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Possible Severe Wx Monday


Damage In Tolland

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Wow, it wrung itself out over the E Slope.  We didn't come close to that.

nine times out of ten the berks knocks the stuffing out of solid linear convection, and today looks like no exception.  

 

Still screaming just off the deck here but it's not mixing down nearly as well as earlier.  Recorded a third of an inch from mangled echoes out ahead of the line and maybe we'll pull another half of something as the bulk comes in.

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nine times out of ten the berks knocks the stuffing out of solid linear convection, and today looks like no exception.  

 

Still screaming just off the deck here but it's not mixing down nearly as well as earlier.  Recorded a third of an inch from mangled echoes out ahead of the line and maybe we'll pull another half of something as the bulk comes in.

 

It looked so impressive as it moved in too.  I thought with the forward speed we would see more substantial winds.  Curse of the valley.  We need those N to S movers.  

.3" here so far but just mod rain now.

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nine times out of ten the berks knocks the stuffing out of solid linear convection, and today looks like no exception.  

 

Still screaming just off the deck here but it's not mixing down nearly as well as earlier.  Recorded a third of an inch from mangled echoes out ahead of the line and maybe we'll pull another half of something as the bulk comes in.

 

Probably transitioning from instability driven to forcing driven, which is tied more to the shortwave ripping NE.

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It looked so impressive as it moved in too.  I thought with the forward speed we would see more substantial winds.  Curse of the valley.  We need those N to S movers.  

.3" here so far but just mod rain now.

 

Especially up your way the N->S mover is the winner.  Here we occasionally can get a mini-supercell out ahead of a line on south winds at the surface, your typical hi shear low lcl low cape day.  But the really good stuff is the ESE moving supercell... very rare indeed.   Maybe one day in the right setup, perhaps if a mid-summer front stalls out and retreats the day before and instability is maxed further east, we can get a real strengthening line.

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