dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 All depends on if it gets sheared out coming to us buckeye. Don't look bad but can't see far enough out to see how bad it gets eaten up not worried about nam this far out when it isn't even close enough to reach us yet.. will worry about the nam wednesday/Thursday.. Can tell you this, the current storm isn't drying up nearly as bad as models showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 pathetic....im surprised there's even as much precip showing up as it has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 2:59 AM, Alek said: yep, this even has been looking more and more like a non starter for us, at leas the grass is covered again. This run still dumps on parts of IA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Very disappointing to see the models all over the place after several days of relative agreement. I guess it's to be expected though the way things have been going this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 21z SREFS at 87. RSM members look the sweetest for imby...but they have a tendency to be overly wrapped up/north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 If it is any indication the RGEM at 48 hours would end south..way south of the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:31 AM, Frivolousz21 said: If it is any indication the RGEM at 48 hours would end south..way south of the NAM. I'm not really sure how you can say that. By 48, it's barely on land in Cali. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:31 AM, Frivolousz21 said: If it is any indication the RGEM at 48 hours would end south..way south of the NAM. geez...you're good dude. Extrapolating the 48hr rgem out to hr 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:31 AM, Frivolousz21 said: If it is any indication the RGEM at 48 hours would end south..way south of the NAM. What about the 2z RUC at 18 hours? j/k Friv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:31 AM, Frivolousz21 said: If it is any indication the RGEM at 48 hours would end south..way south of the NAM. Is that wrapping I see already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:35 AM, buckeye said: geez...you're good dude. Extrapolating the 48hr rgem out to hr 84 It is just an opinion does being south of the nam hurt your chances or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:38 AM, okie333 said: Is that wrapping I see already? Yeah the NAM showed that, closes it off at 51 hrs, but opens it back up, it closes off several more times as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The RGEM handled this last system so bad it's gonna be hard to take it very serious for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:41 AM, cyclone77 said: The RGEM handled this last system so bad it's gonna be hard to take it very serious for awhile. It wasn't very good for here, that's for sure. Seems it has a north or "too strong" bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:39 AM, Frivolousz21 said: It is just an opinion does being south of the nam hurt your chances or something? i put the wink in so you wouldn't take it the wrong way....i was just mess'n with ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I guess I am a bit to wound up. I think we are starting to get an idea that this won't be a powerful closed off low bowling east. probably a very wide hit for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:46 AM, Frivolousz21 said: I guess I am a bit to wound up. I think we are starting to get an idea that this won't be a powerful closed off low bowling east. probably a very wide hit for many. we'll see what the gfs has to say about that... It's going to show over a foot for me and buckeye this run lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 I didn't mean i thought it was going to the Gulf Coast and you get nothing..lighten up. If I said it was going north the reaction would of have been different. heights are not as pumped up as the nam and sharp..with good suppression. So it looks a big further south then the nam. There isn't much else going on that would make the track so crazy like a phase that brings the H5 vort to Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:48 AM, Frivolousz21 said: I didn't mean i thought it was going to the Gulf Coast and you get nothing..lighten up. If I said it was going north the reaction would of have been different. heights are not as pumped up as the nam and sharp..with good suppression. So it looks a big further south then the nam. There isn't much else going on that would make the track so crazy like a phase that brings the H5 vort to Chicago. You're cool Friv. Your enthusiasm is admirable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Through 42 it looks almost identical to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:51 AM, Chicago WX said: You're cool Friv. Your enthusiasm is admirable. im trying..I wish I knew a lot more...this is hard stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:54 AM, Frivolousz21 said: im trying..I wish I knew a lot more...this is hard stuff. I hear you there. I dont have much trouble reading the models and seeing differences from run to run, but trying to explain it to someone else, etc is where I have the most problems lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 3:54 AM, Frivolousz21 said: im trying..I wish I knew a lot more...this is hard stuff. Well that's why we're all here man. To enjoy and learn weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This run is looking like 18z run. one difference I notice is the low over by maine is further east on the 0z, not sure if that'd make a difference. Feel free to chime in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 GFS definitely farther S with the PV and more detached through 84 from the northern stream. Trying to be more ECMWF like thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Through 78 further south and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Nice hit for buckeye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This run actually turns out better for us central ohio people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Still 6-9 for the STL metro 5-7 for the East Side. all snow this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 On 12/21/2010 at 4:13 AM, dilly84 said: This run actually turns out better for us central ohio people. The problem I have is I don't see how the hell it does that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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