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Possible Severe Wx Monday


Damage In Tolland

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WW out for NCTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

250 PM EDT MON OCT 7 2013

CTC003-013-015-MAC011-013-015-027-NHC005-011-080200-

/O.NEW.KBOX.SV.A.0544.131007T1850Z-131008T0200Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH

544 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING

AREAS

IN CONNECTICUT THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES

IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT

HARTFORD TOLLAND WINDHAM

IN MASSACHUSETTS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS

WORCESTER

IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS

FRANKLIN HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE

IN NEW HAMPSHIRE THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE

CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...FITCHBURG...GREENFIELD...HARTFORD...

KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...NORTHAMPTON...PUTNAM...

SPRINGFIELD...UNION...VERNON...WILLIMANTIC AND WORCESTER.

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WW out for NCTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

250 PM EDT MON OCT 7 2013

CTC003-013-015-MAC011-013-015-027-NHC005-011-080200-

/O.NEW.KBOX.SV.A.0544.131007T1850Z-131008T0200Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH

544 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING

AREAS

IN CONNECTICUT THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES

IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT

HARTFORD TOLLAND WINDHAM

IN MASSACHUSETTS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS

WORCESTER

IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS

FRANKLIN HAMPDEN HAMPSHIRE

IN NEW HAMPSHIRE THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE

CHESHIRE HILLSBOROUGH

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...FITCHBURG...GREENFIELD...HARTFORD...

KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...NORTHAMPTON...PUTNAM...

SPRINGFIELD...UNION...VERNON...WILLIMANTIC AND WORCESTER.

Oh yeah, just love it when the watches go up for Worcester county.  Go Middlesex panhandle, FTW...

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TOR watch coming soon

 

Most likely some kind of watch ...they are 60%.  I can tell you though, there is definitely a warm buoyant feel to the air where we have been primarily partly sunny since noon. It's 75/66 here. 

 

Also, this is exactly what I was talking about earlier about generating more CAPE than the models:  "..STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO SOME EXTENT WHILE

PROVIDING A LOCALIZED BOOST TO PBL-DERIVED BUOYANCY." 

 

Als, this is fasincating:  "NWD-DIRECTED HORIZONTAL CONVECTIVE ROLLS IN THIS REGION AFFIRM THE COINCIDENCE OF

A DEEPER PBL WITH STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR."

 

I noticed rolling CU structures, too, when I went to lunch shortly after it cleared up.   I was think, wow, the CU's are rotating. 

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Yeah, I don't get the severe "thunderstorm" watch, with very little lightning over the past 2 hours with this line. 

 

Well techically they can warn for "severe" conditions even with no lightning. They don't have severe tstm warnings because of lightning..they warn for the wind or hail danger with them.

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Most likely some kind of watch ...they are 60%.  I can tell you though, there is definitely a warm buoyant feel to the air where we have been primarily partly sunny since noon. It's 75/66 here. 

 

Also, this is exactly what I was talking about earlier about generating more CAPE than the models:  "..STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO SOME EXTENT WHILE

PROVIDING A LOCALIZED BOOST TO PBL-DERIVED BUOYANCY." 

 

Als, this is fasincating:  "NWD-DIRECTED HORIZONTAL CONVECTIVE ROLLS IN THIS REGION AFFIRM THE COINCIDENCE OF

A DEEPER PBL WITH STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR."

 

I noticed rolling CU structures, too, when I went to lunch shortly after it cleared up.   I was think, wow, the CU's are rotating. 

 

agreed .. a good visual representation of where this has taken place ..

 

post-144-0-68482100-1381173143_thumb.png

 

post-144-0-26148500-1381173158_thumb.png

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