powderfreak Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Powderfreak will be here soon to tell us about Vermont's 26" upslope potential. Hahaha I'm not feeling this event for some reason. Something seems funky about the entire thing. I'm thinking 1-3" here right now, maybe up to 6" at the summit of the mtn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 9z SREF's are in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 When is the snow supposed to start for NE MA? Will I be dealing with this on my commute home from Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 Hahaha I'm not feeling this event for some reason. Something seems funky about the entire thing. I'm thinking 1-3" here right now, maybe up to 6" at the summit of the mtn. Yeah, I saw your thoughts in the NNE thread. At least we're all getting snow, though only minor accums. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 When is the snow supposed to start for NE MA? Will I be dealing with this on my commute home from Boston? Light snow is already breaking out in S ME and the NH coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Yeah, I saw your thoughts in the NNE thread. At least we're all getting snow, though only minor accums. Good luck! Yeah same to you, too dude. Hopefully its enough to bring a white christmas to many folks... all it takes is 2-3" to cover the grass and make it look festive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Light snow is already breaking out in S ME and the NH coastline. Nice, thanks. It took me 2 1/2 hours to get home the other night because of the snow...not complaining because I have been waiting for snow, but hopefully tonight will go better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 -sn in PWM ... looks to be flakes in the air all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 -sn in PWM ... looks to be flakes in the air all day. I think this will be more or less a tease until afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Dryslot, idk if I see 2-4 for lewiston based on the radar now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 12z NAM looks pretty bullish for Eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Hahaha I'm not feeling this event for some reason. Something seems funky about the entire thing. I'm thinking 1-3" here right now, maybe up to 6" at the summit of the mtn. How does that WRF hi res BTV model look this morning that you posted yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 12z NAM looks pretty bullish for Eastern areas. Hit me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Dryslot, idk if I see 2-4 for lewiston based on the radar now. Not now, By thurs we should be there overall, Really not progged to pick up until around 18z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocket Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I am confused yet again. I am looking at http://www.weather.gov/forecasts/graphical/sectors/massachusetts.php#tabs and seeing that, although minimal, the Worcester Plateau shows it will receive more snow than those just east of it. This snow coming from the NE, therefore I would think that it would break up and fizzle as it moved west and that the totals would be reverse. Anyone care to explain what is happening and why the model suggests as it does? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Looks to be done by 36h. Don't know how this set up compared to the other day as far as temps. aloft, but I gotta figure WWA may be posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Looks to be done by 36h. Don't know how this set up compared to the other day as far as temps. aloft, but I gotta figure WWA may be posted. One would think........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Looks like another 3-6 for the cape.. and 2-4 for GAY And then 40 degrees again tomorrow out east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 One would think........... Temps here are steady or slowly dropping. I hope that trend continues this afternoon. I except when the heavier snows come we will all drop below 32. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 How does that WRF hi res BTV model look this morning that you posted yesterday? http://www.erh.noaa.gov/btv/html/4kmwrf/ Its ok... definitely backed off a bit but still hits your area with some light snow. Has a little blip of >.1" QPF again near Union, CT. Its run off Flash so I can't copy and past the images... and I'm not on my home computer so I can't do the print-screen MS Paint routine either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 http://www.erh.noaa....tv/html/4kmwrf/ Its ok... definitely backed off a bit but still hits your area with some light snow. Has a little blip of >.1" QPF again near Union, CT. Its run off Flash so I can't copy and past the images... and I'm not on my home computer so I can't do the print-screen MS Paint routine either. Yeah def gives measurable snow to all of Eastern CT/NW RI. I'm sticking with 1-2 inches from TOL county north and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 http://www.erh.noaa....tv/html/4kmwrf/ Its ok... definitely backed off a bit but still hits your area with some light snow. Has a little blip of >.1" QPF again near Union, CT. Its run off Flash so I can't copy and past the images... and I'm not on my home computer so I can't do the print-screen MS Paint routine either. That is a cool model to look at, I like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Temps here are steady or slowly dropping. I hope that trend continues this afternoon. I except when the heavier snows come we will all drop below 32. I think with the heavier echoes you will see them drop some and level off, We are closing in on .50" snow here now......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 Snow not sticking here three blocks from Casco Bay. Matt - sticking in Standish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Snow not sticking here three blocks from Casco Bay. Matt - sticking in Standish? No, roads are melted right now. The snow is just barely coming down though and it is 33-34 ish. Lewiston just had some heavier snow go through, but don't worry, way too early yet. The heavier bands of snow just entered the radar scope in New Brunswick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 The next 48 hour snowfall map My reasoning is based on a 00z HIRES NMM/ARW blend combo with the 12z NAM/and colder based 6z GFS QPF regionwide roughly .25-.5", with enhanced areas of .5-.75" and .05 to .25" of QPF as one heads southwestward across SNE to just potential flurries southwest of the there. Bust potential exists for the 6-12" in Maine, as well as could bust too high over the Cape as BL temps could become an issue, especially if banding cannot get south enough. The area where I could bust too low exists from Cape Ann to Bar Harbor, ME as temperatures could cool enough to allow better accumulations as the heaviest snow bands drift southwestward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 The next 48 hour snowfall map My reasoning is based on a 00z HIRES NMM/ARW blend combo with the 12z NAM/and colder based 6z GFS QPF regionwide roughly .25-.5", with enhanced areas of .5-.75" and .05 to .25" of QPF as one heads southwestward across SNE to just potential flurries southwest of the there. Bust potential exists for the 6-12" in Maine, as well as could bust too high over the Cape as BL temps could become an issue, especially if banding cannot get south enough. The area where I could bust too low exists from Cape Ann to Bar Harbor, ME as temperatures could cool enough to allow better accumulations as the heaviest snow bands drift southwestward. Very reasonable map, good job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCPSUSuperstorm2010 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Very reasonable map, good job. Thanks Matt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Another good GFS run this morning...fa la la la la la 1-3''. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 OK so 12Z GFS looks very good for Maine. They have the snow building in this afternoon and snowing moderately all night until tomorrow. I would be angry just over the border if I lived inland about 15 miles in NH, and MA, the GFS has amounts really dropping off. Us Mainers look like we will get 4-8 inches, 4 near the NH border and 8 near Bangor depending on how cold or warm it gets. I think 6 is actually a good number for Portland since they actually have Portland in the .5-.75 range now. I wouldn't be surprised if a little more than that fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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