CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Not for nothing, but that could be record stuff down in the deep south later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 On another note..I wonder how long these clouds hang around today. there's actually a mist falling here too..but it s very muggy. Hopefully clouds hang on and noone sees anywhere near 70 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 On another note..I wonder how long these clouds hang around today. there's actually a mist falling here too..but it s very muggy. Hopefully clouds hang on and noone sees anywhere near 70 today Clouds came in here too, but the sun is coming out now. 70F won't kill us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Clouds came in here too, but the sun is coming out now. 70F won't kill us. Yeah it looks like backedge is approaching WNE now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 On another note..I wonder how long these clouds hang around today. there's actually a mist falling here too..but it s very muggy. Hopefully clouds hang on and noone sees anywhere near 70 today Mild morning out there for sure. It'll be nice to get back to more seasonable weather. Maybe some flakes for some? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 On another note..I wonder how long these clouds hang around today. there's actually a mist falling here too..but it s very muggy. Hopefully clouds hang on and noone sees anywhere near 70 today Looks like it will burn off based on visible shot. Adding to our torchy month, another above normal day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 One of those days where it warmed as I gained elevation on my walk to work earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Still don't see much in the way of big relaxation out by AK. The -EPO will flatten out a bit, but no black hole yet. The EC ensembles do try to migrate the PV towards the area north of AK, but the PV also took a gut punch and is elongated from SIberia to eastern Canada. E Canada looks like it gets pretty damned cold in the long range...GEFS want to bring most of the PV to that side, while the EC ensembles are more elongated with it though both suited are elongated to some extent...just looks like the EC more so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Is there a certain set of teleconnectors that favor a Standard SWFE situation. Or certain set-up. It seems like Boston's best set up to cleans up in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Is there a certain set of teleconnectors that favor a Standard SWFE situation. Or certain set-up. It seems like Boston's best set up to cleans up in December Typically a -PNA pattern with a lot of low heights near New Foundland...at some point a bit of a -EPO dump into Canada to provide the good cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 actually turns a bit muggy over the next 18 hours...Tds getting up there ahead of the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 ..but it s very muggy. Wait I got killed for saying just this, just the other day, DPS are 58-60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Beautiful day out there--sunny and blue skys since about 8:30. 61.4/52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Beautiful day out there--sunny and blue skys since about 8:30. 61.4/52 Deep dark cloudy day here and 59.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 There's some impressive cold amongst these dates. A few record low maxes looking at ORH data in there. You obviously wouldn't forecast that right now, but its definitely a robust cold signal on all ensemble guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 There's some impressive cold amongst these dates. A few record low maxes looking at ORH data in there. You obviously wouldn't forecast that right now, but its definitely a robust cold signal on all ensemble guidance. impressive, seems the models are catching on to the depth of the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 There's some impressive cold amongst these dates. A few record low maxes looking at ORH data in there. You obviously wouldn't forecast that right now, but its definitely a robust cold signal on all ensemble guidance. only years that aren't on there for the ec ens is 97, 52 and 54...all others are the same (though centered on slightly different dates) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Those lower heights hanging SW off of CA need to be watched. Anything ejecting from that as we head into November (if it still exists) become more and more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 only years that aren't on there for the ec ens is 97, 52 and 54...all others are the same (though centered on slightly different dates) Where do you get analog years for EC ensembles? I mean, I see the N Hemisphere patterns on them, but didn't know there was a place for analog years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 impressive, seems the models are catching on to the depth of the cold. Guess I picked back weekend to rip wall apart between house and garage, hopefully get insulation back in by next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Those lower heights hanging SW off of CA need to be watched. Anything ejecting from that as we head into November (if it still exists) become more and more interesting. yea its funny, when I saw that this morning, JBs money in the bank saying came into my head, (he does have some good ones from back in the day). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Where do you get analog years for EC ensembles? I mean, I see the N Hemisphere patterns on them, but didn't know there was a place for analog years. it's a new feature in SV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 it's a new feature in SV I wish EC wasn't so obsessed with their data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 yea its funny, when I saw that this morning, JBs money in the bank saying came into my head, (he does have some good ones from back in the day). My version of money in the bank is HP to the north....lol. I always referred to it as that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 only years that aren't on there for the ec ens is 97, 52 and 54...all others are the same (though centered on slightly different dates) There's some impressive cold amongst these dates. A few record low maxes looking at ORH data in there. You obviously wouldn't forecast that right now, but its definitely a robust cold signal on all ensemble guidance. ESRL is BACK, woot woot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Rolled forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 rolled the rest of winter for fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 it's a new feature in SV Oh, thats a pretty cool feature actually. Whats funny is the years that were not included on the Euro ensembles were years that didn't have any snow. The remaining years on there had snow...even if just a trace. 1972, 2002, 1979, 1960, and 1976 all had snow within a week of the analog date. Regardless, it would be silly to forecast any snow right now outside of the upslope mountainous regions but at least the longwave pattern is there to turn a well-timed shortwave into something more interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Man that is a deep trough and precarious look late next week. It might not be enough, but oh boy...that's an interesting look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Man that is a deep trough and precarious look late next week. It might not be enough, but oh boy...that's an interesting look. Yesterdays fantasy land Euro really made me look twice, like you said man o man. I am not weenieing just saw a model output that screamed holy heck. Interesting times coming up for many. As we say in good fun. NB (hi Ryan) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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