dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Yesterdays fantasy land Euro really made me look twice, like you said man o man. I am not weenieing just saw a model output that screamed holy heck. Interesting times coming up for many. As we say in good fun. NB (hi Ryan) Trough is pretty stout being modeled for this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Man that is a deep trough and precarious look late next week. It might not be enough, but oh boy...that's an interesting look. No kidding -- I cracked open the 00z oper. GFS run and my chin hit the floor! Let's just hope there are no leaves on the trees this go? ...can we make that happen?? I lost power for 6 days in that October freak-show and as much as I love a good winter storm/event, no f thanks man! I've said this a hundred times over the years ... the luster and magnificence of a the big winter storm runs out real, real fast when you are standing in the dark and realizing that just about everything there is in your modern world that makes life what it is requires electricity. Oh you can hang out by candle-light, freezing your bum off, ...trying to rationalize it as something it is not. But it sucks! Anyone that says otherwise is full of shyt, lying, or insane. Pick. ...But I digress... now back to your regularly scheduled programming that requires the power remains steady - word! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 rolled the rest of winter for fun Yeah, looks "iffy" for New England with barely below average ...confined to southern areas. Central and N, totally normal. I wonder if that -NAO could become so dominant that it pulls a 2009'er and slams the MA with snowmeggedons while Maine ekes out an above average from heights actually building down from the N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Spot on tip amazing while its happening though. Lost power for 9 days at my house. The crazy side of me wants to go threw it again though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Yeah, looks "iffy" for New England with barely below average ...confined to southern areas. Central and N, totally normal. I wonder if that -NAO could become so dominant that it pulls a 2009'er and slams the MA with snowmeggedons while Maine ekes out an above average from heights actually building down from the N. Lets not be talking foolishly now, We don't need a repeat, Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Lets not be talking foolishly now, We don't need a repeat, Thank you That was so anomalous, I doubt we see that happen any time soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 That was so anomalous, I doubt we see that happen any time soon. lol, That is true, Just the mention of it though sends a chill up my spine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 It is the CMC at hr180, with a known bias to overdo these troughs. But anyway, wow, drops the 850mb 0C isotherm to the Gulf Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 It is the CMC at hr180, with a known bias to overdo these troughs. But anyway, wow, drops the 850mb 0C isotherm to the Gulf Coast. f180.gif Its a start, Going to really miss your maps this winter.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Lets not be talking foolishly now, We don't need a repeat, Thank youfor that time of year and that 5 h depiction that's one stormy period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Its a start, Going to really miss your maps this winter.............. Haha well I'll be home for Christmas, so if you guys can get me a snowstorm around then, maybe I'll put together another Freudian snowfall map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Haha well I'll be home for Christmas, so if you guys can get me a snowstorm around then, maybe I'll put together another Freudian snowfall map Check the next cubicle over and check with santa and see if he can place the order.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Yeah, looks "iffy" for New England with barely below average ...confined to southern areas. Central and N, totally normal. I wonder if that -NAO could become so dominant that it pulls a 2009'er and slams the MA with snowmeggedons while Maine ekes out an above average from heights actually building down from the N. One would think that average would be good enough for you guys to get snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 17, 2013 Author Share Posted October 17, 2013 Weekend cool push seems more muted. Guidance trending milder Saturday and Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 One would think that average would be good enough for you guys to get snow? Heh, like Will said -- it's not likely to actually work out that way given to the rarity of that set up that year. Just saying, that particular product that was posted showed a strong warm anomaly near the SW domain space of the NAO, and it pushes some more average looking anomalies into N NE from the N because of it. How that comes about if it even verifies that way, who knows. But I doubt DCA has more snow that BOS. As far as average, I don't think ORH had less snow that year than the MA, so yeah ... average for us is an over-performance for the MA, no question. That's obvious climatology there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Heh, like Will said -- it's not likely to actually work out that way given to the rarity of that set up that year. Just saying, that particular product that was posted showed a strong warm anomaly near the SW domain space of the NAO, and it pushes some more average looking anomalies into N NE from the N because of it. How that comes about if it even verifies that way, who knows. But I doubt DCA has more snow that BOS. As far as average, I don't think ORH had less snow that year than the MA, so yeah ... average for us is an over-performance for the MA, no question. That's obvious climatology there. Heh, check my sig for 2009-2010...we had less snow than Philly and Baltimore and Dulles. (though we did finish with more than DCA) Only winter on record ORH had less snow than PHL and BWI...and the 2nd time they had less than Dulles (IAD). The other winter was 1979-1980 when IAD had 26.8" and ORH had 26.6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Heh, check my sig for 2009-2010...we had less snow than Philly and Baltimore and Dulles. (though we did finish with more than DCA) Only winter on record ORH had less snow than PHL and BWI...and the 2nd time they had less than Dulles (IAD). The other winter was 1979-1980 when IAD had 26.8" and ORH had 26.6". What were their totals that year? I mean PHL and BWI for 09-10? I just thought it was ridiculous that PHL had 3 different events of 18" or more. That's incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Weekend cool push seems more muted. Guidance trending milder Saturday and Sunday. 6z and 12z looks like intermittent slightly below to below shots of cold, nothing extreme like that 0z run. (GFS) Pretty much nothing I see in today's runs looks like anything extraordinary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 What were their totals that year? I mean PHL and BWI for 09-10? I just thought it was ridiculous that PHL had 3 different events of 18" or more. That's incredible. I think PHL was 78" and BWI was 77"...IAD was like 72" or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Rather chilly euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Rather chilly euro run. D10 looks kind of interesting if we could roll it forward another 24 hours. Way out in weenie range obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 30-40's for highs up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 D10 looks kind of interesting if we could roll it forward another 24 hours. Way out in weenie range obviously. I know though...I thought the same. Sickos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 I think PHL was 78" and BWI was 77"...IAD was like 72" or something. We had 87" in Stowe Village that winter based on the CoCoRAHS station...I was wondering if they beat us down there but looks like they were close. I'll say their 70-80" was probably higher impact snow than the 87" here which included 17" of fluff in a late-Feb upslope storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 D10 looks kind of interesting if we could roll it forward another 24 hours. Way out in weenie range obviously. My thoughts exactly lol. I'd be kinda interested in what that s/w on top of the ridge does too. Days 11-14 look like they could be a lot of fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 D10 looks kind of interesting if we could roll it forward another 24 hours. Way out in weenie range obviously. No kidding. That would be something as we end the month. Models are still signaling something occurring towards the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 To point this out for the members. Here is the Day 10 panel off E-Wall. Nic s/w coming out of Canada round the trough. 850s are below 0c for all of NE. Interesting setup as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Sorry, one more weenie figure. I'm playing catch up with the 00z GFS lol. This is a forecast sounding in eastern Maine from last night's 00z GFS. Yum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 With the cold air in place it could get interesting with that vort over the lower ohio valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Sorry, one more weenie figure. I'm playing catch up with the 00z GFS lol. This is a forecast sounding in eastern Maine from last night's 00z GFS. Yum GFS_00_192_45.96.gif You could have made a map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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