Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 The euro somewhat mutes the upcoming torch here with occasional weak fronts/backdoors. Ens still don't cool it to AOB normal until the 16th/17th which is an eternity. As for RAP, those MAV winds are verifying at half of what it had for 9Z. I think it was on the ARod cocktail. Bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Got out of this with a few sprinkles.South of Pikes turn to get reamed. Nice soaking for Scooter land. radar looks great. >50-.75 easy Just wait until this happens all winter. Quincy went to Iowa today to chase LOL Just got off a call with the folks in the home office (Cedar Rapids), they were getting slammed. 55.2/54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 i can't post the map but i see above normal heights over most of the continent with a strong ak vortex at 360 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Quincy went to Iowa today to chase LOL Lucky bugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Except the part about the Euro ensembles which Brian posted earlier today do show a sig cooldown after the 16thyeah but I never said sustained cold or well below. It's just back to normal toward d15 and it seems it's been stuck in d14-15 for a few days too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 nice looking morning in Deadwood: http://rapidcityjournal.com/webcams/deadwood/ What i would give to take a rip down that road.......brapp brapp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 that's a semi impressive bowling ball on the gfs. i'd do anything for an inch of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 All coastal Maine counties received a Tsunami test alert about an hour ago. Came across the phone, and was on the NWS site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 2 feet already in Deadwood, awesome broke records going back to 1888 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Man I want this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 I'm so jealous... reading this stuff, I can't wait for winter. CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD 1030 AM MDT FRI OCT 4 2013 THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS BEING TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF BUTTE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY. A BLIZZARD IS ONGOING ACROSS BUTTE COUNTY...AND NO TRAVEL IS ADVISED ACROSS ALL OF THE AREA. IN ADDITION...THERE SHOULD BE ABSOLUTELY NO TRAVEL IN AND AROUND BELLE FOURCHE...EXCEPT ONLY FOR EMERGENCY VEHICLES. POWER LINES ARE DOWN AND TREES ARE OVER THE ROADS. TRAFFIC CITATIONS MAY BE ISSUED BECAUSE THE EXTRA TRAFFIC IS HINDERING EMERGENCY RESPONSE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 4, 2013 Author Share Posted October 4, 2013 Nice to see rain at home. Heading up 93 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Warm front def farther NE thatn forecast or modeled which is probably why the rain ended up farther north. Sun out fully here now..Seems like Warm front is close to Ct/Mass line now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Warm front def farther NE thatn forecast or modeled which is probably why the rain ended up farther north. Sun out fully here now..Seems like Warm front is close to Ct/Mass line now Afternoon boomers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Afternoon boomers? I dunno..Seems like we're just in a dry pattern..probably just meh and muggy all weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 warm front is over southern CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 I could do this every Fall. days and days of warm and dry, one day deluge (monday or tuesday), then more days upon days of warm and dry I do not see a cooler pattern change shaping up on the guidance..some more variability later in the month? sure, but i see a lot of low hghts bottled up over Siberia and towards Alaska Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 I could do this every Fall. days and days of warm and dry, one day deluge (monday or tuesday), then more days upon days of warm and dry I do not see a cooler pattern change shaping up on the guidance..some more variability later in the month? sure, but i see a lot of low hghts bottled up over Siberia and towards Alaska Ensembles keep rain well south of New England next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Ensembles keep rain well south of New England next week There will certainly be a period of rain that comes through later monday or early tuesday...but outside of that it looks outstanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 torching down here. ewr just broke its record from 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 I could do this every Fall. days and days of warm and dry, one day deluge (monday or tuesday), then more days upon days of warm and dry I do not see a cooler pattern change shaping up on the guidance..some more variability later in the month? sure, but i see a lot of low hghts bottled up over Siberia and towards Alaska Yup that's going to be the winter pattern im afraid. Another winter of 11-12 coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 There will certainly be a period of rain that comes through later monday or early tuesday...but outside of that it looks outstanding.Cold fronts in autumn typically are very dry. I'd expect that to be the case as Karen remnants slide off the mid Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Cold fronts in autumn typically are very dry. I'd expect that to be the case as Karen remnants slide off the mid Atlantic there will be enough moisture and forcing to at least give you a good line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Warm front def farther NE thatn forecast or modeled which is probably why the rain ended up farther north. Sun out fully here now..Seems like Warm front is close to Ct/Mass line now Try again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Warm front def farther NE thatn forecast or modeled which is probably why the rain ended up farther north. Sun out fully here now..Seems like Warm front is close to Ct/Mass line now Not impacting things up here yet. 57.1/55 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Try again So it's between HFD and Tolland . Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Chilly. Peaked at 66F this AM. Down to 58F in the much need rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 So it's between HFD and Tolland . Sorry I'd actually analyze it from GON-MMK-New Milford. Fronts are analyzed on the warm side of temperature gradients. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Cold fronts in autumn typically are very dry. I'd expect that to be the case as Karen remnants slide off the mid Atlantic Plenty of moisture out ahead of this bowling ball upper low regardless of karen or no karen...a deluge was a poor choice of words in my original post.. Both models really cut off this upper low today as well and it moves through slower...could be looking at a bit longer stretch of dreary weather early next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Yup that's going to be the winter pattern im afraid. Another winter of 11-12 coming up. It seems *exceedingly* early to be seriously worried about that. Sadly the sun has come out here in salem, still nice to finally have had some good downpours today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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