buckeyefan1 Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Begin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Winter cancel. Now that that's out of the way.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 We're beginning to treat Winter like we do Christmas. The call is getting earlier and earlier, and eventually it will either be green-lit or cancelled by Labor Day. ***Edit*** Personally, I don't call it off until packbacker does . Miss you man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 1:19 PM, Cold Rain said: Winter cancel. Now that that's out of the way.... Alright Brick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shack Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 1:19 PM, Cold Rain said: Winter cancel. Now that that's out of the way.... Shoot, for us, it's been "Autumn Cancel". Two back-to-back 80+ degree days here in the Heart of Georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 I think up and down weather, biased a bit warmer than normal is the story for the next 2-3 weeks. Perhaps we can see some colder trends beyond that. I do like the changes in the SST's the last month, certainly a more +PDO/warming ENSO/better Atlantic tripole look than in early October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 4:02 PM, RaleighWx said: I think up and down weather, biased a bit warmer than normal is the story for the next 2-3 weeks. Perhaps we can see some colder trends beyond that. I do like the changes in the SST's the last month, certainly a more +PDO/warming ENSO/better Atlantic tripole look than in early October. Now, there's a site for sore eyes. Welcome back, man! Can't wait to see your winter forecast. Any ideas on timing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 4:36 PM, Cold Rain said: Now, there's a site for sore eyes. Welcome back, man! Can't wait to see your winter forecast. Any ideas on timing? Godo question. Would like to see more signs of blocking before being too bullish on a cold turn mid to late November. Persistent -EPO would likely keep at least occasional cold shots in the forecast through November, as any cold front will pack a punch although transient, see this weekends shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 4:02 PM, RaleighWx said: I think up and down weather, biased a bit warmer than normal is the story for the next 2-3 weeks. Perhaps we can see some colder trends beyond that. I do like the changes in the SST's the last month, certainly a more +PDO/warming ENSO/better Atlantic tripole look than in early October. Welcome back, sir! Glad to have you posting today. Hope you'll continue to drop in with analysis any time we experience a real threat this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 1:24 PM, Shack said: Shoot, for us, it's been "Autumn Cancel". Two back-to-back 80+ degree days here in the Heart of Georgia. Hey, Shack! Man, I know that's right...I had to turn on the window fan again last night. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 5:01 PM, RaleighWx said: Godo question. Would like to see more signs of blocking before being too bullish on a cold turn mid to late November. Persistent -EPO would likely keep at least occasional cold shots in the forecast through November, as any cold front will pack a punch although transient, see this weekends shot. Good deal...I actually meant timing of when you might release your winter forecast/ideas. But what you wrote will work too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 1:15 PM, metalicwx366 said: Lolhi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 1:15 PM, metalicwx366 said: Lol On 11/1/2013 at 7:17 PM, Isopycnic said: hi I see that LOL is back at it again....... just in time for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 7:25 PM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: I see that LOL is back at it again....... just in time for winter.Isopycnic's back and is looking forward to the central NC shaft! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 7:26 PM, Isopycnic said: Isopycnic's back and is looking forward to the central NC shaft!. Central NC shaft is JBURNS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 1:36 AM, mackerel_sky said: . Central NC shaft is JBURNS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 5:18 PM, calculus1 said: Welcome back, sir! Glad to have you posting today. Hope you'll continue to drop in with analysis any time we experience a real threat this winter. Count on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/1/2013 at 5:36 PM, Cold Rain said: Good deal...I actually meant timing of when you might release your winter forecast/ideas. But what you wrote will work too. I have some conflict on interest issues with posting my seasonal forecast for profit. Hence part of the reason the discussions part of the model page was taken down. However, I will probalby post a brief winter forecast here on this board in the coming few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 1:40 PM, RaleighWx said: I have some conflict on interest issues with posting my seasonal forecast for profit. Hence part of the reason the discussions part of the model page was taken down. However, I will probalby post a brief winter forecast here on this board in the coming few days. Understood. Looking forward to it! We always appreciate you dropping by and spending some time with us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 2, 2013 Author Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 1:39 PM, RaleighWx said: Count on it On 11/2/2013 at 1:40 PM, RaleighWx said: I have some conflict on interest issues with posting my seasonal forecast for profit. Hence part of the reason the discussions part of the model page was taken down. However, I will probalby post a brief winter forecast here on this board in the coming few days. I'm looking forward to hearing your thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 1:40 PM, RaleighWx said: I have some conflict on interest issues with posting my seasonal forecast for profit. Hence part of the reason the discussions part of the model page was taken down. However, I will probalby post a brief winter forecast here on this board in the coming few days. From all the data I am seeing thrown around lately, it might just literally be a "brief winter". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 2:03 PM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: From all the data I am seeing thrown around lately, it might just literally be a "brief winter".Lmao read this page. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41379-october-pattern-index-predicting-winter-ao-from-october-with-90-accuracy/page-2#entry2458796 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 2:05 PM, metalicwx366 said: Lmao read this page. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41379-october-pattern-index-predicting-winter-ao-from-october-with-90-accuracy/page-2#entry2458796 Why are you trying to depress everybody, man?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 2:51 PM, Cold Rain said: Why are you trying to depress everybody, man??I'm not. There is really nothing positive to post. Notice you don't see every posting cold and snowy outlooks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 3:36 PM, metalicwx366 said: I'm not. There is really nothing positive to post. Notice you don't see every posting cold and snowy outlooks. Well, you know what they say...if you can't say anything nice... . Haha! I think DT and Robert are going to go cold and snowy. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 I think a lot of people learned a lesson after the second busted winter in a row. I wonder if the fact that every index could point to a solid gold winter, but it could still turn to crap (which is what many found out last year) has caused a more reserved (and truthfully better) look at the data this time around. Either way, it's still too early to call so I'm not sure why there's a more adamant foot stomp at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 2:51 PM, Cold Rain said: Why are you trying to depress everybody, man??. That's what he does, he wants everyone to feel like they live in Waycross Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 On 11/2/2013 at 5:19 PM, mackerel_sky said: . That's what he does, he wants everyone to feel like they live in Waycross :lmao: :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Hmm Watching the Michigan-Michigan State game, where everyone is wearing coats and parkas. Just walked outside for a few minutes in my short sleeve polo shirt, to enjoy the almost 70º temperature. I may have to rethink this winter thing. Time for a cold lemonade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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