moneypitmike Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Got another solid freeze overnight. At or below 32F since 230am. If the last freeze did not end my growing season, this one should polish it off. I'm already noticed some of my grass on the shady side of the house going brown. Looks like the official low will be around 30-31F. Nice -- about 6* cooler than my 36.1. Temp rebounding now. 38.8/36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Down to 31º this am. Frosty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 BDR-warmest October to date, BDL, 4th warmest. Party ends soon though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 First sub 40 low here this AM...38.8. Back up to 51 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Temps kept falling until 7:30 or so hit 31.6, so my monthly low and first sub-freezing of the season, although it was short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Concern seems to be setting in with the +AO...oh nose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 this is the worst time of year. too warm for big snows, too cold to enjoy being outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 It's 65 out now. Plenty of warmth to rock out with sock out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Its brutal 57F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 A frigid 56.7°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 this is the worst time of year. too warm for big snows, too cold to enjoy being outside It's April - although, I was rt 2 with warm sun and 67F on the console -- it's okay today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Check on the elderly and small pets... it is soooo cold out...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 60F up here...sunny and although it'll be an above normal day it will lower the monthly departure, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 60F up here...sunny and although it'll be an above normal day it will lower the monthly departure, lol. Torch on. End of the season golf tourney is Sunday 10 AM. Some frosty tee boxes I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 The first half warmth will definitely get a dent put in it, but it won't be erased. I think LR guidance has done fairly well...they saw the potential for the big warmth for the first half of this month and for a long time have signaled 10/20 or so as the flip to a cooler regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Sitting at 62.4/38 off a high of 63.5. Nice day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 this is the worst time of year. too warm for big snows, too cold to enjoy being outside? Fantastic day, just got in.long hike with the dogs then leaf burning. Sitting on my deck with a tee shirt on at 530 and comfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 ? Fantastic day, just got in.long hike with the dogs then leaf burning. Sitting on my deck with a tee shirt on at 530 and comfortable. You burn leaves? That has to be extremely tough and smoky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 You burn leaves? That has to be extremely tough and smoky.Big fire pit with hot fire burning first, no close neighbors , those who are have their own pits. They are very dry and combust quickly. Not too smoky either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 48.3 here. Dropping quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shrewsbury91 Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 You from Shrewsbury mass? Yes I am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Burger and Cabernet at JFK awaiting my long flight to Seattle. It's coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Ws games over by 8 ftw for me this week. Lol....some guy in a booth has a 500mb map open., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Ws games over by 8 ftw for me this week. Lol....some guy in a booth has a 500mb map open., That is bizzare. Weenie in Seattle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Ws games over by 8 ftw for me this week. Lol....some guy in a booth has a 500mb map open., Pilot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Dust off the shovels! Kevin @TollandKev 23m Looks like a snowy day in NE CT on Wednesday .http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_MESO-ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Dust off the shovels! Kevin @TollandKev 23m Looks like a snowy day in NE CT on Wednesday .http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_MESO-ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif … L.O freaking L. Ironically, Kevin's location isn't even on that clown map. Modfan, NECT, Ginxy, and myself might get a bit of something from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 theres hope!! http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20131021&RT=15&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=CEF&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=41.984674099176885&mLON=-71.78395562630271&mTYP=roadmap Dust off the shovels! Kevin @TollandKev 23m Looks like a snowy day in NE CT on Wednesday .http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_MESO-ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif … Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Just wanted to post something I've been experimenting with. This is a plot showing the top analogs based on the day 10 forecast of 500 hPa height from the ECMWF. I plotted the composite mean and standard deviation of the analogs. I used the rmse between the forecast and NCEP reanalysis data for the northern hemisphere to rank the analogs. Unlike the CPC, I did not impose the date of the analogs to be within 35 days of the forecast date. The reanalysis data I used also only goes back to 1979 so there won't be any analogs before that time. Any comments or suggestions would be appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Just wanted to post something I've been experimenting with. This is a plot showing the top analogs based on the day 10 forecast of 500 hPa height from the ECMWF. I plotted the composite mean and standard deviation of the analogs. I used the rmse between the forecast and NCEP reanalysis data for the northern hemisphere to rank the analogs. Unlike the CPC, I did not impose the date of the analogs to be within 35 days of the forecast date. The reanalysis data I used also only goes back to 1979 so there won't be any analogs before that time. Any comments or suggestions would be appreciated. ecmAnalog240.png Love the out of the box thinking here. Seems to me much more relevant and a better representation of the state of the atmosphere with correlations to previous similar evolutions. Good stuff right there. And oh those dates, yum, EDIT would love to see the same based on the Euro Ens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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