CT Rain Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 It's November and a -PNA. Just deal. I love people getting testy over a D15 forecast of above normal temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 I love people getting testy over a D15 forecast of above normal temperatures. It's November. If we see an AK vortex then I will worry...but it seems like people just don't want to except that it could be AN. Of course I would like some cold and early snow, but it is what it is. Maybe I'm 100% wrong and we freeze...but that's my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Poof Yeah disappeared really quickly. But not surprising...8" of snow doesn't last long in 30-50mph winds, temps in the 50s and 60s, with 1.5" of rainfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 I love people getting testy over a D15 forecast of above normal temperatures.link to testy posts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 It's November. If we see an AK vortex then I will worry...but it seems like people just don't want to except that it could be AN. Of course I would like some cold and early snow, but it is what it is. Maybe I'm 100% wrong and we freeze...but that's my opinion. Just accept that AN is the new normal and everything will be fine, lol. It still snows in AN regimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Just accept that AN is the new normal and everything will be fine, lol. It still snows in AN regimes. Weenie. You wouldn't be saying that if you lived on the other coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Weenie. You wouldn't be saying that if you lived on the other coast. I used to hate it and still do that it's so freakin hard to get a below normal month up here... but once I started considering +2 as the new normal, it makes it a more level playing field, haha. At MVL, so far this year 9 out of 10 months have been above normal on the F-6 forms...April was -0.4 and just snuck in as BN otherwise we would've been 10 for 10. It is like pulling teeth to get BN or the climate normals are skewed somehow, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 LOl you will be fine, I mean cmon . South of us not so much. What did you have in 07/08 I was about 115% of normal I was living up in Maine that winter, so I don't have a point of reference. 55.6/46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 CT 5 months colder than normal 5 months above 2013,why do you call it an above normal regime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 CT 5 months colder than normal 5 months above 2013,why do you call it an above normal regime Did you miss my earlier post? 9 out of 10 above normal to me is a pretty warm regime. Let's see where November shakes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 CT 5 months colder than normal 5 months above 2013,why do you call it an above normal regime BDL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 2013 at BDL.. average warm month is +2.0 and average cold month is -0.9. When it's warm it's warm. When it's cold, it's normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 2013 at BDL.. average warm month is +2.0 and average cold month is -0.9. When it's warm it's warm. When it's cold, it's normal. Global warming FTL Good rule of thumb is go warm... you're right more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 2013 at BDL.. average warm month is +2.0 and average cold month is -0.9. When it's warm it's warm. When it's cold, it's normal. Could you get the number of above vs below months in like the last 5 years? Curious how different spots in New England stack up. You always seem to know how to get data really easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Been a while since we have had a year with 6+ months of BN in SNE I would imagine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Good rule of thumb is go warm... you're right more often than not. That's all I was trying to say. I don't like it as a cold lover, but hard to ignore is all. I do love Ginxy's tenacity for cold. We'll know the magic is gone the day Ginxy starts talking about warmth. It keeps the disco lively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 That's all I was trying to say. I don't like it as a cold lover, but hard to ignore is all. I do love Ginxy's tenacity for cold. We'll know the magic is gone the day Ginxy starts talking about warmth. It keeps the disco lively. Ginx is to cold what LitchfieldLibations was to warm. Blinders on all the way. It is fun to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Sunday and Monday nights will be a big wake up call after the warmth today....brrrrrrr. Yo-yo fall style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Ginx is to cold what LitchfieldLibations was to warm. Blinders on all the way. It is fun to watch Haha it's not that bad...LL was one of a kind.Ginxy always has some product or model support and posts supporting evidence. I don't even do that when I say warm...I'm just playing the probabilities in long range. He is a helluva lot smarter in the long range stuff than I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Haha it's not that bad...LL was one of a kind. Ginxy always has some product or model support and posts supporting evidence. I don't even do that when I say warm...I'm just playing the probabilities in long range. Absolutely... though I am getting sick of the Euro ensemble box and whisker plots lol. I'm fine with a mild Torchvember. Let's keep the cold for DJFM... it's really hard to get interesting winter wx here in lowland SNE prior to Turkey Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 2013 at BDL.. average warm month is +2.0 and average cold month is -0.9. When it's warm it's warm. When it's cold, it's normal. Facts ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Absolutely... though I am getting sick of the Euro ensemble box and whisker plots lol. I'm fine with a mild Torchvember. Let's keep the cold for DJFM... it's really hard to get interesting winter wx here in lowland SNE prior to Turkey Day. Even where I am I never really count on pre Thanksgiving winter events. Although some below 40 highs would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 +AMO keeps the East coast in torch mode and -PDO shivers the west. Don't forget the weather isn't always East Coast centric. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Ginx is to cold what LitchfieldLibations was to warm. Blinders on all the way. It is fun to watch . As the good doctor stated he is the board "Frigidaire". The entertainment value of his repartee with other posters who disagree with him is priceless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 +AMO keeps the East coast in torch mode and -PDO shivers the west. Don't forget the weather isn't always East Coast centric. No it's New England centric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 +AMO keeps the East coast in torch mode and -PDO shivers the west. Don't forget the weather isn't always East Coast centric. I wouldn't be shocked to see the AMO did slightly into the negative (or more neutral category for the winter) like it did in 2008-2009 given SSTA trends south of Greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 No it's New England centric The Earth has warmed, but these recent warm regimes aren't a coincidence to +AMOs either. Throw in a few Ninas too for warm summers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 I see Toronto Blizz is making his way around the subforums in search of cold and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 The Earth has warmed, but these recent warm regimes aren't a coincidence to +AMOs either. Throw in a few Ninas too for warm summers. Definitely. Feel like the combination of AGW and +AMO is really helping skew things. When in doubt... go work. Thankfully we haven't been "so warm" that it's impacting our snow. In fact, the incidence of extreme precip events is increasing pretty significantly here the northeast so that is probably helping us with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 Even where I am I never really count on pre Thanksgiving winter events. Although some below 40 highs would be nice Maybe Monday in the hills? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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