Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,588
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

General Obs and Banter Away - Will It Be A November to Remember?


HimoorWx

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.8k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

If the euro jumps on board a week of cool temps and a snow chance I bet he'll return in a blaze of weenie glory.

 

Correctamundo

I was in contact with him right when it happened, and the bottom line was that he was not thrilled with the scene here any more and that he may not come back. 

Weather (spelling mistake intended) or not he comes is yet to be seen.

I'll take the under (meaning he'll be back)  He'll hold  out for a bit so it can  be like the prodigal son coming home, but he'll be back

Link to comment
Share on other sites

First snow. He can't ignore this place with flakes in the air.

I hope he does, even if we don't always see eye to eye. The problem is a lot of folks are too hard headed to come back or change anything after getting suspended. Hopefully Blizz can get past that.

He should change his name back to CT BLIZ before the first snow , the current name is not doing him any favors

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I wonder if a certain poster in NE CT is itching to post right now.

 

Two weeks is absolutely ridiculous lol.  What a joke.

 

I wouldn't be at all shocked if he just posted less.  At first it's hard not being able too but once you're away from it for a period of time, your interest in posting fades.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think the models are slowly beginning to sense that winter is coming to the Northeastern US, it's just a matter of when it finally arrives.

LOl, ya think? I mean doesn't it every year around this time? we talk about belly to belly winters with cold and snow, not many of those but there are just as few belly to belly winters of complete torch.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I mean Jesus -- 165mph sustained winds cutting a swatch precisely mid-drift through the region ...head long, unabated.   Good luck with that.  

 

Yeah that's absolutely amazing.  That's exciting weather we don't need to experience, haha.   I can't even fathom sustained 165mph winds, must less gusts to that amount. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Two weeks is absolutely ridiculous lol.  What a joke.

 

I wouldn't be at all shocked if he just posted less.  At first it's hard not being able too but once you're away from it for a period of time, your interest in posting fades.  

 

Until something exciting happens...then it sucks you in and doesn't let you out again, lol.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Two weeks is absolutely ridiculous lol.  What a joke.

 

I wouldn't be at all shocked if he just posted less.  At first it's hard not being able too but once you're away from it for a period of time, your interest in posting fades.  

Agree Wiz, wonder how much time the Mod got off for his BS post that started the whole thing?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It could even get strong before landfall..

Absolutely insane storm, pretty clear where the tropical energy has been this season. I'd imagine given their location that all necessary prep will be done, but seriously, with 165 sustained and possible continued strengthening, there's only so much one can do.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Absolutely insane storm, pretty clear where the tropical energy has been this season. I'd imagine given their location that all necessary prep will be done, but seriously, with 165 sustained and possible continued strengthening, there's only so much one can do.

 

I've always thought NHC could be more creative in their naming convention.  Like ... why name them with human names?   They could go with say ... "Typhoon Denuder"   or, "Hurricane Headroller."   How about "Typhoon Crackback."   I know   "Hurricane Insuranceadjuster"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Felt this response to Pickles was more banter than weather....

 

Put powderfreak down with a forecast for a dusting to 2.

i would like to see him go for it with his upslope forecasts. I say this soley because he is OUTSTANDING w his knowledge of upslope and where and who will get it, the froude numbers now given help alot wrt west/slope east slope but i mean he was one of the first to realize in last years very late season adirondack crusher snowstorm that the set up wasnt right for n greens upslope w closed low to far south. Until then if you add 30% to his forecasts u will be closer to reality.

 

lol.

 

I think Monday looks like a 2-4"/3-6" type WINDEX squall event... I know this climo pretty well, but forecasting for the ski resort has just made me errr on the side of caution.  We are always on the lookout for "worst-case-scenario" weather-wise as that's what you plan for and then you are prepared for anything.  Snow and cold is good.  Warm and rain is bad.  Pretty simple but if I'm going to bust, it would be better to do so on the good side if that makes any sense.  I know they'd prefer a bust of colder/snowier weather than forecast.  This is an industry where the only *real bust* is if you say its going to snow and it ends up raining or warmer, lol. 

 

Anyway, I think my upslope forecasts are pretty darn solid and my snowfall forecasts for the mountain are usually pretty spot on...but I really hate saying that as I'm not one to thump my chest.  The issue is always what elevation and location are you forecasting for?  ADK and I have talked about that as well... I'm usually forecasting more for the bulk of the ski area, leaning towards that 1,500-3,000ft elevation band.  A forecast for 3,000-4,000ft would be snowier obviously and sometimes significantly so in upslope events with surface dry air but saturated up there. 

 

Trust me, if it looks awesome, I'll be honking the horn.  But I'm not just going to "go for it" with every system for the sake of hyping stuff up.  Anyone remember a guy named Jim Roemer?  He was a ski area forecaster about 10 years ago, and he quickly got snuffed by a lot of ski areas (I think Jay Peak was the last to hold onto him) because he was over-forecasting every event.  He had a couple great calls but had some horrific ones as well, but he was known for going out on a limb and forecasting that big event at 7 days lead time.  Every upslope signal was the next best storm and pretty soon the ski areas realized that someone calling for a foot of snow everytime winds go northwest was not doing them any favors.  He was like the CT Blizz of the industry and it might have worked out in a marketing/PR standpoint by raising hype, but it didn't work out operationally.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...