Absolute Humidity Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Congrats NYC on your first freeze. May you see many more with white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 I see Lake Effect Snow and snow squalls possible for next Wednesday. Very energetic S/W to emerge by early next week near NYS, based on the GFS. So close. I put Wednesday and it actually happen yesterday. :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Not too exciting, but some video of the first snow isn't a terrible thing. I was playing around with the Google/YouTube image stabilization feature. I don't like it; it distorts stuff too much: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50XpvRQX4bg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 31/19 here in Queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 27.5 in North Merrick doesn't feel too bad tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Anyone see the 0z GFS? I see some slight potential for the system on the 19-20 if the energy digs the right way and the patterns slows a little more. - that semi tropical low is also cool to see out there, that might turn into some blocking for us later this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Anyone see the 0z GFS? I see some slight potential for the system on the 19-20 if the energy digs the right way and the patterns slows a little more. - that semi tropical low is also cool to see out there, that might turn into some blocking for us later this month. Looks more like a FROPA to me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Looks more like a FROPA to me.. Yea I'm deff reading into it way to much, but it is something I will keep an eye on the next few runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 26.6..winds have calmed down a lot..less than 10 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Pushing 28 here in Queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 17 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 29 in NYC 25 here in Edison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Only airport that did not make it into the 20's was lga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 JFK tied second coldest low for the day. 11/13 25 in 1986 29 in 1996 31 in 2001+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Parents are down to 26.1. Here are the local airport lows thru 7AM:NYC 29 LGA 30 JFK 29 TEB 28 EWR 28 LDJ 29 HPN 24 CDW 26 FRG 28 MMU 25 ISP 27 BLM 27 SMQ 25 DXR 16 BDR 25 12N 24 FWN 23 SWF 23 HWV 27 MGJ 24A few spots might get a smidge lower before they start to rise again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 This may have been the first time NYC and South Carolina experienced snow around the same day in November. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AT 400 PM IT WAS 70 DEGREES IN COLUMBIA.IT WAS SNOWING AND 36 AT 1000 PM. A CORRECTION FROM EARLIER...THISIS THE 3RD EARLIEST DATE IN THE PAST 124 YEARS THAT SNOW HASOCCURRED IN NOVEMBER AT COLUMBIA. MEASURABLE SNOWFALL IN NOVEMBERHAS ONLY BEEN RECORDED ON NOVEMBER 19 (3.3 INCHES) AND NOVEMBER 28(1.0 INCHES). https://twitter.com/EdPiotrowski/status/400490454405218304/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 At NYC, the temperature fell to 29° this morning. That's the earliest reading below 30° since November 10, 2004 when the temperature also fell to 29°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 At NYC, the temperature fell to 29° this morning. That's the earliest reading below 30° since November 10, 2004 when the temperature also fell to 29°. interesting to see such a cold shot with a very positive AO...it has happened in the past...one example in January 1957 when NYC hit zero while the AO was +2 going up to +5.078...On Feb. 1st that year NYC got 6" of snow with the AO over +4...In February 1957 the AO became very negative and there were a few more snow and cold events in March and April but most of the snow for that winter fell with a very plus AO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 Yea I'm deff reading into it way to much, but it is something I will keep an eye on the next few runs That trough has actually trended more progressive and less deep. Gives areas less than 1.0" of rain. We can't buy a storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 interesting to see such a cold shot with a very positive AO...it has happened in the past...one example in January 1957 when NYC hit zero while the AO was +2 going up to +5.078...On Feb. 1st that year NYC got 6" of snow with the AO over +4...In February 1957 the AO became very negative and there were a few more snow and cold events in March and April but most of the snow for that winter fell with a very plus AO... I feel this cold shot has been impressive for November. Most have seen there first flakes and we may break some record low high temps today. Plus the growing season has ended for all the major urban areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 That trough has actually trended more progressive and less deep. Gives areas less than 1.0" of rain. We can't buy a storm here. It's tough to get more than .50-.75 with such a progressive pattern here this fall. Driest falls in NYC (SON) 3.60...2013...so far 4.00...1908 4.67...1909 4.93...1881 4.97...1931 5.02...1879 5.32...1965 5.76...1901 5.77...1941 5.83...1914 5.96...1948 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 That trough has actually trended more progressive and less deep. Gives areas less than 1.0" of rain. We can't buy a storm here. We need something to slow these troughs and fronts down. Otherwise we'll keep seeing these same boring frontal passages, brief shots of cold and then warmups ahead of the next cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 We need something to slow these troughs and fronts down. Otherwise we'll keep seeing these same boring frontal passages, brief shots of cold and then warmups ahead of the next cold front. With all the dominant EPO blocking this year especially since mid-April, the NAO blocking episodes have been more transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 A little blocking would have done wonders with this current pattern. Lots of phasing and potent shortwaves dropping down with no room to amplify once they reach the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 A little blocking would have done wonders with this current pattern. Lots of phasing and potent shortwaves dropping down with no room to amplify once they reach the coast. We could have had a major storm had there been blocking over Greenland or northeast of us, to force the energy to slow down, become less sheared out, and consolidate into a storm. Had there been more of a +PNA and blocking northeast of here, I would have believed the crazy solutions on those few Euro runs last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 With all the dominant EPO blocking this year especially since mid-April, the NAO blocking episodes have been more transient. The +EPO/+AO pattern next week, keeps the -NAO next week more transient: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 The +EPO/+AO pattern next week, keeps the -NAO next week more transient: The +EPO phases have also been more transient especially since mid-April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 It's tough to get more than .50-.75 with such a progressive pattern here this fall. Driest falls in NYC (SON) 3.60...2013...so far 4.00...1908 4.67...1909 4.93...1881 4.97...1931 5.02...1879 5.32...1965 5.76...1901 5.77...1941 5.83...1914 5.96...1948 driest Oct-Nov combos... 2013...0.65" 2001...2.02" 1909...2.02" 1908...2.08" 1924...2.44" 1946...2.51" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 The 12z GFS has now trended significantly sharper and more amplified with the trough digging in next Tuesday. The end result is a very significant coastal storm developing "just" offshore. The trough actually goes negative tilt about 12 hours too late. It wouldn't take much improvement to bring a significant storm to the area now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted November 13, 2013 Share Posted November 13, 2013 26.2 this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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