Brian5671 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 59 degrees here at 12:45 with filtered sun... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Sometimes meteorology is treated as a joke. Bothersome.Twitter is serious bidness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 We're really only 22 days away from fair game. We've had some fluky October flakes and one bomb with increased frequency over the last 5 years, but that aside, for me it is just about November 1 through April 15 for us here, with obviously dimmed potential at either end of that date range. I hate April ... different discussion. March snows are futile to me, but since some of the biggest historic bombs have occurred in that month, you have to give a special shout out there. I have also seen some impressive Novembers enough to include the pre Turkey day period after Halloween. I think this particular November has a chance to over-perform looking at the balance of long range teleconnector tendencies, combined with timing the global circulation appeal I love me some November snow, but it rarely sticks around longer than a few days unless its near or after Turkey Day. Even though each month has a different "feel" (heading into winter vs exiting), March snows are much more robust and stick around longer...even with increased sun angles...it is simply a colder month than November...by a lot too (6F on average). That said, I'm hoping for some T-day snow this year. I love snow on the ground for Thanksgiving. We had white Thanksgivings in 1985, 1986, 1989, 1994, 1996, 2002, and 2005....but have been shutout since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 I love me some November snow, but it rarely sticks around longer than a few days unless its near or after Turkey Day. Even though each month has a different "feel" (heading into winter vs exiting), March snows are much more robust and stick around longer...even with increased sun angles...it is simply a colder month than November...by a lot too (6F on average). That said, I'm hoping for some T-day snow this year. I love snow on the ground for Thanksgiving. We had white Thanksgivings in 1985, 1986, 1989, 1994, 1996, 2002, and 2005....but have been shutout since then. Had a decent one here in the valley during the early 70's. Might have been 71 or 72. I can remember having to push my father's car on the street after it got stuck bringing the relatives over for turkey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 the euro got much wetter for sne thurs-sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 I love me some November snow, but it rarely sticks around longer than a few days unless its near or after Turkey Day. Even though each month has a different "feel" (heading into winter vs exiting), March snows are much more robust and stick around longer...even with increased sun angles...it is simply a colder month than November...by a lot too (6F on average). That said, I'm hoping for some T-day snow this year. I love snow on the ground for Thanksgiving. We had white Thanksgivings in 1985, 1986, 1989, 1994, 1996, 2002, and 2005....but have been shutout since then. I thought November, 1995 was white, too -- I know it was up in the Merrimack Valley at UML, but I am not sure how far to the SW the land snow crept before the more important cold of December set in that year. That was incredible. After a warmish first half of October, there seemed to be a bit of a gradient between central New England and say CT and RI. Late October into early November got chilly at night, with highs in the low 40s along Rt 2 over to UML. The Pawtucket dam trickle-through waters started freezing into long cycles, and I noted that they would survive the sunny chilly afternoons, being that the dam faces N and so is always shaded. But it was more than that. Something just "felt" like winter wanted in that year. Maybe the colors on the trees were particularly vibrant and early (like this year?) Not sure what it is, but there was something intuitive about the appeal of that autumn that lended to winter. Then in (I think) it was the 2nd week of November, there was a sleet and snow event. I think it was more northern Mass, though. But it laid a small pack and it was no turning back. We had contiguous snow on the ground until the mega thaw of late Jan when those two powerful cutters finally brought some winter to Minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi13m Wet October south and east often a precursor to a colder than normal winter much of nation plains east. Dry... opposite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 the euro got much wetter for sne thurs-sat Soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Soaker. Probably overzealous. Maybe Friday is the wet day. That high and dry air to north will be tough to beat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Probably overzealous. Maybe Friday is the wet day. That high and dry air to north will be tough to beat Not much model agreement with precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 my buddy and I saw aurora last night... It wasn't as vivid as this to the unaided eye, but it you could still make it out faintly. This was a camera shot with open exposure: aurora.jpg For those who don't venture in the great white north of the NNE thread. VIIRS captured the aurora last night on the day/night band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 How much of SNE are we talking? Certainly wouldn't mind some rain. Also, awesome stuff with the aurora! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Euro ruins Saturday for most of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Man the cold is coming quickly past day 9. Grab women and children first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Not much model agreement with precip amounts.looks like convective issues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 9, 2013 Author Share Posted October 9, 2013 Still think the weekend is ok from the MA/CT/RI border on north...even for Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Still think the weekend is ok from the MA/CT/RI border on north...even for Kevin. So would you say anything south of Brockton looks wet Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Sunny and low 60's here as the precip looks to stay pretty much south of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 9, 2013 Author Share Posted October 9, 2013 So would you say anything south of Brockton looks wet Saturday? Well I'm thinking generally as a whole including possibility of BINOVC. As far as precip, methinks you are dry Saturday...but could be rather cloudy and chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Would love 48 and cloudy Saturday. Deep fall feel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 I thought November, 1995 was white, too -- I know it was up in the Merrimack Valley at UML, but I am not sure how far to the SW the land snow crept before the more important cold of December set in that year. That was incredible. After a warmish first half of October, there seemed to be a bit of a gradient between central New England and say CT and RI. Late October into early November got chilly at night, with highs in the low 40s along Rt 2 over to UML. The Pawtucket dam trickle-through waters started freezing into long cycles, and I noted that they would survive the sunny chilly afternoons, being that the dam faces N and so is always shaded. But it was more than that. Something just "felt" like winter wanted in that year. Maybe the colors on the trees were particularly vibrant and early (like this year?) Not sure what it is, but there was something intuitive about the appeal of that autumn that lended to winter. Then in (I think) it was the 2nd week of November, there was a sleet and snow event. I think it was more northern Mass, though. But it laid a small pack and it was no turning back. We had contiguous snow on the ground until the mega thaw of late Jan when those two powerful cutters finally brought some winter to Minnesota. The November 1995 snow was after T-day...specifically 11/29/95....we had an event before that around 11/13 but it was wiped out by the Hudson Valley cutter on Nov 14-15, 1995. We then waited 2 weeks for that 11/29 snow event which covered the ground for good until late that winter (or for those spots that saw grass in the late Jan '96 torch) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Would love 48 and cloudy Saturday. Deep fall feel I bet alot of us are stuck around 50 Fri and Sat. Upton's quite optimistic with 62 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 I bet alot of us are stuck around 50 Fri and Sat. Upton's quite optimistic with 62 here Joe texted me and thinks it'll be 65 all weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 9, 2013 Author Share Posted October 9, 2013 Joe texted me and thinks it'll be 65 all weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 So for Thu/Fri we've got the wetter Euro/Canadian vs the dry NAM/GFS. Looks like model war season has arrived! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 lol he's thinking AN thru end of month too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Joe texted me and thinks it'll be 65 all weekend he even trolls by text. Only way that happens is if the storm misses way south. I'd say 40's one day are a shot even down here...48/49 type stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 he even trolls by text. Only way that happens is if the storm misses way south. I'd say 40's one day are a shot even down here...48/49 type stuff Yup w/o a doubt..Thats a cold, dry high up there..funneling down chilly air. If it's cloudy ..it aint getting much past 50 at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 18z nam is much wetter especially for Coastal CT/RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Yup w/o a doubt..Thats a cold, dry high up there..funneling down chilly air. If it's cloudy ..it aint getting much past 50 at bestShould be interesting to watch....the forecast up here in the mountains is for 65-70F all weekend without a cloud in the sky. The high isn't that cold, lol. I wonder if you guys at 20F colder if you're expecting 40s for highs.Friday Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Light and variable winds. Friday Night Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Light and variable winds. Saturday Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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