Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 I won't be in this one. I'll be in Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Very active into early Dec. The WD index is +4 sd and climbing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 It appears the GFS has caved and in my neck of the woods may see a rain to snow event on Turkey day (for a couple of hours maybe). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 6z still has a nice rainstorm but the pattern after that is not bad at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 6 days out....will be interesting what the final solution ends up being. Remember today where most models look sort of similar...two weeks ago the gfs was pushing 60+ on turkey day...now upper 30 low 40....model chaos is not finished is my guess. Fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 As modeled it isn't rain the whole time for everybody. Long way out though. It sure looks like a cold Sunday is a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:17 AM, H2O said: 6z still has a nice rainstorm but the pattern after that is not bad at all. Jonjon says what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:40 AM, leesburg 04 said: Jonjon says what? He gets snow during tropical storms so it is a given that this will paste him with 5' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Nice rainbow as I walked out of the house a few minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:38 AM, leesburg 04 said: 6 days out....will be interesting what the final solution ends up being. Remember today where most models look sort of similar...two weeks ago the gfs was pushing 60+ on turkey day...now upper 30 low 40....model chaos is not finished is my guess. Fun 70s on Thanksgiving? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 1:36 PM, mattie g said: 70s on Thanksgiving? I think cold is a lock now....famous last words Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:38 AM, leesburg 04 said: 6 days out....will be interesting what the final solution ends up being. Remember today where most models look sort of similar...two weeks ago the gfs was pushing 60+ on turkey day...now upper 30 low 40....model chaos is not finished is my guess. Fun Lol...as I was saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 GFS still nice and nippy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 nice dews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 5:26 PM, Ian said: nice dews Untitled-1.jpg I'm still thinking we could end up having a massive inversion Sun night/Mon Morning with temps in the low teens and upper singles (NW). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 if BWI's high is forecasted for 32, no way will I hit 32 at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 5:26 PM, Ian said: nice dews Untitled-1.jpg Looks like WSP is windspeed; thus, I expect WDR is wind direction. If so, what are the units? Everything is 20 and 30s, so doesn't appear to be in degrees.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 5:41 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: Looks like WSP is windspeed; thus, I expect WDR is wind direction. If so, what are the units? Everything is 20 and 30s, so doesn't appear to be in degrees.... mph or kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 5:41 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: Looks like WSP is windspeed; thus, I expect WDR is wind direction. If so, what are the units? Everything is 20 and 30s, so doesn't appear to be in degrees.... wind direction is per a compass rose, so in all the cases above you'd add a 0 to the end.. north/northwest mainly. wind speed is in knots sustained. sunday is going to be fierce... prob gusts past 40 per that guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 5:41 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: Looks like WSP is windspeed; thus, I expect WDR is wind direction. If so, what are the units? Everything is 20 and 30s, so doesn't appear to be in degrees.... http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/mavcard.php that link tells you what each row of the MOS output means. As well as all the different categories used. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Hi Ian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 5:49 PM, H2O said: Hi Ian wchill.gif WC below 0 or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 5:49 PM, H2O said: Hi Ian wchill.gif The cold is impressive enough to be bearable. As long as we can say it was unusual. Though i still am searching for 5 grand to replace my central heat so it will be a test for my space heater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 5:53 PM, Ian said: The cold is impressive enough to be bearable. As long as we can say it was unusual. Though i still am searching for 5 grand to replace my central heat so it will be a test for my space heater. I'm searching for 6 grand for a new roof. I'll trade ya No joke that it will be an abrupt change starting Saturday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Sun Morning, GFS Temp of 25°F with winds gusting to 30-35 kts mixing from 8400' (750mb). Windchill 15°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Yup, not leaving my house Sunday at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 6:04 PM, wxmeddler said: Sun Morning, GFS Temp of 25°F with winds gusting to 30-35 kts mixing from 8400' (750mb). Windchill 15°F 11241312zgfscold.PNG ugly.. doesnt get N&W out of the teens on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Thanksgiving morning even colder for the lowlands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 6:09 PM, Ian said: Thanksgiving morning even colder for the lowlands gfs_windchill_washdc_49.png Good. The holidays are not the same when it's warm. Gonna be a lot of foggy house windows with ovens and furnaces going at full blast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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