Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Hi res Euro is really cold. 3 days in the 30s Sun-Tue then super cold tgiving and day after.. probably at least another 3 in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 22, 2013 Author Share Posted November 22, 2013 Hi res Euro is really cold. 3 days in the 30s Sun-Tue then super cold tgiving and day after.. probably at least another 3 in a row. What about precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 What about precip? 2-2.5" everyone east of the mtns.. but even 1"+ out into central WV. Heaviest locally prob overnight Tuesday into Wed. Probably briefly starts and ends as snow even into the lowlands verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 22, 2013 Author Share Posted November 22, 2013 2-2.5" everyone east of the mtns.. but even 1"+ out into central WV. Heaviest locally prob overnight Tuesday into Wed. Probably briefly starts and ends as snow even into the lowlands verbatim. I love it when the models live on different planets during a big travel week and people are so sure they know which model is the most correct. Occasionally I can do that but most times it's better to equivocate unless you're just doing it for fun or to be first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattskiva Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 I love it when the models live on different planets during a big travel week and people are so sure they know which model is the most correct. Occasionally I can do that but most times it's better to equivocate unless you're just doing it for fun or to be first. 1"+ out into central WV would mean big snow on the allegheny front presumably? I could care less what we get here, I'll take 2.5 inches of wind driven rain if it means a foot of snow in Canaan Valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 1"+ out into central WV would mean big snow on the allegheny front presumably? I could care less what we get here, I'll take 2.5 inches of wind driven rain if it means a foot of snow in Canaan Valley I hope SNE cashes in while we get drenched!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 GFS shows the Northern stream way further west this run. Will probably be northwest of 12 and 18z with the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 If this was December-February, we would all be hitting f5 a bajillion times Still, even though its rain for us, I continue to like how the GFS develops a Miller A. Hopefully we get to see some more of those this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Looks like the GFS woke up, wow what a shift Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Looks like the GFS woke up, wow what a shift Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Rainy Wed afternoon travel... that is going to suck... seems like GFS decided to jump on the EURO rain train Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Rainy Wed afternoon travel... that is going to suck... seems like GFS decided to jump on the EURO rain train NW of the cities get some good snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 NW of the cities get some good snow. If you consider Garrett County as NW of the city, okay then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Now with the GFS amped, Thanksgiving day is very cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 I hate cold but this is an exciting pattern even if it doesn't snow. If it ends up as cold as shown to end the mo we're going to do some things we haven't in some time. But Nov 2009 torched so meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 If you consider Garrett County as NW of the city, okay then 850 line is between I70 and I81. Hagerstown gets good snow this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Thanksgiving day... That's some cold turkey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 850 line is between I70 and I81. Hagerstown gets good snow this run. <img snipped> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 I do like the constant cold shots that the GFS shows... seems like a new one comes every few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 this is more typical of our coldest shot of the winter recently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 These are some of the things you see early season: model runs taken verbatim at a long enough range to not focus on specifics. This is the reason I'm excited about December, the pattern is looking ripe and we can succeed with that climo. Its interesting when you really look at the differences in climo are more than minute, opening the door. I don't know much about the true set up here(of the subforums), but some people don't understand the difficulty to get snow w/i 50 miles of the city/fall line without a significant frontrunning cold shot (in this instance in NOV with the bowling ball set up). Southern PA is not Frederick. There can be sig differences i such a short distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 this is more typical of our coldest shot of the winter recently gfs_t2min_washdc_61.png 3 degrees lol. I guess that is influences from the model thinking it snowed there. Still very cold either way. If this was a January airmass, well ya we'd be talking negatives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 The Potomac creeks and local ponds will have skim ice in November if the recent runs verify. Another week of this and the bay rivers will follow. It's been a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 The Potomac creeks and local ponds will have skim ice in November if the recent runs verify. Another week of this and the bay rivers will follow. It's been a while. At least we will get the cold, we will need Midlo to come up here and blow us some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 The Potomac creeks and local ponds will have skim ice in November if the recent runs verify. Another week of this and the bay rivers will follow. It's been a while. gotta' be some Bay effect snow snow some where around the Delmarva over the next couple weeks imho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Heh, another Miller A in lala land on the GFS (Day 11-12)... followed by a cutter, which brings behind it uber cold... and i mean uber into the Plains... and another Miller A to end the run. Tasteh Day 10-15 on GFS tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 maybe the bl won't be a problem for once when we finally do get a storm this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 DT went boom on twitter. Goo euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 DT went boom on twitter. Goo euro. For the mtns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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