daddylonglegs Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Only 16F ... might not hit 20F today. Now showing 2F tonite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 It was funny, I jumped to the 12z nam text data to see what kind of temp readings it was spurting out for the next few days and I happened to see the total precip for cmh around .70. I thought wtf Where did that come from? and now I see it. Interestingly the gem is one hell of a close call too. That being said, throw in the fact that it's 1) long range nam, 2) western bias of the gem, and 3) the euro isn't playing ball, and it's nothing more than funny noise. Holy crap. Looks like the EURO is going to play ball. Big shift. I knew something was up when it had that closed h5 contour over the OK panhandle at 48. Very similar to the NAM and RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Holy crap. Looks like the EURO is going to play ball. Big shift. I knew something was up when it had that closed h5 contour over the OK panhandle at 48. Very similar to the NAM and RGEM. Well this just makes things a bit more interesting. Going to have to see if this continues. Euro had a big shift from its previous runs, has a better phasing idea than before. Hows winter going for you Canuck, out in edmonton?The 500mb vort maps indicate a similar solution on both the GGEM/NAM/SREF compared to the Euro through 48-54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 If MKE manages to fall below 10 degrees tonight, it would be the first single digit low recorded in Nov since 11/24/89. Edit: Actually the last time was 11/7/91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Well this just makes things a bit more interesting. Going to have to see if this continues. Euro had a big shift from its previous runs, has a better phasing idea than before. Hows winter going for you Canuck, out in edmonton? The 500mb vort maps indicate a similar solution on both the GGEM/NAM/SREF compared to the Euro through 48-54 hours. Verbatim it's probably a graze job but you have to like the trends. Big differences between how much the EURO/SR Hi-res models and the GFS digs that northern stream s/w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Verbatim it's probably a graze job but you have to like the trends. Big differences between how much the EURO/SR Hi-res models and the GFS digs that northern stream s/w. Yes we'll have to see how the runs handle this situation. Has it come onshore yet? Alot of differences between the models run for a storm that is just a few days out. Shows how reliable models are, haha. The overall pattern across the Pacific with the changes going on there, are having a huge effect on how the models cooperate which is why were seeing so many solutions on the table. Tropical forcing, MJO, etc are impacting the accuracy. The overall pattern may produce alot of clippers in early December, so Edmonton may cash in on some snows after this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2013 Author Share Posted November 23, 2013 If MKE manages to fall below 10 degrees tonight, it would be the first single digit low recorded in Nov since 11/24/89. Wow! I got 9° for a low tonight. 40% of snow now on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Wow! I got 9° for a low tonight. 40% of snow now on Monday. pretty dang frigid out right now....these temps may not feel bad in January....but for early in the season it's def a little shock to the system lol ground temps should take a pretty good hit today and tomorrow.... love that I finally don't have to wipe the dogs paws when he comes in....been nothing but mud between the toes for the last 3 weeks after we go for our daily frisbee play sessions...finally the ground has frozen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Decent chance for some nice light snow for a couple hours on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2013 Author Share Posted November 23, 2013 pretty dang frigid out right now....these temps may not feel bad in January....but for early in the season it's def a little shock to the system lol ground temps should take a pretty good hit today and tomorrow.... love that I finally don't have to wipe the dogs paws when he comes in....been nothing but mud between the toes for the last 3 weeks after we go for our daily frisbee play sessions...finally the ground has frozen Ground is frozen here. I just disconnected the garden hoses last night. Decent chance for some nice light snow for a couple hours on Monday. Actually now up to 50% chance now, at least on this side of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Ground is frozen here. I just disconnected the garden hoses last night. Actually now up to 50% chance now, at least on this side of the city. snowfall112513.png Yup same here. 50% chance. Hopefully we can get that system to come a little further south to get Chicagoland in on some of the more moderate stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Fricken cold out there. 23 but feels like -23 compared to the warmth last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2013 Author Share Posted November 23, 2013 Fricken cold out there. 23 but feels like -23 compared to the warmth last weekend. Yeah no kidding. I was hunting around for my ear muffs this morning! Daytime high only 23°. High of 25°. Just topped off my anti-freeze and windshield washer fluids. People who are putting up x-mas lights this weekend are probably wishing they would have done it last weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Congrats! Any accums? Mostly a patchy dusting in my backyard in Oakville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 From here the front sided winter is almost a sure thing. The temps are looking to moderate a tad but the cold of winter seems to be winning the battle vs the torch of other years. Finally closed the pool this morning. Tried a new method of running the pump during the month when the leaves were falling. They were collected in the skimmer where I scooped them out. We have a big problem of wind in our yard and the winter covers would only last a season, or just fly off anyhow. Come spring I will let you know how the coverless method turned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 From here the front sided winter is almost a sure thing. The temps are looking to moderate a tad but the cold of winter seems to be winning the battle vs the torch of other years. Finally closed the pool this morning. Tried a new method of running the pump during the month when the leaves were falling. They were collected in the skimmer where I scooped them out. We have a big problem of wind in our yard and the winter covers would only last a season, or just fly off anyhow. Come spring I will let you know how the coverless method turned out. This cold is so far below normal that its highly difficult to maintain, but the next 2 weeks look to be below normal with no period rising above normal. This one would probably break records, complete cross polar flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 23, 2013 Author Share Posted November 23, 2013 That's a harsh looking map. Yeah I don't see anywhere in the next 7 days where anyone in here gets above normal. Already down to 17° imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 That's a harsh looking map. Yeah I don't see anywhere in the next 7 days where anyone in here gets above normal. Already down to 17° imby. The northwoods stays below freezing for the extended range.... Most trails will be open Dec 1st in Michigan, the earliest in probably 3 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL300 PM CST SAT NOV 23 2013 /400 PM EST SAT NOV 23 2013/...THE COLDEST EARLY SEASON NIGHT IN OVER 20 YEARS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...SHOULD THE FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES FOR ROCKFORD AND CHICAGO-OHARE VERIFY TONIGHT...THE LOW TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY NOVEMBER24TH WILL BE THE COLDEST THIS EARLY IN THE SEASON IN OVER 20YEARS FOR BOTH LOCATIONS.THE FORECAST LOW FOR ROCKFORD IS 7 DEGREES. YOU HAVE TO GO ALL THEWAY BACK TO NOVEMBER 7TH 1991 FOR A TEMPERATURE THIS LOW IN THEFIRST 24 DAYS OF THE MONTH. THE PREVIOUS OCCURRENCE OF A LOWTEMPERATURE COLDER THAN 10 DEGREES THIS EARLY IN THE SEASON WASNOVEMBER 24TH 1997...WHICH BOTTOMED OUT AT 9 DEGREES.IN CHICAGO...THE FORECAST LOW IS 11 DEGREES. THE LAST TIME CHICAGOSAW A TEMPERATURE THIS COLD THIS EARLY IN THE SEASON WAS ONNOVEMBER 4TH 1991. A LOW TEMPERATURE COLDER THAN 15 DEGREES THISEARLY IN THE SEASON LAST OCCURRED BACK ON NOVEMBER 22ND2000...WHEN THE MERCURY DIPPED TO 14 DEGREES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Alek might hit 32 tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 24, 2013 Author Share Posted November 24, 2013 Alek might hit 32 tonight 24° at the mid lake buoy. I think he's below freezing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 If Cedar Rapids can drop to zero tonight it will be coldest November night since 1977. The temp was stuck at 11 or 12 for a few hours this evening, but now it is down to 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 11 here. Point has 3 above. Pretty amazing for no snow cover at all, and it being before Thanksgiving. EDIT: Was just thinking that this time last week many of us were getting ready for severe weather/chasing the following morning. Last Sunday morning temps were already well into the 60s, with dews near 60 early on. Temps will be close to 60 degrees colder just one week later, tomorrow morning. Man, what a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 24, 2013 Author Share Posted November 24, 2013 Just stepped outside to experience the coldest night since March 21st. Can smell a wood burning stove somewhere upwind. 13.2° imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Just stepped outside to experience the coldest night since March 21st. Can smell a wood burning stove somewhere upwind. 13.2° imby. Down to 9 here. First time single digits have been reached for the season. I still need to mulch up some leaves, and run the gas out of the mower before winter. Don't think I'll be getting that done this weekend. Between working late and being busy the last few weekends I am running behind a bit on some outdoor crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 14 degrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 14 degrees here. YYZ down to 13F. My area down to 10F (-12.3C), with windchills below 0F. How much snow did Downtown Toronto receive from this LES band? http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Latest GGEM looks so beautiful for next week Tues-Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 14 with a windchill of 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 63 years ago today was a decent storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 24, 2013 Author Share Posted November 24, 2013 Down to 9 here. First time single digits have been reached for the season. I still need to mulch up some leaves, and run the gas out of the mower before winter. Don't think I'll be getting that done this weekend. Between working late and being busy the last few weekends I am running behind a bit on some outdoor crap. I still have a few piles of leaves under a couple trees, then a few laying in the garden. Can't do much with them in the frozen state. Otherwise everything is done here. Well, I was going to dig out a root ball from an bush I cut out, but now the ground is froze! haha 11.7° now at 1am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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