October 2013 banter

[metalicwx366]

I don't know if you're aware of this unless you have family in that area. But LA is like a inside joke.

Explain it please.

[FLweather]

Explain it please.

 

Below

Lower Alabama? :-)

 

 

 

I have extended family around Atmore, AL and Brewton, AL. But the locals consider the term LA > Lower Alabama even in the FL panhandle stretching from Pensacola to Apalachicola since that area shares the same climate and geography.

[metalicwx366]

Oh, I thought you were talking about Louisiana for some reason.

[mackerel_sky]

So LA, is kind of like LG, same kind of people and lifestyle!!

[Mr Bob]

Below

 

 

 

I have extended family around Atmore, AL and Brewton, AL. But the locals consider the term LA > Lower Alabama even in the FL panhandle stretching from Pensacola to Apalachicola since that area shares the same climate and geography.

Frankly, until, you get to Ocala...all of north FL is an extension of either LA or LG....

[burgertime]

I don't know if you're aware of this unless you have family in that area. But LA is like a inside joke.

 

Oh yes, just making the jab that it should be lower case for obvious reasons! 

[FLweather]

Frankly, until, you get to Ocala...all of north FL is an extension of either LA or LG....

 

Thats very true.

Oh yes, just making the jab that it should be lower case for obvious reasons! 

[jburns]

I don't know if you're aware of this unless you have family in that area. But LA is like a inside joke.

It's a running joke in lots of places.  Here, if you live in the southern part of Archdale you live in LA(Lower Archdale).

[metalicwx366]

1954 must have been ridiculous cold. Nearly all record lows set here in the last two weeks were from 1954 with freeze and frost on all of those days.

[Brick Tamland]

So, how is this winter really looking? I have heard a lot of talk about it being colder and snowy/icy. But I think we have heard that before and it didn't turn out that way. I know it is hard to predict now, but just wondering how the signs look now compared to the past when we actually had a winter with average to above average snow.

 

And as we head into November, I wonder if we'll have anything from that fall severe season we seem to get around here.

[DaculaWeather]

Just what we need! :-))

http://magazine.foxnews.com/at-home/new-sheddies-underwear-neutralizes-flatulence-odor-it-clears-room

[calculus1]

How 'bout them Blue Devils?!  Bowl-eligible for the 2nd year in a row for the first time in school history.  Coach Cutcliffe has done wonders for Duke.

 

Oh, and it's rather chilly outside this morning.  (That last sentence there was for all you strict constructionists when it comes to the Law of Banter.)

[Cold Rain]

How 'bout them Blue Devils?!  Bowl-eligible for the 2nd year in a row for the first time in school history.  Coach Cutcliffe has done wonders for Duke.

 

Oh, and it's rather chilly outside this morning.  (That last sentence there was for all you strict constructionists when it comes to the Law of Banter.)

 

Ha!

 

The Devils are doing very well.  Cutt's got em playing like the believe they can compete with anybody.  Even UNC got a W yesterday.  The Pack, though, cough cough, is one of the worst State teams I've seen in a long time.  The cabinet is pretty bare this year.

[Cold Rain]

So, how is this winter really looking? I have heard a lot of talk about it being colder and snowy/icy. But I think we have heard that before and it didn't turn out that way. I know it is hard to predict now, but just wondering how the signs look now compared to the past when we actually had a winter with average to above average snow.

 

And as we head into November, I wonder if we'll have anything from that fall severe season we seem to get around here.

 

Brick, everything I've looked at and read shows a potential for a better winter than last year.  We have been in a pattern, save for a year here or there, of crappy winters.  There is a reason for that.  Different people will have different explanations, I'm sure, but until we start to see signs of that changing on a regular basis, the odds favor more crappiness than not, IMO.  I know that's vague, but persistence is driven by something real, even if we don't know for sure what it is...and it's hard to dislodge.

 

That said, I am encouraged that this winter will be better than last year's total failure (except for that one really nice all-day snow/sleet event).

[metalicwx366]

That said, I am encouraged that this winter will be better than last year's total failure (except for that one really nice all-day snow/sleet event).

Hopefully. Even though someone has said this every winter since the 2011-12 winter. Last year wasn't all that bad though.

[POWERSTROKE]

Hopefully. Even though someone has said this every winter since the 2011-12 winter. Last year wasn't all that bad though.

For who?

[metalicwx366]

For who?

Lol, well it was terrible. I'm just saying that because of the first week of March and the snow we saw fall during March 3rd I believe.

[POWERSTROKE]

Remember Big Frosty today. He is having neck surgery around 12-1 pm.

[Met1985]

How 'bout them Blue Devils?!  Bowl-eligible for the 2nd year in a row for the first time in school history.  Coach Cutcliffe has done wonders for Duke.

 

Oh, and it's rather chilly outside this morning.  (That last sentence there was for all you strict constructionists when it comes to the Law of Banter.)

Yep huge win Saturday and the Basketball team started play this weekend with a nice win. Go Duke!

[Met1985]

Remember Big Frosty today. He is having neck surgery around 12-1 pm.

Ah that's pretty major. Will send prayers.

[Bevo]

Hopefully. Even though someone has said this every winter since the 2011-12 winter. Last year wasn't all that bad though.

 

 

For who?

 

For me. It wasn't bone chilling, but it wasn't too far from normal either. Even had a decent snow.

[DixieBlizzard]

Remember Big Frosty today. He is having neck surgery around 12-1 pm.

Will do!! Hope he does well and also recovers very well!

[POWERSTROKE]

Big Frosty surgery went well according to Dr. He may come home today. he is in a lot of pain

[Stovepipe]

For who?

 

 

Well, I saw snow fall heavily on several occasions, resulting in two measurable snows here in the central valley.  Plus, we got an ice storm that shut down Knoxville.  It wasn't an epic season but it wasn't terrible either.  That being said, I'd love to get back closer to our average of 12 inches of snow.

[dsaur]

I'd love to get 6 years worth all at one fell swoop, lol.  But just the yearly average wouldn't be amiss with twice the winter average rain. I'd take 10 big gulf lows with one good sleet hit, plus a snow event,  and call it wonderful winter   10 inches of sleet/snow and 10 of rain would do nicely.  I'd be willing to give up the winters of 2055 thru 2058 in exchange!!   T

[bobbitt]

hmm so  what proof do u have , the qbo will stay postive for the winter ? I  seen proof too prove u wrong an it will be more neutral . U showed no proof the qbo will stay postive . plus u do realize a west based postive qbo favor's a west ridge not a south east ridge during  the winter ?  u can can call this winter neautral all u want but the facts are the pacific is a lot warmer this year then the last 2 winter's an this year the water  south of green land is even warmer there will be blocking its called a tri pole affect,have u notice the soi is neg now ? this winter want be your typicall neutral winter the mjo will turn active in dec an favor the midwest  too the eastern us just like it's been doing sense last spring , so maybe u need too look at my points cause ,i cover all the angle's on winter,

not just a bunch of number's now. as u know every winter is diffrent an the analogs are way over used in todays time when u have low solar an a solar max togeather u better look out cause nothing will be normal period .i think it's funny how u agree al is good? but he is wrong at the same time ? i am sure the way things sound from your end , he is a better forcaster than u ? maybe u

should have seen his qbo too nao analog for the winter .http://t.co/Ck2YbpZinL. one more thing let the facts show there a 60 too 70 percent chance of haveing a neg nao winter when haveing a bove normal eurasia into

east canada snow fall connection, that alone would favor the east an south east with a neg nao ..

[calculus1]

hmm so  what proof do u have , the qbo will stay postive for the winter ? I  seen proof too prove u wrong an it will be more neutral . U showed no proof the qbo will stay postive . plus u do realize a west based postive qbo favor's a west ridge not a south east ridge during  the winter ?  u can can call this winter neautral all u want but the facts are the pacific is a lot warmer this year then the last 2 winter's an this year the water  south of green land is even warmer there will be blocking its called a tri pole affect,have u notice the soi is neg now ? this winter want be your typicall neutral winter the mjo will turn active in dec an favor the midwest  too the eastern us just like it's been doing sense last spring , so maybe u need too look at my points cause ,i cover all the angle's on winter,

not just a bunch of number's now. as u know every winter is diffrent an the analogs are way over used in todays time when u have low solar an a solar max togeather u better look out cause nothing will be normal period .i think it's funny how u agree al is good? but he is wrong at the same time ? i am sure the way things sound from your end , he is a better forcaster than u ? maybe u

should have seen his qbo too nao analog for the winter .http://t.co/Ck2YbpZinL. one more thing let the facts show there a 60 too 70 percent chance of haveing a neg nao winter when haveing a bove normal eurasia into

east canada snow fall connection, that alone would favor the east an south east with a neg nao ..

 

Mr. Bobbitt, welcome to the board, but it's quite difficult to even attempt to decipher what you are trying to say here.  Perhaps you want to give it another shot?  You wouldn't happen to be the same Bobbitt that regularly posts on WxSouth's Facebook page, would you?

[Cold Rain]

hmm so what proof do u have , the qbo will stay postive for the winter ? I seen proof too prove u wrong an it will be more neutral . U showed no proof the qbo will stay postive . plus u do realize a west based postive qbo favor's a west ridge not a south east ridge during the winter ? u can can call this winter neautral all u want but the facts are the pacific is a lot warmer this year then the last 2 winter's an this year the water south of green land is even warmer there will be blocking its called a tri pole affect,have u notice the soi is neg now ? this winter want be your typicall neutral winter the mjo will turn active in dec an favor the midwest too the eastern us just like it's been doing sense last spring , so maybe u need too look at my points cause ,i cover all the angle's on winter,

not just a bunch of number's now. as u know every winter is diffrent an the analogs are way over used in todays time when u have low solar an a solar max togeather u better look out cause nothing will be normal period .i think it's funny how u agree al is good? but he is wrong at the same time ? i am sure the way things sound from your end , he is a better forcaster than u ? maybe u

should have seen his qbo too nao analog for the winter .http://t.co/Ck2YbpZinL. one more thing let the facts show there a 60 too 70 percent chance of haveing a neg nao winter when haveing a bove normal eurasia into

east canada snow fall connection, that alone would favor the east an south east with a neg nao ..

Awesome. First of all, it's not a good idea to get hammered and post. Secondly, it might work better to use more keys on the keyboard, for instance: . , "shift" "enter" -- they're not just hanging out near the letters for no reason -- they have a purpose. And thirdly, after basically telling Grit he has no idea what he's talking about, you insinuated that we're a bunch morons for complimenting his efforts.

So, well done friend....certainly one of the best introductory posts in a long, long time.

[rduwx]

hmm so  what proof do u have , the qbo will stay postive for the winter ? I  seen proof too prove u wrong an it will be more neutral . U showed no proof the qbo will stay postive . plus u do realize a west based postive qbo favor's a west ridge not a south east ridge during  the winter ?  u can can call this winter neautral all u want but the facts are the pacific is a lot warmer this year then the last 2 winter's an this year the water  south of green land is even warmer there will be blocking its called a tri pole affect,have u notice the soi is neg now ? this winter want be your typicall neutral winter the mjo will turn active in dec an favor the midwest  too the eastern us just like it's been doing sense last spring , so maybe u need too look at my points cause ,i cover all the angle's on winter,

not just a bunch of number's now. as u know every winter is diffrent an the analogs are way over used in todays time when u have low solar an a solar max togeather u better look out cause nothing will be normal period .i think it's funny how u agree al is good? but he is wrong at the same time ? i am sure the way things sound from your end , he is a better forcaster than u ? maybe u

should have seen his qbo too nao analog for the winter .http://t.co/Ck2YbpZinL. one more thing let the facts show there a 60 too 70 percent chance of haveing a neg nao winter when haveing a bove normal eurasia into

east canada snow fall connection, that alone would favor the east an south east with a neg nao ..

 

Why come across so condescending?  I think it's ok to disagree w/ a forecast and have your own ideas but I believe there are better ways to express that.  It sounds like you have a lot of knowledge about patterns and weather as a whole. Your ideas would be welcomed here in the future as long as it's not in an attacking or condescending way.  Griteater has been around for a while and has a reputation of being a top notch poster in the SE forum and we appreciate the hard work he did to put out a winter forecast even though most are hoping for a different outcome.  Btw, welcome to the board.

[Brick Tamland]

Brick, everything I've looked at and read shows a potential for a better winter than last year.  We have been in a pattern, save for a year here or there, of crappy winters.  There is a reason for that.  Different people will have different explanations, I'm sure, but until we start to see signs of that changing on a regular basis, the odds favor more crappiness than not, IMO.  I know that's vague, but persistence is driven by something real, even if we don't know for sure what it is...and it's hard to dislodge.

 

That said, I am encouraged that this winter will be better than last year's total failure (except for that one really nice all-day snow/sleet event).

 

I was encouraged by the cooler and wetter spring and summer. I hoped that meant the pattern for winter would be favorable for snow, too. But now I am starting to think it's just going to be the opposite. Cool and wet then, only to turn warmer and drier in the winter.