usedtobe Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 My numbers are not based on my expectations of the winter. At this point I don't have any. If I were to guess on the winter I'd guess we'd get below 15 inches as that is our fate most years, big winters are the exception. However, there always are more watches than warnings (sans 2009-2010) and usually a warning more than than really verifies (at least that is my impression based on no statistics). My wild ass guesses DCA 3 watches, 2 warnings IAD 4 watches and 3 warnings. BWI 4 watches and 3 warnings. The tie breaker should one be needed is the number of times Ji posts a day 7, 8 ,9 or 10 euro that shows a monster snowstorm on it. I'm guessing 10 but that may be conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA: 0 watches, 0 warnings IAD: 1 watch, 0 warning BWI: 2 watches, 2 warnings EDIT: Ji EURO tie-breaker is 7 storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA 3 watches, 0 warnings 3 advisories.IAD 3 watches and 2 warnings 4 advisories.BWI 2 watches and 4 warnings 2 advisories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA 2 watches 1 warnings IAD 4 watches and 2 warnings BWI 4 watches and 2 warnings Ji tiebreaker: 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 18, 2013 Author Share Posted October 18, 2013 Everyone is forgetting the Ji posting the Euro tie breaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Everyone is forgetting the Ji posting the Euro tie breaker. Lol i thought that was a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA 3 watches, 1 warning. IAD 3 watches and 2 warning. BWI 3 watches and 1 warning. Ji will post 8 long-range Euros showing good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA: 4 watches, 1 warning. IAD: 5 watches, 2 warning BWI: 5 watches, 2 warning Ji Euro weenie posts: 10+, 30+ GFS 10 day bombs and 25+ JMA purple/blue blizzards Wildcard: the one DCA warning will be for ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DC 3 watches, 2 warnings IAD 4 watches, 3 warnings BWI 3 watches, 2 warnings TB - 9 postings PS - I'm assuming this disregards WWA's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA: 3 watches, 1 warning IAD: 4 watches, 2 warnings BWI: 4 watches, 2 warnings Watch me bust high Ji: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA: 4 watches, 3 warnings IAD: 4 watches, 4 warnings BWI: 4 watches, 4 warnings Tiebreaker: 10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 I think this is a contest with a high chance of a tie, so might I suggest a tiebreaker that will be a little easier for the contest starter to verify I'm not sure you want to comb through every one of Ji's posts from November 1-March 15, Wes... Maybe max snowfall in a single event at each airport? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 I think this is a contest with a high chance of a tie, so might I suggest a tiebreaker that will be a little easier for the contest starter to verify I'm not sure you want to comb through every one of Ji's posts from November 1-March 15, Wes... Maybe max snowfall in a single event at each airport? DCA: 3.3" IAD: 6.6" BWI: 5.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA: 5 watches, 1 warning IAD: 5 watches, 3 warnings BWI: 5 watches, 2 warnings Ji will post 18 Euro long-range "monster" snowstorm images (most will be from four storms, one or two of which will pan out as a smaller storm than depicted) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA 2 watches, 1 warnings IAD 3 watches and 2 warnings. BWI 2 watches and 1 warnings. Ji-Euro Storms: 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA 2 watches, 1 warnings IAD 5 watches and 3 warnings. BWI 4 watches and 3 warnings. Ji: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Tho Ji has become more conservative now that he's a a famous facebook forecaster so maybe he won't go for those long range events as much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 I'm surprised at some of the BWI guesses. How often does Anne Arundel County get more watches/warnings than Loudoun County? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 I'm surprised at some of the BWI guesses. How often does Anne Arundel County get more watches/warnings than Loudoun County? Miller Bs and clippers enhanced as they exit the coast can sometimes get that area better. Given what people seem to think the predominant storm track is going to be this winter -- and in recent winters -- it's harder to see BWI cashing in the most of all airports but it does happen for sure. Honestly, I think my numbers might be too high even though they are low. You do need to factor in the LWX overwarning syndrome though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Miller Bs and clippers enhanced as they exit the coast can sometimes get that area better. Given what people seem to think the predominant storm track is going to be this winter -- and in recent winters -- it's harder to see BWI cashing in the most of all airports but it does happen for sure. Honestly, I think my numbers might be too high even though they are low. You do need to factor in the LWX overwarning syndrome though. I'm probably forgetting a bunch of events. I definitely know that in some situations the area of like Harford County, Baltimore County and others right along the M/D line do get warned a lot more than south. We are probably in for a pretty meh winter but anything could be better in DC than the past few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 I'm probably forgetting a bunch of events. I definitely know that in some situations the area of like Harford County, Baltimore County and others right along the M/D line do get warned a lot more than south. We are probably in for a pretty meh winter but anything could be better in DC than the past few. We said that last year too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 18, 2013 Author Share Posted October 18, 2013 Miller Bs and clippers enhanced as they exit the coast can sometimes get that area better. Given what people seem to think the predominant storm track is going to be this winter -- and in recent winters -- it's harder to see BWI cashing in the most of all airports but it does happen for sure. Honestly, I think my numbers might be too high even though they are low. You do need to factor in the LWX overwarning syndrome though. I'd certainly bet that my numbers are too high. I thought the contest would be a fun one as you have to take into account the overwatch and warning syndrome....plus the IAD being pretty far west and getting lumped in with some of our western county neighbors on occasion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA 3 watches 2 warnings IAD 4 watches and 3 warnings BWI 4 watches and 3 warnings Ji tiebreaker: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 DCA: 3 watches, 1 warning IAD: 4 watches, 3 warnings BWI: 3 watches, 3 warnings Tiebreaker: 37 Ji Day 7+ Euro mega storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 DCA: 3 watches, 1 warning IAD: 4 watches 2 warnings BWI: 4 watches, 2 warnings JI Tiebreaker: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 How many did the airports have last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 DCA 3 watches, 1 warning IAD 5 watches, 3 warnings BWI 4 watches, 3 warnings Ji tiebraker: 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 19, 2013 Author Share Posted October 19, 2013 How many did the airports have last year. I think DCA had at least two. One Jason wrote about and then there was another in March that pretty much everyone busted on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 DCA 5 watches, 2 warnings IAD 5 watches, 3 warnings BWI 5 watches, 3 warnings Ji tiebreaker 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted October 19, 2013 Share Posted October 19, 2013 DCA 6 watches 3 WARNINGS Dulles 6 4 WARNINGS BWI 7 5 WARNINGS Ji Tiebreaker 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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