moneypitmike Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 I guess a near normal day today (progged mid-50's) before the somewhat cooler weather for the remainder of the week. Surprised to see the 40% pop for GC on Wednedsay. A little bullish? 42.3/41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 43.5 here. Looks like 42 for the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 The zzzzzzzzzzzzzz continues for the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 The zzzzzzzzzzzzzz continues for the foreseeable future. Yep. Dry as hell here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 43.5 here. Looks like 42 for the low Better than dorchester as a radiator Did cold spots get low 30's again. I see KBED is 37 @730 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Better than dorchester as a radiator Did cold spots get low 30's again. I see KBED is 37 @730 It was 37° here in the hills of NE CT and there was a few patches of frost lower down on rooftops. Lots of fog in the valleys that looked pretty against the few remaining trees with color - mostly oaks at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Weenie cold shot at the end of last night's Euro...that's like 18C below normal 850s across CNE. Lots of spread on the ens past d7 though. Now *that* would be a worthy cold shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Better than dorchester as a radiator Did cold spots get low 30's again. I see KBED is 37 @730 OWD was 35 an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Some day we will have something to discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Been watching that on the models the last few days, Euro has it as well, Mtns would definitely see flakes i think with that Yesterday's forecast (using GFS thicknesses) brought a rain/snow mix down to the WFO overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Euro ensembles are a pretty boring pattern for early November...they do keep the cold pretty close by. It looks around average for us, but there's some good spread in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Euro ensembles are a pretty boring pattern for early November...they do keep the cold pretty close by. It looks around average for us, but there's some good spread in the long range. Not often the flow is flat near AK so I figured there is some good spread too. I guess it's Not a bad thing to have Canada cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Better than dorchester as a radiator Did cold spots get low 30's again. I see KBED is 37 @730 It's not a great radiator. I'm on a bit of a hill but yeah better than DOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Not often the flow is flat near AK so I figured there is some good spread too. I guess it's Not a bad thing to have Canada cold. are we confident at this point of no major storms thru first cpl days of november Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 are we confident at this point of no major storms thru first cpl days of november Are we ever confident in no storminess 10-12 days out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Are we ever confident in no storminess 10-12 days out?Of a major storm, i would say certainly yes.I said major, so that sure there could be weak little impulses I'll take the answer in this particular instance as no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 I'm just a little envious of my co-workers in Iowa reporting snow. Balmy 45.9/44 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Anyone concerned about the lack of storminess? Reminds me of the start of the dreaded couplets of 01-02 and 11-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Anyone concerned about the lack of storminess? Reminds me of the start of the dreaded couplets of 01-02 and 11-12 Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 I'm just a little envious of my co-workers in Iowa reporting snow. Balmy 45.9/44 here. MXO might even be seeing a bit of accumulation at 1SM. Heavy snow being reported a bit NW of there on the UNI campus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 MXO might even be seeing a bit of accumulation at 1SM. Heavy snow being reported a bit NW of there on the UNI campus. Our headquarters is in CID--the report came from someone who works remotely about an hour from there, but not sure where. It's a big state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Of a major storm, i would say certainly yes. I said major, so that sure there could be weak little impulses I'll take the answer in this particular instance as no You can have a record breaking storm in 10 days even if the models don't show anything, extremely small changes in the short term forecast can have major implications if extrapolated 10 days. A guy sneezing out of a biplane today in Alaska can change your accuweather 45 day forecast from sunny to snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Anyone concerned about the lack of storminess? Reminds me of the start of the dreaded couplets of 01-02 and 11-12 LOL what about Oct 2011? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 There may be a couple of cutters in early Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 There may be a couple of cutters in early Nov.lol great.I may take over for MPM but I'm a little concerned with the dry pattern we've had the last few weeks. Since our snowfall correlates to precip more than temps up north, I always get antsy for some moisture to start showing up. Even if it's rain, I'd take some storms or cutter just to get some moisture around. Any of the long range mets see signs of a wetter pattern developing or more active? Like southern stream moisture on the rise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 There may be a couple of cutters in early Nov. Euro actually had one at day 10...though it was pretty far west. Way too early to tell if we don't get a major system passing through the lakes or if its just weak waves. The ensemble mean actually has troughing decently east...but the flow still looks fast. I'll say that the pattern does look pretty boring overall since the cold retreats north and any systems would likely have limited potential for frozen precip...but I guess thats not to be unexpected this time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Well if more of a gradient pattern develops then yes, the pattern will get more active and I think it will. October 2005 had record rains and ask everyone up north how that winter was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Euro actually had one at day 10...though it was pretty far west. Way too early to tell if we don't get a major system passing through the lakes or if its just weak waves. The ensemble mean actually has troughing decently east...but the flow still looks fast. I'll say that the pattern does look pretty boring overall since the cold retreats north and any systems would likely have limited potential for frozen precip...but I guess thats not to be unexpected this time of the year. Yeah it stinks for the next 10 days or so....but perhaps gets a little more active beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Our headquarters is in CID--the report came from someone who works remotely about an hour from there, but not sure where. It's a big state. Snowing in CID too, but my guess would be the Waterloo-Cedar Falls area (where UNI campus is). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 22, 2013 Share Posted October 22, 2013 Well if more of a gradient pattern develops then yes, the pattern will get more active and I think it will. October 2005 had record rains and ask everyone up north how that winter was. Very true...though at least that month had ridiculous mountain snows. I skied the woods on a three foot base that month, lol, and Killington had like 60 trails open on natural snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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