: you seriously think 132 hrs on the euro is a lock....this season? Amen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 6:47 PM, snowstormcanuck said: I was looking the EURO H5 plots at 120 and I was thinking this storm is an inch away from coming inland. Good news is that with the EURO trending slower with each subsequent run, we've still got lots of time for adjustments. The only thing working against us is poor Apps runner climo. this is not supposed to be millerA KU climo either though. There's additional factor here....not just the timing of the sw, but how quickly that northern stream can drop in..... it's an incredible long shot but it's all we got lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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