mitchnick Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 if it gets a name it will definitely be some dumb shutdown related thing. gotta be...it's DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 The October liquidation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 1st 27 hrs. total from GFS http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=027ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_027_precip_ptot.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 I'm only in the yellow, very close to green Very burgandy and gold like rainfall map. Good omen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 12z GFS through 27 still looks like 06z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 if it gets a name it will definitely be some dumb shutdown related thing. #defaultdeluge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 there was talk in the NE forum about the Euro monthlies having a SE ridge this winter well, if it ends up looking like this, I'll give it a go http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=027ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_027_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 9, 2013 Author Share Posted October 9, 2013 there was talk in the NE forum about the Euro monthlies having a SE ridge this winter well, if it ends up looking like this, I'll give it a go http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=027ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_027_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=L chasers in the plains hating us for keeping their moisture from returning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Nice pegging of lower MoCo on the map. Come on 6" of fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 With the strong easterly flow, if enough moisture can push into the BR and Catoctins there could be some enhanced totals out that way. Not more than the coast obviously but more than the cities. Good times if you like rain in Oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 english version: hires_t_precip_washdc_20.png Oh, phew. That has me in the red. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 12z RGEM dumps 5+" rain in 12 hrs in NE NC from 00z tonight to 12z THUR 48 hrs :o http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/600_100.gif I don't know where you can get total QPF for the RGEM run... but I would assume its wetter than the NAM around these parts meteocentre will have a total qpf map, but they are slow. 12z not out yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 The October liquidation. I love this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Jesus and it is still raining hard at 48... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 With the strong easterly flow, if enough moisture can push into the BR and Catoctins there could be some enhanced totals out that way. Not more than the coast obviously but more than the cities. Good times if you like rain in Oct. Easterly flow usually helps out here. Seems precip always over performs in this setup. Of course, it won't complete with being further east. I just mean it usually ends up under forecast out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Well, we needed the rain and we're getting it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Rain is already knocking on the door to the cities. Andrews is reporting drizzle now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Rain is already knocking on the door to the cities. Andrews is reporting drizzle now. silly models and their 00z start time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 NWS obviously isn't putting a lot of faith in the NAM, RGEM, or Euro for us back to the west. Newest forecast puts the 3-day max at just 1.25" for me. This morning it was 1.75". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Started to look like a more legit possibility around Sunday I think, tho no one really mentioned it for at least another 24 hours. That's relatively short lead tho.. Yeah...that's what I thought. That really is a short lead for a storm as impressive as this is looking to be. Atmospheric memory!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 every panel of the GGEM through Day 5 has qpf for us totaling 2-4"+ for all along the east coast through SNE <careful what you wish for> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 days and days of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeSuck Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Radar is looking epic up here. Afternoon commute should be fun on 66... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Radar is looking epic up here. Afternoon commute should be fun on 66... afternoon commute is always "fun" on 66, at least whenever I've been on it in the P.M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 pretty impressive totals at VA Beach for a synoptic system, especially last hour http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KNTU.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 silly models and their 00z start time. They must be in winter mode and think it was all going to be virga for hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Still dry here...bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 9, 2013 Author Share Posted October 9, 2013 flooding in hampton https://twitter.com/MartinMMC/status/387991381802643456 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Sprinkles (light shower?) on I-395S roughly 10 or so minutes ago. #ithasbegun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Raining/59. As soon as the returns came over it rained. What dry air are they speaking about ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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