CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Didn't notice any frost this morning in Randolph, but we're at about 225 feet. Just saw that OWD dropped from 34 to 32 in the latest obs. Maybe the first frost tonight at home? Even in Hyde Park too. Just in protected area I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Hey Scott as you and PF were talking about earlier this week how Atlanta could be colder than up in parts of the NE for a morning or two. Well here in the mountains of WNC we had a low of 22 degrees with the NWS calling for some snow coming in tonight. Crazy how things work out sometimes from North but yall always hammer use on snow totals up here. That happens a lot. The cold has a more srly punch which is why the coldest anomalies are down there. Not necessarily coldest air, but a comparible airmass that far south means big - departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 41 this AM - great running weather. Maybe we'll get our first frost Friday or Saturday morning. 43/34 still haven't gotten into the 30's here yet his cold season. only .01 in the bucket yesterday at UUU, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 28.6F for the low here this am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Dec 2007 esque Yes, except 10F warmer since its early November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Yes, except 10F warmer since its early November. Yes that would be right but it's nice too see that pattern being modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Dec 2007 esque Getting your hopes up high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Getting your hopes up high? lol, Would not do any good if the gradient ended up over QUE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 this stretch of weather has rivaled some of the other prolonged quiet periods since i joined eastern. hope this snaps soon. still looks like tues night would be really chilly if the euro has the right idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 tons of leaves falling after the wind kicked up lots of almost bare trees now starting to get the winter feel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Getting your hopes up high? you know it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 this stretch of weather has rivaled some of the other prolonged quiet periods since i joined eastern. hope this snaps soon. still looks like tues night would be really chilly if the euro has the right idea. Extremely boring. We've had some bizzare Autumns so I suppose we were going to get some boredom sooner or later. At least the media can't hype or blame AGW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Hey Scott as you and PF were talking about earlier this week how Atlanta could be colder than up in parts of the NE for a morning or two. Well here in the mountains of WNC we had a low of 22 degrees with the NWS calling for some snow coming in tonight. Crazy how things work out sometimes from North but yall always hammer use on snow totals up here. Yeah you guys will crush us in departures with lows like that. I don't think anyone but Saranac Lake, NY has gotten into the low 20s yet this season up in the northeast. Awesome. And a great example of how a weak thermal gradient aloft brings the anomalies much further south. Likewise in the summer, we may have similar temperatures but the anomalies would be north instead of south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 6z GFS was most mild yet. 30th-2nd timeframe looks warm. Two rain shots there with the cutters. Second looks like most rainfall. More in NNE. Euro supports the GFS, but even more mild, cutter way further N. GEM on bored too. GFS ensemble mean isn't as warm as euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Found this photo floating around the inter-webs of Cleveland this morning...Lake Erie was cranking last night. Lots of leaves still on those trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Trees are pretty much bare here I'm taunton, even the stubborn oak In the front yard that was fully green until last week will be bare within a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Trees are pretty much bare here I'm taunton, even the stubborn oak In the front yard that was fully green until last week will be bare within a few days. My oaks made a noticeable change this week. My maples/birch are pretty done. Was another frosty one this AM. Could be in the 20s the next couple AM's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Found this photo floating around the inter-webs of Cleveland this morning...Lake Erie was cranking last night. Lots of leaves still on those trees. image.jpg Thats pretty sweet. Tug Hill could get a couple rounds between now and next week, but the flow doesn't look to align long enough to be a huge event anywhere. Still, nice to see some legit winter wx in the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Thats pretty sweet. Tug Hill could get a couple rounds between now and next week, but the flow doesn't look to align long enough to be a huge event anywhere. Still, nice to see some legit winter wx in the northeast. Yeah, and as we know getting photos out of the Tug Hill (as well as reports) is difficult so who knows if it'll even be observed, lol. The Tug Hill makes the Green Mountains seem like a bustling metropolis. But seeing that in or near Cleveland is impressive...that looks like it may have caused some issues for a populated region, and being near the warm lake you know that foliage is probably hanging on stronger than most areas in the northeast. Nice to see photos of snow in inhabited areas though, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 big difference next week between the 12z gfs and, so far, ggem (which was closer to the euro). the latter has big sprawling cold HP settling over the NE Mon-Wed while the GFS has a quick glancing shot through NNE and allows a wave to ride up through the GL, such that we are back into S flow very quickly Tue/Tue eve. could conceivably be cooler tue/wed than the end of this week and see lower 20s at night in the typical radiational cooling spots on the GGEM...or rising through the 40s on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 euro actually offers up a little snow...or at least not plain liquid...to C and NNE the middle of next week with a wave running out S of SNE. Cool HP moves in mon-wed and only slowly retreats NE so the LL cold stays pretty firmly in place...and instead of a big wound up cutter...it's a weak flat wave ejecting out of the Ohio Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 My oaks made a noticeable change this week. My maples/birch are pretty done. Was another frosty one this AM. Could be in the 20s the next couple AM's. yeah everything here is pretty much done. Grass is even done growing here. Not much green at all, if any. It happens sneaky quick around here it seems like. Will be enjoying the cooler nights and days for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 euro actually offers up a little snow...or at least not plain liquid...to C and NNE the middle of next week with a wave running out S of SNE. Cool HP moves in mon-wed and only slowly retreats NE so the LL cold stays pretty firmly in place...and instead of a big wound up cutter...it's a weak flat wave ejecting out of the Ohio Valley. Hope this is start of consistency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 So bummed I'm in NY right now and not home. Friends say it's snowing down to the village elevation now. Looking white up at the office. Upslope delight. Mountain near the county line under moderate echoes for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 So bummed I'm in NY right now and not home. Friends say it's snowing down to the village elevation now. Looking white up at the office. Upslope delight. Mountain near the county line under moderate echoes for a while now. image.jpg image.jpg There's certainly some upslope enhancement going on in association with a cold front and some lake moisture being entrained (although not pure upslope in a classic sense). The sounding is good for the spine and east today with the lack of any inversion and 25 knots of due west wind pushing it up and over the mountain. Froude > 1 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 While not pure upslope, there's certainly some upslope enhancement going on in association with a cold front and some lake moisture being entrained. The sounding is prettyyyy good for the spine and east today with the lack of any inversion and 25 knots of due west wind pushing it up and over the mountain. Froude > 1 today. I keep waiting to see if MVL will switch over...numerous posts on FB from friends saying it's snowing in town but not sticking obviously. That's usually how it goes if it's starting to stick at the ski area base, we'll get cat paw flakes in town. Radar does look like Froude over 1 just based on experience if the precip is reaching well into the RT 100 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 I keep waiting to see if MVL will switch over...numerous posts on FB from friends saying it's snowing in town but not sticking obviously. That's usually how it goes if it's starting to stick at the ski area base, we'll get cat paw flakes in town. Radar does look like Froude over 1 just based on experience if the precip is reaching well into the RT 100 corridor. Yeah I'm gonna bet they're mixing when its coming down on the heavier side. We had some mix in here (more like melting graupel) too although not "officially" on the ob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Saw on facebook snowflakes in Torrington, CT at 3:40 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Saw on facebook snowflakes in Torrington, CT at 3:40 PM Looks like some stray echos on radar but temps seem a little high for flurries: mid-upper 40s out that way. If someone saw them, more power to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 I keep waiting to see if MVL will switch over...numerous posts on FB from friends saying it's snowing in town but not sticking obviously. That's usually how it goes if it's starting to stick at the ski area base, we'll get cat paw flakes in town. Radar does look like Froude over 1 just based on experience if the precip is reaching well into the RT 100 corridor. Still seeing enhancement along the Greens and some of the WRF runs keep it going into the overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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