ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 12z GFS shifted a bit more toward the 00z Euro with better inverted trough signal. We're still kind of far out on this...a good 4+ days, so there's obviously a lot that can still wrong in this relatively fragile setup. I think most would be happy with a couple inches...enough to give a white Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 What are you talking about? Snow on Wed is coming You didn't throw the keys to the bus into the river in frustration did you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rivers Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 12z GFS shifted a bit more toward the 00z Euro with better inverted trough signal. We're still kind of far out on this...a good 4+ days, so there's obviously a lot that can still wrong in this relatively fragile setup. I think most would be happy with a couple inches...enough to give a white Christmas. yes indeed! a perfect white christmas is 2-3 inches of snow while litely falling christmas eve . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I think many are snake bitten, but the pattern for Christmas is probably one of the better ones that we've seen in a while. Rather good agreement of some sort of cstl low this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I think many are snake bitten, but the pattern for Christmas is probably one of the better ones that we've seen in a while. Rather good agreement of some sort of cstl low this far out. Gotta get back on the horse...despite model busts. Like last February when nobody would forecast more than a few sloppy inches for the interior after that Feb 10 bust, and then we got hammered. I think this inverted trough can provide a decent consolation prize. It would be nice to see a couple inches of snow to get us back in the seasonal spirit. Obviously we still have a few days before verification. As for Christmas, we may still be too suppressed with the blocking vortex to our north, but we could easily see something too. As I posted the analog dates in the pattern thread, there were certainly some heavy hitters in there...so we got a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I think many are snake bitten, but the pattern for Christmas is probably one of the better ones that we've seen in a while. Rather good agreement of some sort of cstl low this far out. I cant even begin to track right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Gotta get back on the horse...despite model busts. Like last February when nobody would forecast more than a few sloppy inches for the interior after that Feb 10 bust, and then we got hammered. I think this inverted trough can provide a decent consolation prize. It would be nice to see a couple inches of snow to get us back in the seasonal spirit. Obviously we still have a few days before verification. As for Christmas, we may still be too suppressed with the blocking vortex to our north, but we could easily see something too. As I posted the analog dates in the pattern thread, there were certainly some heavy hitters in there...so we got a chance. Yeah I'm hopeful for a couple of inches on Tuesday Night. That's fine with me, I haven't even seen the ground whitened yet so any snow cover would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 18, 2010 Author Share Posted December 18, 2010 I think many are snake bitten, but the pattern for Christmas is probably one of the better ones that we've seen in a while. Rather good agreement of some sort of cstl low this far out. Keep talking dirty to me. It's winter and it snows in winter ... sooner or later. The models aren't always going to be as atrocious as they were last week. Maybe they're right about this. Hopefully the Euro signs on to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Keep talking dirty to me. It's winter and it snows in winter ... sooner or later. The models aren't always going to be as atrocious as they were last week. Maybe they're right about this. Hopefully the Euro signs on to it. I feel sort of like I did after Game 3 of the '04 ALCS: completely disgusted and drained of hope, vowing I wouldn't even watch the next game. Of course, by first pitch the next night I was right back in the saddle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Keep talking dirty to me. It's winter and it snows in winter ... sooner or later. The models aren't always going to be as atrocious as they were last week. Maybe they're right about this. Hopefully the Euro signs on to it. That's the spirit. One day soon there will be much rejoicing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 18, 2010 Author Share Posted December 18, 2010 I feel sort of like I did after Game 3 of the '04 ALCS: completely disgusted and drained of hope, vowing I wouldn't even watch the next game. Of course, by first pitch the next night I was right back in the saddle. Yup, same here. As soon as there was something else after the failed HECS to be interested in I took my clothes off and jumped right in. If I lived someplace where it doesn't snow much and had the rug pulled out from under me like that then I'd probably still be curled up in a fetal position. But we live where it snows and there'll be other chances coming down the pike in short order. That's the spirit. One day soon there will be much rejoicing. Amen. Just need to get that first region-wide snow in the books and that'll soothe the restless natives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yup, same here. As soon as there was something else after the failed HECS to be interested in I took my clothes off and jumped right in. If I lived someplace where it doesn't snow much and had the rug pulled out from under me like that then I'd probably still be curled up in a fetal position. But we live where it snows and there'll be other chances coming down the pike in short order. Amen. Just need to get that first region-wide snow in the books and that'll soothe the restless natives. Yes, Brother Eric, that is the word of Ullr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Keep talking dirty to me. It's winter and it snows in winter ... sooner or later. The models aren't always going to be as atrocious as they were last week. Maybe they're right about this. Hopefully the Euro signs on to it. That's about all I'm gonna say. It could be a suppressed piece of crap too, but I like some of the players on the field. However, these players have to perform. They could also perform like the 2010 Beckett. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 cmc global drives the storm into se ga. shredder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 18, 2010 Author Share Posted December 18, 2010 That's about all I'm gonna say. It could be a suppressed piece of crap too, but I like some of the players on the field. However, these players have to perform. They could also perform like the 2010 Beckett. Understood. We're still at moneypitmike range til this would occur so can't get too involved. I will say I DO NOT LIKE being in the bullseye right now. lol. And to keep it on topic, I'm feeling pretty good about the midweek potential. Might only be an inch or two but that would be a nice appetizer for the Xmas weekend KU that I'm not particularly jazzed up for attm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Gotta get back on the horse...despite model busts. Like last February when nobody would forecast more than a few sloppy inches for the interior after that Feb 10 bust, and then we got hammered. I think this inverted trough can provide a decent consolation prize. It would be nice to see a couple inches of snow to get us back in the seasonal spirit. Obviously we still have a few days before verification. As for Christmas, we may still be too suppressed with the blocking vortex to our north, but we could easily see something too. As I posted the analog dates in the pattern thread, there were certainly some heavy hitters in there...so we got a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 18, 2010 Author Share Posted December 18, 2010 cmc global drives the storm into se ga. shredder. Suppression for 12/25-26 at this time is a-ok by me. I prefer that over the eye candy the 12Z GFS tried to sell. The 12z CMC rewards Maine nicely on this run, I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Euro lost the snow.lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 18, 2010 Author Share Posted December 18, 2010 Euro lost the snow.lol. Boooo!!! Hisss!!!! Burp run. Comes back at 0z. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Euro lost the snow.lol. Yeah that's ugly looking. Though it didn't have much yesterday at 12z and then it brought it back in the 00z run. Actually it does have a little at 102h....at any rate, these inverted troughs are always fickle and you usually don't know whats happening until really close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yeah that's ugly looking. Though it didn't have much yesterday at 12z and then it brought it back in the 00z run. Actually it does have a little at 102h....at any rate, these inverted troughs are always fickle and you usually don't know whats happening until really close in. Even the H5 depiction is different. The 00z had a real nice looking closed low going underneath us. I agree though, these things are fickle so they probably will come and go on runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yeah that's ugly looking. Though it didn't have much yesterday at 12z and then it brought it back in the 00z run. Actually it does have a little at 102h....at any rate, these inverted troughs are always fickle and you usually don't know whats happening until really close in. I will hold the ball, you kick. The amazing discontinuity in runs continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Wow the news keeps getting better and better, miss tomorrow, IVT a bust for midweek(this run) and xmas storm, well anything could happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Seems the trend has been for less and less though, but I haven't given up yet. My eyes are pretty much set on the Xmas event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Seems the trend has been for less and less though, but I haven't given up yet. My eyes are pretty much set on the Xmas event. Yup. A Christmas snowstorm would be a lot of fun. I really hope that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Seems the trend has been for less and less though, but I haven't given up yet. My eyes are pretty much set on the Xmas event. our disaster bomb needs to go into 50/50 land, suppression depression Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yup. A Christmas snowstorm would be a lot of fun. I really hope that verifies. Christmas '02 was pretty sweet. Somehow, I think the snow gods are just against us so far, but maybe we can finally catch a break this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Christmas '02 was pretty sweet. Somehow, I think the snow gods are just against us so far, but maybe we can finally catch a break this time around. Dr. No continues the trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 There's not gonna be any X-mas snow storm. It;s Tuesday night or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Dr. No continues the trend Southern Virginia has become the new snow belt this winter. Congrats for anyone visiting Richmond on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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