Mr. Windcredible! Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 Could never live out there...but I am sure jealous of some of their weather extremes! Isn't that where the record was set for the most rapid rise in temperature ever recorded? Went from some ungodly cold temp of like -20F to +50F in the span of 10-15 minutes. Something I remember geeking out over when perusing the weather/climate section of the Guiness Book of World Records. Not sure this is the event I remember from the Guiness Book...but still, -4F to 45F in 2 minutes aided by the Chinooks. Then an hour or so later the temp fell from 58F back to -4F over the span of about a half hour when the wind died down. http://www.blackhillsweather.com/chinook.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 For all the "warmth", the departures aren't that bad...only a +7 today at BDL which really isn't bad all things considered (high temps near 80). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 Any reasonable ideas as to when we get the pattern back to normal or even a bit below? Is there a general date or timeframe we can look to other than mid month? is it the 15th or the 18th ? A general time frame is more accurate at this point. Weeklies and ensembles are hinting at a more seasonable-type pattern by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 Could never live out there...but I am sure jealous of some of their weather extremes! Isn't that where the record was set for the most rapid rise in temperature ever recorded? Went from some ungodly cold temp of like -20F to +50F in the span of 10-15 minutes. Something I remember geeking out over when perusing the weather/climate section of the Guiness Book of World Records. KRAP is actually a pretty cool city. Lots of bars/restaurants. I was really surprised when I was out there. Some of the towns in the black hills are pretty cool too. I wouldn't live there either but it wouldn't be the end of the world living there either lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 3, 2013 Share Posted October 3, 2013 KRAP is actually a pretty cool city. Lots of bars/restaurants. I was really surprised when I was out there. Some of the towns in the black hills are pretty cool too. I wouldn't live there either but it wouldn't be the end of the world living there either lol one of our Chefs was born there, we talked extensively about the weather after I showed him the storm. He said the same thing you said. Also said the blizzards mid west style are insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 For all the "warmth", the departures aren't that bad...only a +7 today at BDL which really isn't bad all things considered (high temps near 80).ORH "only" at +9.0F for the month. (Before today$Whaddya mean 2 days is a small sample size No oil burning or AC running = fine by me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 JB is wondering why there was no watch for sandy but there is for this storm would it because there is not a 72 lead time for a watch his graph starts at 5am friday and would expect landfall untill tuesday am! maybe for eastern north carolina but there on the very left edge of the cone! Absolutely stunning. Explain how Karen gets a watch but Sandy did not, comparing forecasts pic.twitter.com/cVqV9Gk1At Reply Retweet Favorite More Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Can't wait until I am checking these again hopefully similar progs show up http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=ijd&nam=on&nam_mos=on&namm=on&gfs_mos=on&gfs=on&gfsm_mos=on&gfsm=on&nws=on&rap=on&obs=on&nam4km=on&con=on&archive=on&year=2013&month=02&day=09&hour=01&ratio=11&max_t=on&cobb=on&compaction=on&mean_mt=on&max_mt=on&mean=on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 This has got to be historic ... if you know how to read these numbers, that's over 5" liq equiv in a pure snow column for Rapid City SD. RAP//707051 -3207 130614 54090103 06004918755 03905 150316 54070100 12025999248 12207 160225 52050000 18090989050 14110 173531 50029999 24067979739 21411 183541 48009700 30108989342 15514 193346 43999593 36137989136 07211 193351 41999693 42120978841 00811 203253 40999794 48034728528 -9910 243346 43009696 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 JB is wondering why there was no watch for sandy but there is for this storm would it because there is not a 72 lead time for a watch his graph starts at 5am friday and would expect landfall untill tuesday am! maybe for eastern north carolina but there on the very left edge of the cone! Absolutely stunning. Explain how Karen gets a watch but Sandy did not, comparing forecasts pic.twitter.com/cVqV9Gk1At Reply Retweet Favorite More I don't know if this is sensationalism or stupidity there. Two utterly disparate scenarios -- can't be compared. The contention of Sandy was that it was supposed to be converting to an extratropical low prior to land fall. It did not. That was admitted. Case closed. This is a pure tropical entity, and will be at landfall. No question to ask. Nauseating reading that crap -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 This has got to be historic ... if you know how to read these numbers, that's over 5" liq equiv in a pure snow column for Rapid City SD. RAP//707051 -3207 130614 54090103 06004918755 03905 150316 54070100 12025999248 12207 160225 52050000 18090989050 14110 173531 50029999 24067979739 21411 183541 48009700 30108989342 15514 193346 43999593 36137989136 07211 193351 41999693 42120978841 00811 203253 40999794 48034728528 -9910 243346 43009696 Tip, visual representation, check out the snow outputhttp://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=krap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Not to forget the wind in that link, holy Krap, MOS at 76 sustained Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 BH3 to Rapid Cities NW outputs are between 40-60 inches of snow' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Not to forget the wind in that link, holy Krap, MOS at 76 sustainedThe MAV is going nuts there. I can't recall seeing a 70 for WSP outside of a cane landfall or MWN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 The MAV is going nuts there. I can't recall seeing a 70 for WSP outside of a cane landfall or MWN.Man that's a big daddy storm, would love to be there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Tip, visual representation, check out the snow outputhttp://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=krap Custer, SD down to 34/33 at 5600ft but still raining. Rapid City has a ways to go at 44/41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Custer, SD down to 34/33 at 5600ft but still raining. Rapid City has a ways to go at 44/41.Not expecting snow until morning, BH 3 new output is 62 inches, KRap 51 with insane winds, temps drop to the lower 20s, snow ratios start out 3-1 end up 17-1, my kind of storm. Man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Not expecting snow until morning, BH 3 new output is 62 inches, KRap 51 with insane winds, temps drop to the lower 20s, snow ratios start out 3-1 end up 17-1, my kind of storm. Man Ahh my bad...I read one of the warnings that said changeover this evening but that must be the higher elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Sioux Falls in the 70s while rapid city is blizzarding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 KRIW 040253Z AUTO 01020G28KT 1SM -SN BR SCT005 OVC010 M01/M02 A3002 RMK AO2 PK WND 01028/0250 SLP176 P0002 60005 T10061017 51016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 snowing in Casper WY...highway cams here: http://www.wyoroad.info/highway/webcameras/I25Casper/I25Casper.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 This changeover was impressive... Casper, Wyoming went from 40/39 and moderate rain, to 32/32 and snow in 30 minutes. That's a pretty quick drop. They are already over 1" QPF so far there, and are currently snowing at 0.1-0.2" liquid per hour. That's pretty solid rates now that its 31/29 and moderate snow...sub-freezing and precipitating 0.15"/hr. KCPR 040253Z AUTO 01011KT 1/2SM SN FG VV004 00/00 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP159 P0015 60048 T00000000 51034 $KCPR 040244Z 01013G18KT 3/4SM -SN BR VV005 00/M01 A2998 RMK AO2 P0014 $KCPR 040206Z 35008KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC008 00/00 A2997 RMK AO2 P0003 $KCPR 040153Z 35008KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC010 00/00 A2997 RMK AO2 PK WND 02026/0109 RAE20SNB20 SLP157 P0020 T00000000 $KCPR 040117Z 02015G26KT 2SM RA BR SCT008 BKN012 OVC020 02/01 A2993 RMK AO2 PK WND 02026/0109 P0007 $KCPR 040053Z 06011G18KT 2SM RA BR FEW005 SCT008 OVC018 04/04 A2990 RMK AO2 SLP122 P0013 T00440039 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 snowing in Casper WY...highway cams here: http://www.wyoroad.info/highway/webcameras/I25Casper/I25Casper.html That's awesome. Can't wait for that. Love the nighttime snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 The MAV is going nuts there. I can't recall seeing a 70 for WSP outside of a cane landfall or MWN. I'm almost wondering if there is some convective aspect to this. Is there a severe trowel, thundersnow, and even down bursting contributing? One other aspect, how often have we seen that type of lower tropospheric ordeal under a core pseudo-closure that barely gets to 546 dm? Steve, yeah.. I thought that 75F high 3 days later was interesting too. If they get 50" of snow, then that, there's likely to be some flood... so, would be a multifaceted event that might take a few days to play out in totality. Fascinating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 "KRAP" is actually a pretty cool city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Sioux Falls in the 70s while rapid city is blizzarding. This is a fluke storm Jerry. Having said that... heh, I think there has been an uptick in fluke events in recent years. We had an "event budget" type debate recently -- it is interesting that this could be construed as an event that could make that list, yet, our own local phenomenon count is getting stretched. Hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 The euro somewhat mutes the upcoming torch here with occasional weak fronts/backdoors. Ens still don't cool it to AOB normal until the 16th/17th which is an eternity. As for RAP, those MAV winds are verifying at half of what it had for 9Z. I think it was on the ARod cocktail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Man..we just can't catch a break..We now miss out on rain this week. ugh . THE SURFACE FRONT SWEEPS OUT INTO THE WESTERNATLANTIC...WHICH LEAVES NEW ENGLAND ESSENTIALLY OUT OF 'KAREN'S'TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 4, 2013 Author Share Posted October 4, 2013 My oaks are just turning yellow and dropping leaves. It's a desert here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 My oaks are just turning yellow and dropping leaves. It's a desert here. We got lucky with that 1.55 last week..but that has evaporated and it'll be a dust bowl mowing today. No rain today..and now next week looks like a nearly total dry week. How often do fropas in Oct deliver good rains lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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