H2O Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 4:55 PM, Ian said: nice gradient on the gfs gfs_tprecip_washdc_65.png Leesburg fringed again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 looks like a capture to me http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/PCPN/DATA/RT/na-wv-loop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 12z Euro continues to be a decent hit through 51 hrs, probably more beyond that but that's as far as Wunderground has updated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 5:03 PM, H2O said: Leesburg fringed againRight where I want to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 6:36 PM, leesburg 04 said: Right where I want to be I hate to break it to you, sorry, but you're fine on the 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 6:32 PM, mitchnick said: 12z Euro continues to be a decent hit through 51 hrs, probably more beyond that but that's as far as Wunderground has updated Ya looks like we will be seeing some Seattle weather the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 6:46 PM, EasternUSWX said: Ya look like we will be seeing some Seattle weather the next few days. the more the updates show up on Wunderground, the more rain there is Wunderground seems to skip some incremental maps while it's in the updating process so when it's done, bam! missing panels show a ton more qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 6:48 PM, mitchnick said: the more the updates show up on Wunderground, the more rain there is Wunderground seems to skip some incremental maps while it's in the updating process so when it's done, bam! missing panels show a ton more qpf Just waiting on WxBell maps to come out. Got the tropical plots but, not real helpful. Low pretty much hugs coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 6:51 PM, EasternUSWX said: Just waiting on WxBell maps to come out. Got the tropical plots but, not real helpful. Low pretty much hugs coast. this run gets decent qpf into NE too, unlike the prior ones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Most of the area is 1.5-2"+ thru 12z Sat with another .25-5" in the 48 hours of spritzing after. A few 3"+ spots near teh coast (off s DE/MD and off C NJ). 1" goes back to about MRB, Winchester etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 6:55 PM, Ian said: Most of the area is 1.5-2"+ thru 12z Sat with another .25-5" in the 48 hours of spritzing after. A few 3"+ spots near teh coast (off s DE/MD and off C NJ). 1" goes back to about MRB, Winchester etc. Wunderground map at 111 hrs has another big blob of decent qpf over us; is that right or just their maps screwed up while the model updates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 6:58 PM, mitchnick said: Wunderground map at 111 hrs has another big blob of decent qpf over us; is that right or just their maps screwed up while the model updates? my maps don't show much at 114 .. less than .05" in that 6 hours except right near the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 7:04 PM, Ian said: my maps don't show much at 114 .. less than .05" in that 6 hours except right near the coast ahh, OK, it must be just out of order or something (or even an old map maybe) until update is complete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 It's gonna rain, people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 I wouldn't call this a "bad" look for a 10 day map in October http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=nhem&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=10day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 12z Euro = Wow. Keeps it raining till Monday Evening. MD Eastern Shore: 4-5" MD Western Shore: 3-4" York/Lancaster/Caroll: 3-4" DC and NVA: 2-3" Norfolk to NYC: 4-5" Jersey Shore and SBY: 5"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 7:47 PM, wxmeddler said: 12z Euro = Wow. Keeps it raining till Monday Evening. MD Eastern Shore: 4-5" MD Western Shore: 3-4" York/Lancaster/Caroll: 3-4" DC and NVA: 2-3" Norfolk to NYC: 4-5" Jersey Shore and SBY: 5"+ If that verifies flooding will be a problem for some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 7:47 PM, wxmeddler said: 12z Euro = Wow. Keeps it raining till Monday Evening. MD Eastern Shore: 4-5" MD Western Shore: 3-4" York/Lancaster/Caroll: 3-4" DC and NVA: 2-3" Norfolk to NYC: 4-5" Jersey Shore and SBY: 5"+ How about back out west here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 7:53 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: How about back out west here? 88/73 and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 7:58 PM, mattie g said: 88/73 and sunny. lol. nothing would surprise me anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 8:03 PM, EastCoast NPZ said: lol. nothing would surprise me anymore. No doubt! I'm liking the idea of a decent amount of precipitation coming up, but I wish I would have been able to mow my lawn on Sunday after coming back from vacation late Saturday evening. I just didn't have the chance. Ugh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Posting Euro qpf is still technically against the law for maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 8:26 PM, Ian said: Posting Euro qpf is still technically against the law for maps. Hmm ok. Well the NAM is back to wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 I've seen them posted elsewhere more see CWG now but Ryan asked specifically not to post them or euro sfc temps. Any others are fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 8:37 PM, Ian said: I've seen them posted elsewhere more see CWG now but Ryan asked specifically not to post them or euro sfc temps. Any others are fine. what kind of ratios are we talking about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 4:55 PM, Ian said: nice gradient on the gfs gfs_tprecip_washdc_65.png Oh man poor The dude and Bethesda boy get shafted in the blue bubble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Either the GFS really sucks or is really on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 8:40 PM, Aviationdave said: what kind of ratios are we talking about?1:0.5(as in 1 forecast, 0.5 in actuality) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 How are the UVVs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 On 10/8/2013 at 7:26 PM, mitchnick said: I wouldn't call this a "bad" look for a 10 day map in October http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=nhem&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=10day&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Seasonal for us and snowing like crazy in Siberia. Sounds good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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