TalcottWx Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 Very odd seeing that high cold dome over the plains drop down into Tx and evaporate. Pretty cool to see on a loop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 Why don't you have a met tag? I like flying under the radar on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 LOL nah not me today. I don't think i would even admit that we're overdue for this... haha I honestly don't blame you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 Impressive D5.5 on the 18z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2013 Share Posted October 23, 2013 Impressice -EPO setting up for next week thanks to TC response. In return it "may" set up an interesting setup for at least NNE. The TCs in these images noted by the low level cyclonic vorticity contoured in black...you can see how it pushes up a huge ridge over the NE Pacific in response the Aleutian low that is reinforced by the extra-tropical transitioning of both TCs. So here we are next week. Notice the ridge pushing into western Canada and a PV love diving SSE past HUdson Bay. Now notice the cutoff low over the Rockies. As this moves east, it will have to be watched for the "potential" for some wintry wx perhaps at least in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Nice analysis, Coastalwx....great post. Go Sox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Impressice -EPO setting up for next week thanks to TC response. In return it "may" set up an interesting setup for at least NNE. The TCs in these images noted by the low level cyclonic vorticity contoured in black...you can see how it pushes up a huge ridge over the NE Pacific in response the Aleutian low that is reinforced by the extra-tropical transitioning of both TCs. So here we are next week. Notice the ridge pushing into western Canada and a PV love diving SSE past HUdson Bay. Now notice the cutoff low over the Rockies. As this moves east, it will have to be watched for the "potential" for some wintry wx perhaps at least in NNE. The euro ens at day 10 h5 anomaly looks like it would send down another shot of cold air for the first week of november. Looks interesting in terms of keeping the east below normal. You have split flowish in the west, with a cutoff in the sw and ridging in the pacific northwest into canada. You have an erroding -epo and a north atlantic ridge which is bottling some chilly air in the eastern third of the US. Only scary thing is there is a pv lobe that is rotating slowly down towards alaska, while another is parked over greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 While it is in La-la land, the 18z GFS had a pretty potent SE Canada blizzard for Nova Scotia etc day 7-9, brings a back door cold front through NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Great post Scooter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Snowing at Stowe Mountain Lodge now... base of the mountain at 1,500ft. Its 36/30 there right now. Upslope machine starting to turn on briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 The 18z GFS was at or just below normal for the majority of the run. Could be a bit windy as a storm rockets eastward over CNE next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 The 18z GFS was at or just below normal for the majority of the run. Could be a bit windy as a storm rockets eastward over CNE next week. Yeah that was a pretty cold run. I liked that one...develops a nice gradient too which gives us some storms and precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Yeah that was a pretty cold run. I liked that one...develops a nice gradient too which gives us some storms and precip. It's all about how amplified that GL low becomes.. if it wraps up and rides to the border we will be very mild. GFS kept it south and rid it overhead. Low approaching from west over Chicago heading NE and a building bermuda high we'll have a nice mild southerly breeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 12z GEM was sort of in between with next weeks low. rid it over NNE, mild in SNE. snow chances perhaps for the mountains on the backside of this low. I'm leaning towards the warmer solution on EURO and GEM judging by pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Mansfield at 11pm...first true accumulation of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Back to back cutters 30th-2nd 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 35 degrees here right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 31.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 43/34 still haven't gotten into the 30's here yet his cold season. only .01 in the bucket yesterday at UUU, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 39.2 here. That's the low, but a bit of a breeze here on President's Hill in Weymouth. Heat on FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Low of 30F here. Blue sky morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Low of 30F here. Blue sky morning. Same here. Even the hill tops were frosted at 32° (or at least on the 1000' hill I go over). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 33 at ORH, almost first freeze, but not quite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Looks like a lot of uncertainty beyond D6-7 on most guidance...Euro ensembles do support the cutter scenario to a certain extent for the first couple days of November....but then try and cool us down again. they try and build the Aleutian ridge a little bit, but its not very confident looking on the ensembles. We'll just have to wait and see what happens. It looks like the GEFS agree on the Aleutian ridge part late in their run. Big +NAO so it causes a gradient over the northeast into SE Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Snowed and accumulated down to 1,000ft last night (I put a couple photos/web cams in the NNE thread)... MVL reported no precip type but 0.01" fell in the can with a shower passing by with temps in the 36-38F range which was likely flurries or graupel (judging by other obs in the area and dry surface air, mid/upper 30s brought flakes to the surface). MPV put up its first -SN obs of the season at 36F around 2am. Nice to see something more in line with what late October should be (it's more normal for snow this time of year than +7 departures, lol)...as BTV said yesterday, it's overdue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Frost in Milton by Blue hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 39.2 here. That's the low, but a bit of a breeze here on President's Hill in Weymouth. Heat on FTL. Hey Scott as you and PF were talking about earlier this week how Atlanta could be colder than up in parts of the NE for a morning or two. Well here in the mountains of WNC we had a low of 22 degrees with the NWS calling for some snow coming in tonight. Crazy how things work out sometimes from North but yall always hammer use on snow totals up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Frost in Milton by Blue hill. Didn't notice any frost this morning in Randolph, but we're at about 225 feet. Just saw that OWD dropped from 34 to 32 in the latest obs. Maybe the first frost tonight at home? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 33 at 6:15 this morning in the microclimate of Winsted. Very bizaar how the weather changes dramatically once you hit Torrington going up Rt 8. saw some wet flakes last night on the way home from work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted October 24, 2013 Share Posted October 24, 2013 Looks like a lot of uncertainty beyond D6-7 on most guidance...Euro ensembles do support the cutter scenario to a certain extent for the first couple days of November....but then try and cool us down again. they try and build the Aleutian ridge a little bit, but its not very confident looking on the ensembles. We'll just have to wait and see what happens. It looks like the GEFS agree on the Aleutian ridge part late in their run. Big +NAO so it causes a gradient over the northeast into SE Canada. Dec 2007 esque Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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