Martin Posted January 19, 2014 Author Share Posted January 19, 2014 Tuesday system looking like it's going to get going a little too late now. Trough not quite as deep, not allowing that energy to really dig. When in doubt look at the RPM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Can we just lock that in now, Martin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Trends are very encouraging. Martin could you post latest RPM when you get a chance for comparison? TIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 18z NAM goes (in relative terms) boom with the Tuesday system. QPF of +.25 for most of central and eastern VA (maybe some mix or rain to start for southside HR and even some +.50 amounts on the VA/MD eastern shore. Looking interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Glad to see what the models are showing now! Let's see if they hold for 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 I am starting to feel good about this mini storm. Nam really loves it. All models giving us at least a 1 to 3 inch wide spread VA snow.. Some areas more. We'll see. Be nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 DT has first guess out has ric 4-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 18z NAM usually overdoes precip but this looks nice. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=072ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_072_precip_p60.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 DT has first guess out has ric 4-5" That's the touch of death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Seems like every storm this winter has over performed on precip amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 18z Nam lead the way all other models catching on. Oz nam looked juicy. Lets go oz gfs keep it going. As of now models show RIC in solid 3-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowchill Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS goes more north this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 GFS goes more north this run. Question now is will it continue going north in future runs? 0z nam is the run we all want to stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 00z NAM. If only it were real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Only if. What a dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Well Nam for now is the southern most model. I never feel good hoping for a southern trend on a clipper system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Trends are very encouraging. Martin could you post latest RPM when you get a chance for comparison? TIA. Sorry I missed your post earlier. Here are the latest runs with the exception of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted January 20, 2014 Author Share Posted January 20, 2014 Updated version with 00z Euro and 3z RPM. Looks promising for a nice little event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Meh. Now things don't look so hot for HR. It'll only take one more northward jog for us to be completely out of this one.... And so it continues.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Meh. Now things don't look so hot for HR. It'll only take one more northward jog for us to be completely out of this one.... And so it continues.. I guess it depends on your expectations. Its pretty much a lock we will see something falling tues PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Yeah, this is slipping away for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Not really going to get going for HR, especially southside HR, until after dark Tuesday evening but if the NAM is right it's really going to go for a few hours. Then it's hinting at bay effect/enhanced snow showers past midnight. 10pm the NAM-HIRES has heavy snow right over ORF with 850s at -9. That's going to pile up a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Changeover is getting delayed a bit on the 12z NAM but it's still showing a decent thump from about 7p-12a or so. Should be good for at least a couple of inches. I'd love more but I'm not about to complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 NAM definitely moved north with the precip. The DC folks are in a good spot for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VBsurf Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 NAM definitely moved north with the precip. The DC folks are in a good spot for this one. It still has >.25 precip for HR though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 It still has >.25 precip for HR though.Yup. Thanks to the juicy wrap around. Hires looks good. Snow maps are showing 2-3". Really going to be a fun storm for all that are effected due to temps. We are going to be in the low 20s upper teens Wednesday morning. Also Curious to see if the beach can get a good streamer going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 12z NAM puts southside in 3-4 inches, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Changeover once again delayed but not denied. The 12z NAM-HIRES probably not all snow for southside HR until after 7p but even stronger on the thumping around 10pm with very cold temps so it will definitely accumulate. I would say a quick 2-3 for southside HR is looking good and the bay effect could add a bit to that early AM Wed. for those south of the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Looking at hr 42 hires. There is actually a strip of purple going through Chesapeake and VB. Very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 12z NAM puts southside in 3-4 inches, right? some parts. Safer to say 3-3.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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