crainjd Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 NWS saying 15:1 ratios and 10+" on SEVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Anybody living in the Powhatan area? Or is that all just Virga? Seem like a nice little over running batchPowhatan storm spotters are already reporting flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 N/NW trend looks to be occurring on the RAP and NAM. Probably better for everyone in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 N/NW trend looks to be occurring on the RAP and NAM. Probably better for everyone in this thread We'll see. These systems USUALLY end up a bit N of modeled forecasts. 50 miles makes a HUGE diff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Threat Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Can we "WISH" the dew point higher? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 yeah dry air killing that over running so far... hopefully the southern stream can get more organized and push out that dry air sooner then later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Dry air was always forecasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 yeah dry air killing that over running so far... hopefully the southern stream can get more organized and push out that dry air sooner then later... Watch the dew point at around 1pm. Everything is running exactly as forecasted... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MACoastWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 It seems as though NAM usually tends to overdo QPF output as storms approach. How much excess do we account for? For example, NWS is calling for 3-6 in on a line extending from AKQ to MFV, but if you check out the clown map it is showing10-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Yeah, I know..Just saying the less dry air the better.. moister has been hitting a brick wall trying to get into NC so far.... Wonder if the coastal is already taken over robbing the moister from it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 latest RAP showing over 1" of precip in HR.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 15z RAP keeps increasing SeVa and RIC precip. Now has .5 throughout RIC metro including Western burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MACoastWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Total QPF: WPC at 7AM for Va Beach 0.75 in RAP at 10AM for VA Beach 0.9-1.0+ (data ends at 4AM) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Total QPF: WPC at 7AM for Va Beach 0.75 in RAP at 10AM for VA Beach 0.9-1.0+ (data ends at 4AM) Mind adding RIC and CHO? Cutoff is just ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Very curious why WAVY's forecast totals are so low (2-5) for the western counties (west of Franklin) in comparison to all other local stations. Seems like they're going to be playing catch-up all day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Let's see if this storm can break into the top 10 a KORF. We would need 11"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Let's see if this storm can break into the top 10 a KORF. We would need 11"... I think that's a given at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 So anxious to start actually seeing the precip extend western and west central/nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Very curious why WAVY's forecast totals are so low (2-5) for the western counties (west of Franklin) in comparison to all other local stations. Seems like they're going to be playing catch-up all day... Because WAVY is horrible. You should know this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Snowing in VB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Because WAVY is horrible. You should know this. WAVY isn't *always* horrible. You don't have to be so passive aggressive in your replies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 16z rap is an easy foot on the southside with 12-15:1 ratios. I have no idea how accurate it is, but it is showing us some love big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Snowing in VBexcellent. What area of the beach? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I had a few, and I emphasize a few, flakes in downtown norfolk at 11:50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfman23601 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 When is the "dry slot" going to fill in? I know what the models say, but the radar looks exactly like the radar exactly a week ago with Williamsburg and VB getting snow and nothing for the Peninsula but an inch over 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Flakes near Town Center in VaB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Looks like the coastal is having an effect. . Def starting to fil in west to east down in SC..The band in Roanoke looks to of moved a bit east too. Here in the Ric area I wouldn't expect much till after 5pm or so... Anyone getting a snow shower from the band near Goochland ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 My dewpoint is at -14....temp at 19. Lots of Virga about to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 WAVY isn't *always* horrible. You don't have to be so passive aggressive in your replies. I wasn't being passive aggressive, sorry if you took it that way. All broadcast forecast are flawed. They are never willing to commit to high totals because of the backlash if it's a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 excellent. What area of the beach? Kempsville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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