CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2013 Author Share Posted October 8, 2013 Looks like a cooler next 7 days than was being modeled last week thankfully..and then the 17th seems to be the date of the real cooldown. 20th, but yeah it appears to cool off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2013 Author Share Posted October 8, 2013 .01 " last night in the hood. Real gullywasher. Finally got some good rains here over the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 20th, but yeah it appears to cool off. Sometimes I wonder what the CPC is smoking...their 6-10 and 8-14 outlooks have been inaccurate for quite some time now, for the east coast at least, and they continue to be for both temps and precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Nice pattern change in route finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Nice pattern change in route finally. Probably not for another 10 days or so but I'm ready for one. I'm ready for seasons to start being seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2013 Author Share Posted October 8, 2013 Nice pattern change in route finally. But will it last? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 But will it last?You tell me. Do the euro ensembles keep the cool weather through D15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Probably not for another 10 days or so but I'm ready for one. I'm ready for seasons to start being seasons.Yes time for it to feel like October Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 You tell me. Do the euro ensembles keep the cool weather through D15? I think his speculation is beyond. At least the weeklies looked good so timing of the historic winter about to reveal itself is good. And I'll make it easy.....I'm giving myself 3 of these----->. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 We're likely going to be seasonal to slightly above through D15 (for most) when averaged out, but it should start to cool after mid month...kind of what we expected anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Feels crisp this morning for a change. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2013 Author Share Posted October 8, 2013 I just like to leave Toronto Weenie hanging. I picture him on the CN Tower just holding on with one arm as he awaits the weeklies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 It doesn't look cool until at least the 18th or so on the ensembles...and most likely a bit after that closer to the 20th. We'll see fi that verifies. Remember that pattern changes can often be rushed a bit by guidance when we've been stuck in one for a few weeks. One thing that is nice to see is a total change in the N PAC. The vortex near AK gets replaced by ridging...which is something we wanted to see going into late October and hopefully November. I would start getting concerned if that thing rotted up there through November. But it appears the ensmebles really pump up ridging there in the D10-15 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 The 00z Euro had a warmup in the 8-10 day period as a lakes cutter moves to the northwest of most of us and helps to pump 850's to the +10 area. The 850mb freezing line stays in Canada throughout the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 What's the scoop on the weekend system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 What's the scoop on the weekend system? Kind of a toss up at this point. Depends on how far north that low moves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 What's the scoop on the weekend system? :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Rex blocks galore too. One on the west coast, and perhaps another forming on the east, which isn't common. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 8, 2013 Author Share Posted October 8, 2013 I'm thinking storm misses most to the south except an area from CEF-OWD-GHG on south have the best chance of some rain. Think I-90 north misses most if not all right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Change around the 15th and completed by the 25th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 We're likely going to be seasonal to slightly above through D15 (for most) when averaged out, but it should start to cool after mid month...kind of what we expected anyways.Sounds EXACTLY like what was expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 :weenie: I'm hoping for a fine line of storms with wind damage all the way to the coast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Change around the 15th and completed by the 25thSounds perfect. Glad we aren't changing cold to warm for November and its the other way around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Sounds perfect. Glad we aren't changing cold to warm for November and its the other way around Careful-we dont want the blocking to come too fast. Last year we had the block early which gave us Sandy and the 11/7 snowstorm,but the blocking let up mid November and for a good chunk of the 1st half of winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 December. But November will be chilly to get us in the mood. But I doubt it is wintry at least prior to 11/25. Fella knows his climate...he knows not to hope for anything in November and just wait for it in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 October 8th, last year... we are falling behind already! Panic! 4" on Coastal's favorite picnic tables... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 I'm hoping for a fine line of storms with wind damage all the way to the coast....We had that yesterday. No one in SNE. You're in NYC and your area had it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 We had that yesterday. No one in SNE. You're in NYC and your area had it too I'm in NYC? Didnt know that. Last I checked I was 60 miles northeast of NYC. My area had a whopping .25 inch of rain and a couple of gusts to 40mph. Severe warning came nowhere near verifying anywhere in my area let alone CT - Edit-peak gust at BDR was 35mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 October 8th, last year... we are falling behind already! Panic! 4" on Coastal's favorite picnic tables... I want that here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Still good foliage up in the hills. Colrain is peak or just slightly passed. The leaf loss from yesterday's wind was not as bad as i thought it would be. These are from Lyonsville Farm today. (around 700') Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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