nrhardin Posted November 2, 2013 Share Posted November 2, 2013 one of my many met friends, is now backing me up for the winter, colder than normal south east . any one who knows enso an can see a neg epo takeing over .can see this coming . even a neg nao jumping in from time too time. just adds too it thanks. https://www.facebook.com/Wxeast?ref=stream&hc_location=stream Love this guy...please explain the enso/epo connection bc I'm honestly not familiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbitt Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 am not trying too say there is the connection they are a big factors thou , the mei is quickly on the rise an the 3.4 is starting too warm , which in turn will factor too a colder south east winter overall. now the neg epo is a plus too this puzzle, right now my thinking is a rough back end too the winter jan an feb colder than normal . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 Wrong thread, We are in November now. Those aren't all the pieces to the puzzle buddy. Just can't name all the positive factors( if there are any). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 Wrong thread, We are in November now. Those aren't all the pieces to the puzzle buddy. Just can't name all the positive factors( if there are any). Might be one of your best posts ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 Wrong thread, We are in November now. Those aren't all the pieces to the puzzle buddy. Just can't name all the positive factors( if there are any). Shhhhhh!! Don't bring logic into this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbitt Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 weel has u know some factors over ride other's so u can just name a few, cause that's all u need for a good pattern. the 4 most important are the nao the pdo the enso an the epo, i will go too november thread, that's fine , but people will realize am not stupid i know weather . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 weel has u know some factors over ride other's so u can just name a few, cause that's all u need for a good pattern. the 4 most important are the nao the pdo the enso an the epo, i will go too november thread, that's fine , but people will realize am not stupid i know weather . I hope you're right, and if you're right and we have a colder/snowier than normal winter, I'll be one of the first to congratulate you. But I'm not sure what evidence there is that the -PDO will abate, even though the Pacific looks somewhat better than last year. I'm not sure why the EPO is going to be predominantly negative. I'm not sure why the NAO will be predominantly negative. And I'm not sure why we'll have a weak Nino, even though there could be some minor warming. And I'm not sure why they'll all align together in the most favorable phases to bring us cold and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 weel has u know some factors over ride other's so u can just name a few cause that's all u need for a good pattern the 4 most important are the nao the pdo the enso an the epo, i will go too november thread, that's fine , but people will realize am not stupid i know weather .yes u now your stuffff e.asy to tell that. i"ts adjust the waycross you thipe thaaat makes it seem like. you aren't as knowledgeable as you sound. Should be fun having you around for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbitt Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 cold rain am thinking the weel known sabria snow connection will help aid in the epo an the nao for the winter, i think this lastest spike in the ao comes from the solar spiking but i think it's short term . i am shocked no one here has heard of the postive qbo solar max for late winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 cold rain am thinking the weel known snow sabria snow connection will help aid in the epo an the nao for the winter, i think this lastest spike in the ao comes from the solar spiking but i think it's short term . i am shocked no one here has heard of the postive qbo solar max for late winter. Maybe the AO is related to the increased solar activity of late. I don't know....I haven't seen any research supporting/refuting that. However, the research regarding Siberian snow cover this year seems to strongly suggest a moderate/strongly +AO for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 cold rain am thinking the weel known snow sabria snow connection will help aid in the epo an the nao for the winter, i think this lastest spike in the ao comes from the solar spiking but i think it's short term . i am shocked no one here has heard of the postive qbo solar max for late winter. Aware of the increased chances of a major midwinter warming (MMW) in the stratosphere during +QBO years combined with solar maximum conditions...we did just have a spike in solar flux as seen here, but I don't see any reason to believe that kind of spike will maintain itself. Here are the forecasted 10.7 cm solar flux values for the next 45 days. Those values are generally in the neutral range (105-150) as opposed to solar max conditions, and it looks like we've passed the smoothed sunspot peak for this solar cycle and are now on a slow decline...and even if you get the +QBO / Solar Max combo, based on posts I've read from folks that know way more than I do, there are a whole bunch of other factors that come into play in determining how susceptible the stratosphere is to a MMW (Tropospheric waves, ENSO, Ozone). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 cold rain am thinking the weel known snow sabria snow connection will help aid in the epo an the nao for the winter, i think this lastest spike in the ao comes from the solar spiking but i think it's short term . i am shocked no one here has heard of the postive qbo solar max for late winter. Either you are on crack or you are a second grader. Please stop! .... your posts are making my brain bleed. Let me give you a piece of advice. If you want to carry on an intelligent conversation with some of the more "informed" folks on this board, I suggest you learn how to spell and use correct grammar. Otherwise you will be continually patronized in regards to your posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbitt Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 if u don't leave me alone u could get cussed out, if for some reason u don't like my post inore me, only jealous people act like u . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 if u don't leave me alone u could get cussed out, if for some reason u don't like my post inore me, only jealous people act like u .Roflmfao. Love this guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 if u don't leave me alone u could get cussed out, if for some reason u don't like my post inore me, only jealous people act like u . What's the definition of inore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 if u don't leave me alone u could get cussed out, if for some reason u don't like my post inore me, only jealous people act like u . or you could get 5 posted/suspended/banned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbitt Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 if my post's were perfect ,there still be some one starting drama pointing out mistake's it's just a excuse for there drama . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 if my post's were perfect ,there still be some one starting drama pointing out mistake's it's just a excuse for there drama . Looks like you have one foot out the door already. You might as well leave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbitt Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 i thought there was a rule on this board of no personal attacks saying am a child or on drugs is personal. an u was reported an mistakes from post's shouldn't be made personal. i guess if u been here a while u can say what u want i don't know ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 i thought there was a rule on this board of no personal attacks saying am a child or on drugs is personal. an u was reported an mistakes from post's shouldn't be made personal. i guess if u been here a while u can say what u want i don't know ? You reported me!.....now that's funny! ......You have a real serious problem, but I am finished with you. it's someone else's turn to try and teach you the proper posting techniques on this forum. I'm sure Buckeyefan1 will be glad to explain it to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbitt Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 so proper posting is calling names too postors who made mistakes without editing them right . hmmm I will rember that thank's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 or you could get 5 posted/suspended/banned I doubt it. I seriously don't think he would spell the words well enough to be banned. ashoal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 A spelling and keyboarding class is needed in someone's future. In other news, one of the local radio stations is already blasting Christmas music. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrhardin Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 weel has u know some factors over ride other's so u can just name a few, cause that's all u need for a good pattern. the 4 most important are the nao the pdo the enso an the epo, i will go too november thread, that's fine , but people will realize am not stupid i know weather . I don't think anyone is doubting your familiarity of the weather. I hope you're right and we have the snowiest winter ever. I don't even attempt to make seasonal forecasts because it's just not my strength or background. Some people do it really well though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 Lol at this thread. I'd say the chances of a good old fashioned cuss-out this winter are above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 Lol at this thread. I'd say the chances of a good old fashioned cuss-out this winter are above normal. Thankfully, I don't really give a **** anymore. The only reason I want snow and cold is because I used to want snow and cold, much like the only reason I do anything in life anymore is because I used to want to do it. In recognizing that, it's a lot easier not to give a **** when it does or doesn't do anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 Thankfully, I don't really give a **** anymore. The only reason I want snow and cold is because I used to want snow and cold, much like the only reason I do anything in life anymore is because I used to want to do it. In recognizing that, it's a lot easier not to give a **** when it does or doesn't do anything. Common man, you know there's at least a little bit of excitement when we first start tracking a potential winter storm all the way to the actual storm. I almost enjoy the tracking as much as the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted November 3, 2013 Share Posted November 3, 2013 Common man, you know there's at least a little bit of excitement when we first start tracking a potential winter storm all the way to the actual storm. I almost enjoy the tracking as much as the storm. As with most things, I have more negative feelings than positive. The little bit of excitement is overwhelmed by a good many other thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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