Typhoon Tip Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 What a classic Novie day .... 44F, with dark bases moving quickly passed, occasionally pinging a graupel ball or two. It just hearkens so well to what's in store. Love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 What a classic Novie day .... 44F, with dark bases moving quickly passed, occasionally pinging a graupel ball or two. It just hearkens so well to what's in store. Love it. This could be the first autumn in a long time that for the most part has behaved as we remember growing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 How the fuk do you know that? Seriously people have been talking synoptics like it's mid winter. It's not. Flurries are a win this time of year. I think part of that is that the last 5 years have mutated awareness, existentially... People are not inventing the events that have happened... It has snowed in a lot of Octobers and Novembers since ... the year 2000, really. For some posters, that might be most of their lives. For others, it's still enough of a sample set to set thinking along the lines of better probability for snow in the autumn -- even if they would be incorrect over say ... 100 years worth of data. In other words, I don't think that's taking place in a vacuum, Jerry. Good folks, with good intent, have dealt with more than just a handful of early snows as of the last decade, enough so that it might tend to morph awareness/perspective on things. I have heard Sandy mentioned -- though I don't know what the conservation was about, do folks remember that a mere week after Sandy (or so) there was a nor-easter with heavy snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Is there any frozen in this precip on radar movin thru n of pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Is there any frozen in this precip on radar movin thru n of pike We just had some in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Some what, frozen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 How the fuk do you know that? Seriously people have been talking synoptics like it's mid winter. It's not. Flurries are a win this time of year.one year ago yesterday Jerry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 This could be the first autumn in a long time that for the most part has behaved as we remember growing up. You know I was thinking about the philosophy of this the other day. We sort of collectively live in virtual universe with the weather. Meaning ... modeled this and that. We spend the majority of our time(s) immersed in reams of modeling output, then ... converting those outputs to a mental picture over what it could all sensibly mean. Meanwhile, reality is just over the shoulder, out the window, passing by, as we work toward the through future days. What I am getting at is, our "memories" of events/times of the current era(s) are often tainted by the perspective of having seen the world through that virtual lens provided by technology. Looking back over the last 20 days or so, it seems we've had a lot of extremes. But, even I admit to an epiphany: wait, those are model runs I am remembering! Lol. Fascinating, but we have been through a modeled super ridges with Indian Summers, and now ...deep trough and early snow storm... It's all been so exciting yet ... what do we have to show for it is merely a normal autumn. So far ... and yes, it does appeal that way. It prompted me to go take a quick look at the F-6 data at BOX and 3 out of the 4 majors are less than a single degree departure so far for Novie. Granted we are only talking 8 days ... October was ~1.5 plus. There are some swings in temp in there, but by and large we are kind of just doing the normal autumn oscillatory dance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Just had graupel fall here...was not expecting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Cannot emphasize the classic Novie sky today. Just had a billowed instability cloud mass move over with a few chilly rain drops and a graupel ball or two in Ayer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 mex still with only a 42 and 43 for tue / wed respectively at HYA. only 37 and 38 at ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Normal temps well below normal precip Tip. Normal fall but lack of synoptic storms so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 This could be the first autumn in a long time that for the most part has behaved as we remember growing up.100% agree. No freak snowstorms, no blistering hot spells of long duration. Just a general step down progression. I really like it despite the lack of active weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Euro looks a lot more progressive through 96 hours...this will probably be a whiff on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 now we have zero models showing a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Euro looks a lot more progressive through 96 hours...this will probably be a whiff on this run. shocking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 But but but I was told it was consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 But but but I was told it was consistent. it was....consistently wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 But but but I was told it was consistent. ???? where, are you posting in NYC or something? if so you should post that there because you make it appear some one here told you that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 The story will be the cold...Euro actually trended colder with -12C 850 temps over SNE. That is about as cold as it can get this time of year. It still has a little band of snow just behind the arctic front. So many might see their first coating of the year if it works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 it was....consistently wrong The Euro was wrong for the right way and the GFS was right for the wrong way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 it was....consistently wrong Well maybe but what if it comes back again? no spiking on any ones part 6 days out remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 ???? where, are you posting in NYC or something? if so you should post that there because you make it appear some one here told you that. Relax and track the AO drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Relax and track the AO drop. you have lost it completely, take a break man. Nice low at 144 , what happens to it????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 you got alot more than we did out west...most of OKX's area saw less than .15 And we were far from a frost, at least most of us in the OKX CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 you have lost it completely, take a break man. Nice low at 144 , what happens to it????? Most of us have been saying why it will be difficult to get this storm and so far, it's behaving that way. If you are expecting something significant..it's certainly not me losing it. The NYC weenies are certainly a unique bunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 And we were far from a frost, at least most of us in the OKX CWA. LOl I am posting from the OKX CWA bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Most of us have been saying why it will be difficult to get this storm and so far, it's behaving that way. If you are expecting something significant..it's certainly not me losing it. The NYC weenies are certainly a unique bunch. Oh it was NYC LOL, dude you can be confusing. This forum has been pretty steadfast on the reality of an occasional run showing a bomb. Just trying to figure out who you were talking to in that post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Oh it was NYC LOL, dude you can be confusing. This forum has been pretty steadfast on the reality of an occasional run showing a bomb. Just trying to figure out who you were talking to in that post. It was a general comment, sorry. I've developed a real disdain for hype lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 8, 2013 Share Posted November 8, 2013 Whats euro show, or is that "hype" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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