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Prediction for first snow flakes somewhere in New York City


WeatherFox

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Unc, based on your list, the average trace since 1947 is 11/18 @ 7:41pm and average Measurable is 12/11 @ 12:34pm

 

(Yes, the times are a joke, even though the math does work out).

good to see you back YH...many a great winter had their first measurable snow around December 11th...1960, 1963 and 1947 are right there...1992 and 1993 also...Growing up in the early 1960's 1960, 1961, 1962 and 1963 all had their first measurable snowfall between the 9th-12th...

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KNYC (NYC/CENTRAL PARK, NY, US) observed 1151 UTC 12 November 2013

Temperature: 2.2°C (36°F)

Dewpoint: -0.6°C (31°F) [RH = 82%]

Pressure (altimeter): 30.10 inches Hg (1019.4 mb)

[sea-level pressure: 1018.4 mb]

Winds: from the N (350 degrees) at 10 MPH (9 knots; 4.7 m/s)

gusting to 26 MPH (23 knots; 12.0 m/s)

Visibility: 4 miles (6 km)

Ceiling: 1700 feet AGL

Clouds: overcast cloud deck at 1700 feet AGL

Weather: -SN (light snow)

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KNYC (NYC/CENTRAL PARK, NY, US) observed 1151 UTC 12 November 2013

Temperature: 2.2°C (36°F)

Dewpoint: -0.6°C (31°F) [RH = 82%]

Pressure (altimeter): 30.10 inches Hg (1019.4 mb)

[sea-level pressure: 1018.4 mb]

Winds: from the N (350 degrees) at 10 MPH (9 knots; 4.7 m/s)

gusting to 26 MPH (23 knots; 12.0 m/s)

Visibility: 4 miles (6 km)

Ceiling: 1700 feet AGL

Clouds: overcast cloud deck at 1700 feet AGL

Weather: -SN (light snow)

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Momza and Ericjcrash. Congrats. :)

 

don't congratulate ericjrash as on this very page he made a categorically wrong prediction.  after that we'll call it even.   :santa:

 

"That is such a weenie radar. BL temps are a bit toasty and I think a lack of any heavier precip will hold the coast to light rain. "

 

Snowing and beginning to stick to cold surfaces here on long island ;)

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don't congratulate ericjrash as on this very page he made a categorically wrong prediction.  after that we'll call it even.   :santa:

 

"That is such a weenie radar. BL temps are a bit toasty and I think a lack of any heavier precip will hold the coast to light rain. "

 

Snowing and beginning to stick to cold surfaces here on long island ;)

A little reverse psych! Lol It might as well have rained. 

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  • 11 months later...

normal years we get snow starting around Dec. 10th...
first date for snow in Central Park...
Year.....trace.....0.1"
1947...11/15...12/10
1948...11/29...12/15
1949...11/18...11/27

1950...11/21...12/16
1951...11/03...12/15
1952...10/21...10/21
1953...11/06...11/06
1954...11/02...12/21
1955...11/19...11/19
1956...11/23...12/09
1957...11/23...12/03
1958...11/03...12/08
1959...11/29...11/29

1960...10/24...12/11
1961...11/09...12/09
1962...10/26...12/09
1963...11/30...12/12
1964...12/06...12/06
1965...10/28...01/20
1966...12/02...12/21
1967...11/07...11/30
1968...11/12...12/15
1969...11/30...12/25

1970...12/05...12/15
1971...11/10...01/05
1972...10/18...01/29 latest date for first 0.1"+...
1973...12/11...12/16
1974...11/25...11/25
1975...11/14...12/22
1976...11/29...12/25
1977...11/12...11/27
1978...11/21...11/27
1979...10/10...12/19 earliest date for first trace...

1980...11/17...12/15
1981...12/06...12/11
1982...12/11...12/12
1983...11/25...12/22
1984...11/13...12/05
1985...11/16...12/05
1986...11/05...12/09
1987...11/06...11/11
1988...12/10...12/13
1989...11/22...11/22

1990...12/05...12/27
1991...11/08...12/05
1992...12/11...12/12
1993...11/20...12/11
1994...11/23...01/11
1995...11/12...11/29
1996...11/14...11/28
1997...11/14...01/18
1998...12/23...12/23
1999...12/27...01/20

2000...10/29...12/08
2001...12/17...01/07
2002...10/29...12/05
2003...12/05...12/05
2004...11/13...12/19
2005...11/24...12/04
2006...01/10...01/19 latest date for the first trace...
2007...11/19...12/02
2008...11/20...12/16
2009...12/05...12/19

2010...11/08...12/14
2011...10/29...10/29
2012...11/07...11/07

2013...11/12...12/08

2014...11/13...

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000

NOUS41 KOKX 141324

PNSOKX

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-150124-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

824 AM EST FRI NOV 14 2014

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 24

HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION

IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN

SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE

ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS

SNOWFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...

NEWTOWN 2.1 600 AM 11/14 PUBLIC

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...

WOLCOTT 3.2 445 AM 11/14 PUBLIC

NEW JERSEY

...PASSAIC COUNTY...

WEST MILFORD 2.2 1228 AM 11/14 PUBLIC

NEW YORK

...ORANGE COUNTY...

BLOOMING GROVE 2.0 754 AM 11/14 TRAINED SPOTTER

NEWBURGH 1.1 1130 PM 11/13 TRAINED SPOTTER

MONROE 1.0 737 AM 11/14 PUBLIC

NEW WINDSOR 1.0 730 AM 11/14 PUBLIC

**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS

SNOWFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...

1 W SHELTON 0.4 600 AM 11/14 COCORAHS

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...

1 S PORTLAND 0.5 800 AM 11/14 COCORAHS

NEW JERSEY

...UNION COUNTY...

1 ESE NEW PROVIDENCE 0.5 800 AM 11/14 COCORAHS

NEW YORK

...PUTNAM COUNTY...

4 ESE BEACON 1.0 620 AM 11/14 COCORAHS

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...

2 NW SOUTH SALEM 0.3 730 AM 11/14 COCORAHS

E ARMONK 0.2 700 AM 11/14 COCORAHS

$$

TFM

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