Gilbertfly Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 tried to start with the xmas lights this evening....got sleeted on....now the lights are all laid out in the garage and the car sleeps outside tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Got all my x-mas light up now. The leaves are not going to cleaned up completely since they were still too wet today. Remainder will end up sitting in the garden, which hopefully decompose come spring. Snowing at AUW, and STE right now. Couple snowfall reports out of the ARX cwa. 0525 PM SNOW DORCHESTER 45.00N 90.33W11/20/2013 E3.0 INCH CLARK WI PUBLICSNOW DURATION 24 HOURS0452 PM SNOW LONGWOOD 44.88N 90.60W11/20/2013 E2.0 INCH CLARK WI PUBLICSNOW DURATION 24 HOURS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 -PL here.Same here. Edit: Kinda startin to crank now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Got all my x-mas light up now. The leaves are not going to cleaned up completely since they were still too wet today. Remainder will end up sitting in the garden, which hopefully decompose come spring. Lucky you....was going to start and get it done on Saturday....but had to help out the guys working...so now it looks like it will either be a wet endeavor or a cold one... transitioned to a chilly light rain now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Rain and sleet starting here now. 38° sleet coating the ground here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 LOT discussion on snow prospects for Friday. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE PRECIP WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO MIX WITH LIGHTSNOW FRI...WITH THE FAR SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE CWFA LIKELYKEEPING PRECIP IN A LIQUID FORM THRU EARLY AFTN. BY FRI NIGHT THEMID-LVL TROUGH AXIS WILL BE ARRIVING OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREATLAKES REGION WITH TEMPS ALOFT COOLING TO -14 TO -18 DEG C AT 850MB.THE NEXT CHALLENGE IS WHEN PRECIP WILL COME TO AN END FRIAFTN...WITH VERY DRY AIR POURING INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES.GUIDANCE HAS BEEN RELATIVELY CONSISTENT WITH PRECIP ENDING ARND 00ZFOR THE BULK OF THE CWFA...AND THE LAKE EFFECT MACHINE BEGINNING TOSTART-UP. THE LCL 8KM WRF INDICATES A LAKE EFFECT BAND DEVELOPINGARND 18Z FRI...WITH SOME INDICATIONS OF A VERY WEAK MESO-LOW ACROSSFAR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN. Tacked on other 0.05" for the month tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Sunday looks to be our coldest day of the season. Also may be YYZ's first below zero high (correct me if I'm wrong). Dipped to around 28 this morning, heavy layer of frost was on everything. Got down to 22F at YYZ today and around 20F in the suburb area where i reside. Saturday night thru Monday look to be the coldest days of the season thus far. Highs will be around -1 to -4C across the GTA for Sunday and Monday. It moderates a bit thereafter, but models keep the cooler anomalies in place for the remaining week. The developing storm in the Gulf needs to be analyzed to see if it phases and/or how it interacts next week in the region. I will get into more detail once we get closer and the models get a better hang of it. All of this should give away to a cold last week of November, exactly how I said it would end up back in October. My initial thoughts had a cool down after the 22nd which looks to be case. At this point, the best chances of snow would be next week and early December and again around Mid-late December for the sub forum. I wouldn't be surprised if the GTA picked up a few cms this weekend and early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Finished with 0.40" here today. That's 0.15" more than the "big" event Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Picked up 0.20" of rain yesterday. The models have gradually been drying out the new system, so we may just a bit of light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Looks like a pretty good LES event shaping up for many in the favored spots over the weekend into next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Sunday looks to be our coldest day of the season. Also may be YYZ's first below zero high (correct me if I'm wrong). Dipped to around 28 this morning, heavy layer of frost was on everything. I should clarify for our American friends that it will be our first below zero Celsius high. ;-) It truly is rare for Toronto to see a below zero Fahrenheit day without the wind factored in. I think many people in Toronto will be in for a rude shock on Sunday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Anyone want to start a cold/LES there? Looks like some record lows and solid LES this weekend and week ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Anyone want to start a cold/LES there? Looks like some record lows and solid LES this weekend and week ahead. go for it dude, honestly love the idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Anyone want to start a cold/LES there? Looks like some record lows and solid LES this weekend and week ahead. Looks like good snow prospects on Monday as well - non LES snow. Go for it! Feels balmy out there in the upper 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 It looks like the next 2 weeks could bring these numbers down quite a bit.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Nice maps Gilbert. Soil is definitely chilled now after last weeks temperatures and lows consistently near freezing. Arctic blast in time for Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Nice maps Gilbert. Soil is definitely chilled now after last weeks temperatures and lows consistently near freezing. Arctic blast in time for Thanksgiving. indeed....and my guess is that any little snowpack that develops over the next 3 days should linger quite a bit....will it stay and build into and through December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Front on the move a little sooner than expected. Northerly winds locking in for MSN and MKE at this hour. ALO reporting freezing rain/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 made a huge dent in the holiday exterior illumination today before the drizzle drazzle rolled in.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 FXUS63 KMKX 212127 AFDMKX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 327 PM CST THU NOV 21 2013 .SHORT TERM... TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM. LATEST RUNS OF HRRR AND 4 KM WRF/NMM MODELS ARE INDICATING THAT THE MOISTURE WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL LATER THIS EVENING FOR THE ARRIVAL OF THE EXPECTED AREA OF PRECIPITATION. CURRENT AREA OF PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA MAY STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT HERE...AS THIS WILL FIGHT DRY LOW LEVELS OVER THE AREA. FOR NOW...WILL PUSH BACK ARRIVAL OF PRECIPITATION A BIT THIS EVENING...AS WELL AS THE CHANGEOVER TO LIGHT SNOW LATER TONIGHT. SYNOPTIC AND MESOSCALE MODELS ARE SLOWING THE SATURATION OF THE AIR COLUMN UNTIL MID TO LATE EVENING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. AREA OF GOOD 850MB TO 700MB FRONTOGENESIS RESPONSE WILL PUSH EAST SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 06Z AND 15Z FRIDAY...DRIVING THE MAIN AREA OF PRECIPITATION. BEST UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION WILL BE OVER THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE AREA LATER TONIGHT...WITH AREAS TO THE SOUTHEAST SEEING LESS. AIR COLUMN WILL COOL FROM THE TOP DOWN AS COLD AIR ADVECTION KICKS IN TONIGHT...SO WILL CONTINUE THE TRANSITION FROM RAIN OR RAIN/SNOW MIX TO ALL LIGHT SNOW FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. EXPECTING AROUND 0.5 INCHES ON GRASSY AREAS FROM DARLINGTON TO MADISON TO SHEBOYGAN AND NORTHWESTWARD...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTHEAST. MILWAUKEE...RACINE AND KENOSHA MAY ONLY SEE A DUSTING AT BEST. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY MIX OUT LATER ON FRIDAY...WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE DAY GOES ON...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO RISE MUCH OUT OF THE LOWER TO MID 30S. What's Joe doing at the Milwaukee/Sullivan Office? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 DAB 4 Life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Euro brutal cold next week... get a little snow on the ground tomorrow and it has a chance to stick around. Night time lows will be brutal if that does occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Dark, overcast day here with a few spits of drizzle. Some farmer shot a 6ft, 100lb cougar today just north of here in Morrison. Pretty wicked. http://www.whbf.com/story/24035092/cougar-shot-in-whiteside-county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Dark, overcast day here with a few spits of drizzle. Some farmer shot a 6ft, 100lb cougar today just north of here in Morrison. Pretty wicked. http://www.whbf.com/story/24035092/cougar-shot-in-whiteside-county Whoah - another one! Must be migrating in from the mountain west. Just drizzle and a bit of -RN here. Down to 42° now. EURO was saying this temperature by midnight...way ahead of schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Dark, overcast day here with a few spits of drizzle. Some farmer shot a 6ft, 100lb cougar today just north of here in Morrison. Pretty wicked. http://www.whbf.com/story/24035092/cougar-shot-in-whiteside-county We go out to the family farm just west of Stockton darn near every weekend in the spring/summer/fall....sporadically in the winter ... it's on about 26 acres...half is fields of alfalfa harvested by a neighbor for feed....the other half is woods. Having kids, I really don't like hearing these stories. We spotted cat tracks last summer (2012) but hadn't seen any this year yet...We don't mind all the coyotes as they are keeping the varmints out of all the organic gardens we have out there....If the kids go out in the evening, they just bring one of our cattle dogs with them if any of the adults are busy....no biggie....but a hundred pound cat?! yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 We go out to the family farm just west of Stockton darn near every weekend in the spring/summer/fall....sporadically in the winter ... it's on about 26 acres...half is fields of alfalfa harvested by a neighbor for feed....the other half is woods. Having kids, I really don't like hearing these stories. We spotted cat tracks last summer (2012) but hadn't seen any this year yet...We don't mind all the coyotes as they are keeping the varmints out of all the organic gardens we have out there....If the kids go out in the evening, they just bring one of our cattle dogs with them if any of the adults are busy....no biggie....but a hundred pound cat?! yikes Yeah it's definitely a bit freaky. Those things are sneaky too. They'd be on you before you know what happened. My sister in law swore she saw one on her parents farm just outside of town here a few years ago, and we all made fun of her jokingly. Guess she may have been right afterall lol. Been getting sprinkles all eve, but still nothing measurable. Precip should change to snow late tonight, but 99% of the precip will have moved out by then so expect nothing for accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Yeah it's definitely a bit freaky. Those things are sneaky too. They'd be on you before you know what happened. My sister in law swore she saw one on her parents farm just outside of town here a few years ago, and we all made fun of her jokingly. Guess she may have been right afterall lol. Been getting sprinkles all eve, but still nothing measurable. Precip should change to snow late tonight, but 99% of the precip will have moved out by then so expect nothing for accums. yeah...can't really scan the moonlit horizon looking for a big cat as they are most likely up in a tree...freaky indeed (again, mostly because of the kids)...I guess it's time to get the kids whistles for around their neck if they are going out alone to play. a couple of random flakes flying around this morning...a blustery, chilly mid - late December feel to the air today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Great forecast for YYZ this week. Chance of flurries four days in a row. High of 50F today and a high of 24F on Sunday, quite the swing! Detailed forecast Issued: 5:00 AM EST Friday 22 November 2013 Today, 22 November Periods of rain ending this morning then cloudy with 60 percent chance of showers. Fog patches dissipating this morning. Wind becoming northwest 30 km/h gusting to 50 late this afternoon. High 10. Tonight, 22 November Partly cloudy. Wind northwest 30 km/h gusting to 50 becoming light late this evening. Low minus 1. Saturday, 23 November Mainly cloudy. A few flurries beginning in the morning and ending early in the evening. Clearing in the evening. Wind west 30 km/h gusting to 50 becoming light late in the evening. High plus 1 with temperature falling to minus 6 in the afternoon. Sunday, 24 November A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of flurries. Low minus 8. High minus 4. Monday, 25 November Cloudy with 40 percent chance of flurries. Windy. Low minus 6. High plus 2. Tuesday, 26 November Cloudy with 30 percent chance of flurries. Low minus 1. High plus 2. Wednesday, 27 November A mix of sun and cloud. Low minus 3. High zero. Thursday, 28 November Sunny. Low minus 7. High minus 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 22, 2013 Author Share Posted November 22, 2013 Have had a few spells of -SN this morning. Only 32° now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 It's been snowing here throughout the morning. Not heavy, but nice big flakes floating around in the air. I'm looking forward to some lake effect this weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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