IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 4k NAM simulated radars show wave after wave after wave of precip rotating in onshore. Much more organized looking than previous runs. Not quite the RGEM but it's close to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 That image looks the same as hr 51.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 That image looks the same as hr 51..Because the rates dropped off dramatically after hour 51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 NCEP view if you prefer that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Saturday looks to be fine on the NAM, just cloudy and drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 3-4" of rain for NE NJ/NYC/LI, with local amounts up to 5" of rain over Brooklyn/Queens, based on the 00Z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 00z RGEM is epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 00z RGEM is epic What's it show? My phones not showing it good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 What's it show? My phones not showing it good Direct hit for E NJ/NYC/LI/SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Gfs is still not terribly impressive although there's less of a precipitation cutoff. Hard to argue with some of those short range models though as they likely have the right idea. It's going to feel like a tropical storm is impacting the area, especially along the immediate coast. It's quite windy right now with frequent 20-25 mph gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Direct hit for E NJ/NYC/LI/SW CT. Hello. Do you by any chance know what the 0z RGEM is showing for the PHL area in regards to QPF? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Hello. Do you by any chance know what the 0z RGEM is showing for the PHL area in regards to QPF? Thanks Sadly, I don't have access to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DiehardFF Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Sadly, I don't have access to that. Ok. It seems the 0z NAM gives PHL area 1.75+, 0z GFS 1.5+. RGEM and EURO are the wettest it seems. Curious to see what the RGEM shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 It feels like winter. When euro and rgem lead the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornado Girl Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 http://www.wxcaster.com/gem0p6charts.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Posting model images from paid websites is not allowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Given the duration of the event, I think it's neither here nor there whether areas see 1.5 inches of rain or 3 inches of rain, though the ground is pretty soft from the recent 1 inch deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 00z Euro had 3"+ for NE NJ. 2.5"+ for the rest of northern NJ and 3-4"+ for Long Island. 2"+ line makes it about 50 miles north of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 6z RGEM has the heaviest rain Friday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 06z NAM has 3"+ for everyone. Jackpot is near Sandy Hook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 And 06z GFS still not on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Latest from WPC, no FFW or FW in effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Looks like a fairly big dry slot as of now from NYC on south along the NJ coast. Good thing this is not snow, the weenies would be crying bust even though this is a 2-3 day event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Looks like a fairly big dry slot as of now from NYC on south along the NJ coast. Good thing this is not snow, the weenies would be crying bust even though this is a 2-3 day event. Was never expecting heavy steady rain this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Looks like a fairly big dry slot as of now from NYC on south along the NJ coast. Good thing this is not snow, the weenies would be crying bust even though this is a 2-3 day event. A storm with this same setup in the winter would probably be all rain everywhere, maybe even up in the hills. There's no cold air connection anywhere and the low is stuck under a ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 00z Euro had 3"+ for NE NJ. 2.5"+ for the rest of northern NJ and 3-4"+ for Long Island. 2"+ line makes it about 50 miles north of NYC. Soundings have 4.28" for NYC on the 0z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Looks like a fairly big dry slot as of now from NYC on south along the NJ coast. Good thing this is not snow, the weenies would be crying bust even though this is a 2-3 day event. It's already starting to rain up here at Southern Westchester County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Latest from WPC, no FFW or FW in effect Upton going with 1-2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Soundings have 4.28" for NYC on the 0z euro. Okay, I was looking at a QPF map not a sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 10, 2013 Share Posted October 10, 2013 Upton going with 1-2 inches My Holly going with 1.2"-2.25" for my location. Are they hugging the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.