eaglesin2011 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I woundnt expect anything still after 2pm in ric...The band in Roanoke looks nice starting to backfill a bit to the south that's good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Hires reflectivity doesn't look all that bad. Southern deformation area is very close and can still clip the southside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crainjd Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 RUC puts HR in 2-3" territory, with more near Richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEVAsNOwSTORM Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Fridays clipper looks like it wants to make some noise. Quick inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Richmond is toast....again. Dry Slot is coming. I hate to rant, but I don't understand how the F we get screwed so often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Gfs does work. +.25 QPF for the are. Good wrap around. Looks like a solid 2" for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 What r u talking about JMU ...That's not even the main storm.. wait for the precip in Roanoke to get here later this afternoon.. the system is just starting to organize Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 3:37 PM, JMU2004 said: Richmond is toast....again. Dry Slot is coming. I hate to rant, but I don't understand how the F we get screwed so often. a band will swipe through later... Not sure if your serious? I thought Richmond was the snow capital. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Nope. Just not feeling it today. :-p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 3:45 PM, eaglesin2011 said: What r u talking about JMU ...That's not even the main storm.. wait for the precip in Roanoke to get here later this afternoon.. the system is just starting to organize Not seeing it or feeling it. Waiting for that stuff out west to get organized generally doesn't favor us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 3:47 PM, D-Money said: a band will swipe through later... Not sure if your serious? I thought Richmond was the snow capital. Richmond the snow capital? huh? Since when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 3:55 PM, JMU2004 said: Richmond the snow capital? huh? Since when?guess it's a joke for the MA guys in DC. But maybe the surprise snow capital works better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 4:04 PM, D-Money said: guess it's a joke for the MA guys in DC. But maybe the surprise snow capital works better. We'll get the surprise 2-3 incher that is gone by lunch. DC guys are horrible. They always act like the get nothing. Even today, you'll see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 It is a joke. Richmond notoriously fails most of the time with storms. And banking on wrap around rarely works. Not impossible but usually not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Yep the mountains and the dry air are killing it so far ....but if a band moves threw we can pick up a few inches quick.. let not write it off just yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 4:08 PM, Inudaw said: It is a joke. Richmond notoriously fails most of the time with storms. And banking on wrap around rarely works. Not impossible but usually not. I agree. Waiting for the back end to pivot is bad medicine. You can already see a due NE orientation setting up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Got a thin band working through now in Ashland. Some light flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Man, the models are crazy. 12z NAM which has been looking the best the whole time backs off and the 12z GFS which has been the least exciting model now looks better than it has the whole time. I guess if making the forecast was as easy as just looking at models anybody could do it. It will be interesting tonight, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Seeing reports of snow falling in Short Pump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Providence Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 First flakes in Newtown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Yep precip starting to make it over the mountains now a few nice squall lines let's see how it holds together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Some sort of graupel/snow mix going on here now. This is disappointing but I can't say I'm surprised. As far as busts go here, we're not in the best spot geographically if you think about it. Sure, we're just north enough to catch a decent amount of snow from coastals, which inflates our totals. Most of the time, though, we are too far south for Miller B's and clippers (this is a rare exception). Southern sliders tend to do well here but we need a solid source of cold air. The mountains, our elevation and latitude don't help either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D-Money Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Headed to the beach! J/K Wonder if will hit 62 here.. how much will be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 5:59 PM, MidlothianWX said: Some sort of graupel/snow mix going on here now. This is disappointing but I can't say I'm surprised. As far as busts go here, we're not in the best spot geographically if you think about it. Sure, we're just north enough to catch a decent amount of snow from coastals, which inflates our totals. Most of the time, though, we are too far south for Miller B's and clippers (this is a rare exception). Southern sliders tend to do well here but we need a solid source of cold air. The mountains, our elevation and latitude don't help either. I'm not really surprised. I knew that this was probably a bust even when the models had us doing well. This kind of setup almost always goes north of us. What goads me is that we see it snow N, W, E, and S. Just once, I would like to see us over perform in a strong storm. It has been a very long time. Just praying for a good 'ole Miller A in Feb. My location usually cashes in ok with those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 17z RAP says congrats SeVa... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 6:24 PM, JMU2004 said: 17z RAP says congrats SeVa... I can't see this at work--what's it show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I would look for our WSW to drop to Advisory west of I-95 soon. I was a bit jaded on this one being that it was originating from a clipper but I guess the redevelopment will be just out of reach and our snow starved brethren to the east will do nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 6:34 PM, DJnVa said: I can't see this at work--what's it show? .25-.35 precip...easy 3-6 if right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJnVa Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 On 1/21/2014 at 6:24 PM, JMU2004 said: 17z RAP says congrats SeVa... WAVY disagrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Euro also hands SeVa 4+. Richmond? Lol, don't ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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