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November 2013 General Discussion


Geos

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Struggling to get much warmer than 28° here.

 

The scene at 11am here.

 

post-2499-0-01079400-1384277264_thumb.jp

 

post-2499-0-43125200-1384277278_thumb.jp

 

Edit: I have to figure out what to do with all my leaves. With several wet days in the 7 day and more cold, I might end up composting them.

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Low here in Toronto is 24.5, my coldest of the season easily. Tonight expected to get down to 20

 

Clear skies tonight should help that, overcast last night prevented the temp from dropping too far. Was still chilly though. Excited for tonight, I love a good cold blast. Something about the crispness of the air. Especially early in the season when you arent as used to it.

 

Temps were just cold enough at my place (away from the lake) for about an hour or two of wet snow last night, nothing stuck though except for a few icy patches here and there. Even managed low-end +SN for about 5 minutes.

 

Was in Guelph (about 2C colder on the escarpment) for band practice and they received a good dusting that stuck around. About 1cm maybe.

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Clear skies tonight should help that, overcast last night prevented the temp from dropping too far. Was still chilly though. Excited for tonight, I love a good cold blast. Something about the crispness of the air. Especially early in the season when you arent as used to it.

Temps were just cold enough at my place (away from the lake) for about an hour or two of wet snow last night, nothing stuck though except for a few icy patches here and there. Even managed low-end +SN for about 5 minutes.

Was in Guelph (about 2C colder on the escarpment) for band practice and they received a good dusting that stuck around. About 1cm maybe.

00Z GEM had temps of -12C tonight for areas away from the lake in the GTA! Last night over-performed downtown

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00Z GEM had temps of -12C tonight for areas away from the lake in the GTA! Last night over-performed downtown

 

Impressive output for sure, seems a little aggressive on the cold though. Doubt we will see much below -8C. I'll be up in Guelph again tonight so hopefully will be able to experience some of that nice chilliness.

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I'd be watching for the prospects of severe weather with that system as well. Funny considering it just snowed last night.

SPC in the 4-8 Day Outlook already hinting at it.

 

 

 

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0325 AM CST TUE NOV 12 2013

VALID 151200Z - 201200Z

...DISCUSSION...

MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THAT IT IS UNLIKELY THAT

GULF OF MEXICO BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION AND INLAND MOISTURE

RETURN WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A SUBSTANTIVE INCREASE IN THE

RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE COMING

WEEKEND. THEREAFTER...THIS POTENTIAL BECOMES INCREASINGLY UNCLEAR

DUE TO MODEL DISPARITY AND LARGE SPREAD AMONG THE VARIOUS ENSEMBLES

CONCERNING SHORT WAVE DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN MULTIPLE DISTINCT

MID/UPPER FLOW BELTS EVOLVING ACROSS NORTH AMERICA INTO NEXT WEEK.

STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS APPEARS A REASONABLE ENOUGH POSSIBILITY

BY NEXT MONDAY OR TUESDAY /DAYS 7 AND 8/...FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS

INTO THE OHIO VALLEY/GREAT LAKES REGION...THAT A REGIONAL-TYPE

SEVERE WEATHER EVENT MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION

SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES INTO AREAS EAST OF THE

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. BUT...TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS CONCERNING

PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE...AND MORE PRECISE LOCATION...TO DELINEATE

AN AREA AT THE PRESENT TIME.

..KERR.. 11/12/2013

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Impressive output for sure, seems a little aggressive on the cold though. Doubt we will see much below -8C. I'll be up in Guelph again tonight so hopefully will be able to experience some of that nice chilliness.

It got down to -5C last night at YYZ, the coldest overnight low of the season thus far. We should surpass that tonight, perhaps hitting around -7 to -10C. Cloud cover prevented it from going any lower, otherwise last night could have easily dropped down to about -7 to -8C.

Saw the first snowfall yesterday, around trace in terms of measurement.

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Stuck at 28F with full sunshine and no snowcover.  Pretty impressive cold shot. 

Geos-Looks very nice.  Be interesting if you can hold onto that snow until night fall.  Would help keep temps down overnight you'd imagine. 

 

Visible showing the snowcover nicely this afternoon.  I love these sunny/cold days. 

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/wisc/

 

Aberdeen, SD was -1F this morning ...already up to 32F

http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KABR.html

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Yeah I got some still DLL. It's crusty now. Only 31° for the high. Forecast was for 34°, so definitely an influence from the snow.

 

Little bit more snow the west about 10 miles.

 

post-7389-0-26450900-1384292682_thumb.jp

 

I thought it would be a unique to find a red tree with snow under it. Was easier said then done. In Antioch.

 

post-7389-0-79453800-1384292787_thumb.jp

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