frazdaddy Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Continuity is what I am looking for 5-6 days out, sure that will be run to run changes, with the overall theme still indicating a possibility. NW NC - Interior VA would be favored, anything outside of those areas would be a bonus type deal this early. Measurable type, even tokens, are almost of unheard in mid November, I remember 2008, we had afternoon snow showers twice in one week, around the 20th of Nov. I would be thrilled with an advisory type of event further inland, patience though, at least we finally have something to track - been awhile! Welcome back sir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Continuity is what I am looking for 5-6 days out, sure that will be run to run changes, with the overall theme still indicating a possibility. NW NC - Interior VA would be favored, anything outside of those areas would be a bonus type deal this early. Measurable type, even tokens, are almost of unheard in mid November, I remember 2008, we had afternoon snow showers twice in one week, around the 20th of Nov. I would be thrilled with an advisory type of event further inland, patience though, at least we finally have something to track - been awhile! Always enjoy when you post WeatherNC, thanks for your contributions. I just want to see if we can get the system to dig and give someone (even if only for areas north and east of KTRI) a nice November surprise. Rarely in the last two years has this forum had much of anything worth tracking within 7 days. I hope this is the first of many this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Good analysis WeatherNC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Brad Panovich's Video Update!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Continuity is what I am looking for 5-6 days out, sure that will be run to run changes, with the overall theme still indicating a possibility. NW NC - Interior VA would be favored, anything outside of those areas would be a bonus type deal this early. Measurable type, even tokens, are almost of unheard in mid November, I remember 2008, we had afternoon snow showers twice in one week, around the 20th of Nov. I would be thrilled with an advisory type of event further inland, patience though, at least we finally have something to track - been awhile! Welcome back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 So what type of temperatures are we looking at here for next mid-week? In the mid-atlantic forum I saw some crazy single digits for the surface in WV and a lot of teens. I guess when you have 1045 highs coming south in November that's what you can get. Just seems a bit too ambitious for so early in the year. Either way (snowflakes or no snowflakes), it looks like a cold slap to the face is on the way for most next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Nah...too early...Let us enjoy our fix for a little longer..It snowed here, in Central FL, and Thunder snow in Charleston in November 2006, I'm pretty sure it can snow in NC if the setup allows it. Doesn't really matter if it's the 4th of July or Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Last measurable November snow at RDU was in 2008. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Please keep it on topic and keep the banter in the thread created for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 It seems to me we had measurable snow in Youngsville in November 2010 prior to Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Euro is a big deal for E TN/N Ga, NW SC, western NC, KY/WV/VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Buries western NC/VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 12z Euro D7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Euro is a big deal for E TN/N Ga, NW SC, western NC, KY/WV/VA. Buries western NC/VA Euro snow map: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41628-mid-november-surprise/?p=2464256 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 All rain in central/eastern NC/SC/VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 This would work...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 All rain in central/eastern NC/SC/VA. Prob not all rain but big winner is I-85 W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Prob not all rain but big winner is I-85 W Yup...but split the difference with the GFS and we're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 12z GFS suggests that Knoxville bottoms out at 15 degrees next Wed and Thurs mornings. Brrrrrrr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 It snowed here, in Central FL, and Thunder snow in Charleston in November 2006, I'm pretty sure it can snow in NC if the setup allows it. Doesn't really matter if it's the 4th of July or Christmas. Here's Nov 21, 2006 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Euro snow map: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41628-mid-november-surprise/?p=2464221 Thanks for posting Grit. What a crazy run for early November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 RT @RaleighWx: 12z Euro shows 2+ feet of snow through 7am Thursday in SW Va. 1-2 ft, S WV/Western Va/NW/NC, 8-12 for much of western half o… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Euro snow map: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41628-mid-november-surprise/?p=2464256 Got to love the cutoff right at the Wake County line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Euro is a lot further west in bringing down the energy,giving this thing a chance to ramp up and make the turn. Whether it's rain or snow is still in the air in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 GFS appears to be moving a bit quicker, correct. Looks like a Wednesday night show a tad further east than on that Euro run. At any rate, nice to have something to follow this early! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Yup...but split the difference with the GFS and we're good. That would be nice if it could work out that way. Then more folks get in on the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Man.. The Euro is crazy... It phases 2 pieces of energy at the right time to give parts of the southeast a nice present. However, I'm hesitant because this is 7 days out. The location of either piece of energy could be off a few hundred miles and it would be a no go. Still, fun to watch! I'm probably more excited (because it's more likely to happen) about the cold coming in with the strong a$$ high pressure settling over us late next week. THAT you can bank on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Larry Cosgrove Quick update on 12z operational ECMWF scheme...Relatively close to its 0z solution with a whopping East Coast storm. NOT a big snowmaker in the major cities (start as, end as snow scenario possible from Atlanta GA to Portland ME), but PLENTY of rain and wind with a huge wet snow event in most of Appalachia on November 12 - 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1300m Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 If the 12z ECMWF phased a little later, this would allow the energy to dig further southeast which would put more of central NC in the game. Still a long way to go, and we'll probably see all sorts of wild swings in modeling before this is over. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see RDU get buried in one of these ECMWF runs before long, only to probably see it go away and then who knows...the timing of the phase is so crucial to how this plays out it will likely continue to change until 24-48 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Even if it doesn't turn out to be snow for us, a good rain event will be very welcome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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