HoarfrostHubb Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 21.5F for my low Clouds FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 21.5F for my low Clouds FTL Yeah, I went to bed at 11pm and it was 21F and at 6am we had only dropped to 20F. I thought for sure I'd reach the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 24° was my low. That was also my temp when I went to bed as well. We all would have done better if we hadn't had clouds. I'm sure they'll be other chances! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 LOL @ day10 euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 ORH tied a record low maximum yesterday with a high of 39. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 looks like we were (at UUU) coldest just before midnight @ 28.9, 35.1 around 6AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 What clouds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 26.3 ans scattered clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 21F. Lowest of the season thus far. Some thin clouds looked to keep the temps up just a bit. The day 10 Euro is hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 21F. Lowest of the season thus far. Some thin clouds looked to keep the temps up just a bit. The day 10 Euro is hilarious. What does the Euro have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 D10 euro gives the middle finger to the drought. Another day BOS was able to hit freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Looks like OWD got to 19F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 What does the Euro have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Euro ensembles have a -4SD -PNA and a +3SD AO. That spells warm weather near mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Euro ensembles have a -4SD -PNA and a +3SD AO. That spells warm weather near mid month. Give us a ++ SD EPO and were talking 75+. Let's hope the AO is transient. PNA can be dealt with if AO/NAO//EPO cooperate. Which is rare..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Give us a ++ SD EPO and were talking 75+. Let's hope the AO is transient. PNA can be dealt with if AO/NAO//EPO cooperate. Which is rare..lol. The euro has close to a 597 decameter ridge near the Aleutians. Granted it's the op, but that would mean 90s here in the summer...lol. That's likely the reason why we won't have a complete inferno near mid month...but it will be at least mild. I have no clue what will happen in December. My guess is a +AO/NAO to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Euro ensembles have a -4SD -PNA and a +3SD AO. That spells warm weather near mid month. What do you make of that record blocking ridge over Aleutians that is most anomalous thing i have seen. if that presses a bit more poleward can't we squeeze out some cooler anomalies. I thought it look'd possible for Bos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 What do you make of that record blocking ridge over Aleutians that is most anomalous thing i have seen. if that presses a bit more poleward can't we squeeze out some cooler anomalies. I thought it look'd possible for Bos. The most anomalous ridging is south of say 60N. It begins to get flat topped near AK, otherwise I would agree it would be a reason to go cooler. I actually think it's this ridging that is trying to allow for some cold air to come very close to us next week. That seems to have trended cooler recently. My guess is that if we had this in December...the expanse of the cold air would probably encompass our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 EPO drives the bus sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 EPO drives the bus sometimes. Very much so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 The most anomalous ridging is south of say 60N. It begins to get flat topped near AK, otherwise I would agree it would be a reason to go cooler. I actually think it's this ridging that is trying to allow for some cold air to come very close to us next week. That seems to have trended cooler recently. My guess is that if we had this in December...the expanse of the cold air would probably encompass our region. At least there is potential for things to get interesting and i would expect pretty significant run to run changes on models with the anomalous features. I hope the flat top look of the ridge can migrate a tad poleward, i think our region esp Bos North (or so) is still up for grabs either way. I was reading HM make a point around halloween (that i just bump'd) that mentioned warmer sst migrating closer to the equator could argue for more poleward extent of aleutian ridging , however i havent followed close enough to see if that has already play'd out on modeling (last couple runs) or what if any relevance this may still have going fwd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 At least there is potential for things to get interesting and i would expect pretty significant run to run changes on models with the anomalous features. I hope the flat top look of the ridge can migrate a tad poleward, i think our region esp Bos North (or so) is still up for grabs either way. I was reading HM make a point around halloween (that i just bump'd) that mentioned warmer sst migrating closer to the equator could argue for more poleward extent of aleutian ridging , however i havent followed close enough to see if that has already play'd out on modeling (last couple runs) or what if any relevance this may still have going fwd. I don't think this is a SST issue, but I could be wrong. It looks like the product of some strong troughing near Japan and Indonesian convection. But speaking of SSTs, there is a wave of deep warmer water (Kelvin wave) moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 The euro has close to a 597 decameter ridge near the Aleutians. Granted it's the op, but that would mean 90s here in the summer...lol. That's likely the reason why we won't have a complete inferno near mid month...but it will be at least mild. I have no clue what will happen in December. My guess is a +AO/NAO to start. Its a strong ridge and at least it aint a huge trough with the PV situated over Alaska like 2011. I think after about Nov 25 the +AO/NAO will break down somewhat and trend more neutral giving away to perhaps a wintry period for 2 weeks in December. The overall tendency of the AO seems to be positive and by the looks of it I don't think it will go lower than -1 sigma at best in December. MJO seems to favor a warmer period developing soon, as it heads to unfavorable phases. The next kelvin wave may help warm the ENSO regions, but no where near El Nino state. How does Canada look like over the next 2 weeks on the ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Its a strong ridge and at least it aint a huge trough with the PV situated over Alaska like 2011. I think after about Nov 25 the +AO/NAO will break down somewhat and trend more neutral giving away to perhaps a wintry period for 2 weeks in December. The overall tendency of the AO seems to be positive and by the looks of it I don't think it will go lower than -1 sigma at best in December. MJO seems to favor a warmer period developing soon, as it heads to unfavorable phases. The next kelvin wave may help warm the ENSO regions, but no where near El Nino state. How does Canada look like over the next 2 weeks on the ensembles? It's cold in the 6-10 day, but then warms up in the 11-15 day as the trough in the GOAK sharpens and drives Pacific air eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 ORH tied a record low maximum yesterday with a high of 39.That's impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 It's cold in the 6-10 day, but then warms up in the 11-15 day as the trough in the GOAK sharpens and drives Pacific air eastward.yeah looks a mid month mild period. Until then could be a tad interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 That's impressive That cold outbreak lived up to its billing and then some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 It's cold in the 6-10 day, but then warms up in the 11-15 day as the trough in the GOAK sharpens and drives Pacific air eastward. Looks reasonable when you analyze the MJO and the GWO/AAM. Im assuming northern canada stays chilly? If so, that would bode well for us as it gets bottled up north and ever so edges slowly south in cold pockets. Should build a nice snow cover depth too. PNA trends fairly negative in the 8-15 day period whereas the AO remains positive. Quite different than Nov 08 atleast in my area which seems to be the closest analog to this year. Whats your thoughts near the end-beginning of December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Looks reasonable when you analyze the MJO and the GWO/AAM. Im assuming northern canada stays chilly? If so, that would bode well for us as it gets bottled up north and ever so edges slowly south in cold pockets. Should build a nice snow cover depth too. PNA trends fairly negative in the 8-15 day period whereas the AO remains positive. Quite different than Nov 08 atleast in my area which seems to be the closest analog to this year. Whats your thoughts near the end-beginning of December? NW Canada stays very cold, but I'd rather see the source region closer to home stay cold. Honestly, I wouldn't worry about that yet. It's not a furnace..just warms up somewhat. My guess is that we may see something shift around near December, but I still hedge towards a + looking AO/NAO. So if anything shifts, it may be the Pacific. A little concerned the first half of December is dicey, but that is beyond my expertise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 LOL @ day10 euro. What in the hell gets into that thing sometimes day 8-10 LOL?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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