Brian5671 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 in 1979 we got both snow and heat and the winter suched...I'm not expecting a great winter...If the second half of December is good and we get some more snow in February I'll be fine with that...the winter of 1961-62 was like that...... 2011 had heat and snow...Columbus day was near 90 and we had snow 10/29 as you remember...awful winter followed...so maybe we want just heat? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 they would never forecast 80 this far out--watch those #'s go up as we get closer. (Same thing in the summer, rare to see them go 90-95 when we see the models going that way a week in advance) they basically did the same thing last week for this week...highs were in the 70-75 range and then look what happened. They will jump onboard sometime Monday/Tuesday after the Karen waste passes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 they basically did the same thing last week for this week...highs were in the 70-75 range and then look what happened. They will jump onboard sometime Monday/Tuesday after the Karen waste passes or the gfs will be right and 40s return Wednesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 today's highss: EWR: 89TEB: 90LGA: 86New bnswk: 88NYC: 86TTN: 86JFK: 80ISP: 82PHL: 86ACY: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 There's an awesome NE wind. I feel very cool now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Days since last rain EWR/NYC/LA/JFK: 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Days since last rain EWR/NYC/LA/JFK: 12 NYC looks like it reported a trace today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Kind of a neat little scenario showing up on the 00z NAM. It shows moisture coming in off the Atlantic and up the western side of the ridge very near the east coast along with the front still to our west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Kind of a neat little scenario showing up on the 00z NAM. It shows moisture coming in off the Atlantic and up the western side of the ridge very near the east coast along with the front still to our west This looks like the Frontal Boundary from July 1st, but it's cooler and bursting with moisture on the eastern side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Heavy rain right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 This is going to be the warmest first week relative to the means of any month so far this year. NYC...+11.1 1 82 59 71 9 2 83 64 74 12 3 78 63 71 10 4 86 66 76 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Anyone here want to leave their guess as to which October day is the first with a mean that 'equals' or comes in 'below' what it is suppose to be for that day. To me it seems a below normal mean this month may take till after the 21st. ! 850mb's stay above the usual 6-9C for this whole period maybe! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Looks like clouds will hug the area. Temps likely below forecast if thats the case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Euro has about .5 for early next week, then backs a costal storm into the area Thursday/Friday. Then we cool off by next Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 You can see where skies are clear EWR: 67 TTN: 76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Euro has about .5 for early next week, then backs a costal storm into the area Thursday/Friday. Then we cool off by next Monday looks like the euro has overn inch with this late week feature. GFS brings the ULL through with some tropical moisture mon - wed but no costal like the euro thu/fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 No 80 today, classic backdoor. Low clouds and steady at 67F with a NE wind here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 No 80 today, classic backdoor. Low clouds and steady at 67F with a NE wind here. Good. I can finally get some sleep today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 12pm: TEB: 70 NYC: 69 EWR: 68 LGA: 67 JFK: 70 ISP: 71 New Brnswick: 74 TTN: 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 some breaks of sun and temp to 73 now. TTN and places that stayed clear will break 80. Other places will depend on how much we clear over the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 some breaks of sun and temp to 73 now. TTN and places that stayed clear will break 80. Other places will depend on how much we clear over the next few hours. Starting to brighten up here at 71F. Winds now calm. Maybe we can make mid/upper 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Starting to brighten up here at 71F. Winds now calm. Maybe we can make mid/upper 70s. Upto 75 here 1pm rounup TEB: 72 NYC: 71 EWR: 72 LGA: 69 JFK: 73 ISP: 72 New Brunswick: 76 TTN: 79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Hot and sunny now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Turning out to be another gem today, tem p upto 78 here 2PM roundup TEB: 73 NYC: 74 EWR: 73 LGA: 71 JFK: 76 ISP: 74 New Brnswick: 79 TTN: 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 12z euro has .75+ of rain for early week. Its def not as hot for the end of next week, looks like we have back door issues also. Costal storm backs in south of us. Obv this is lala land on the op run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 12z euro has .75+ of rain for early week. Its def not as hot for the end of next week, looks like we have back door issues also. Costal storm backs in south of us. Obv this is lala land on the op runHow much rain from the coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 High shear and low cape heavy rain sounding for 0z Tuesday. It's possible that there could be an embedded meso in the line west of NYC during the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 How much rain from the coastal? its not until hr 220 it lifts north from mid-atlantic and we get in on the rain. def 1+ of rain, but this is way out in clown range. Looks like we get back to normal temps also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 its not until hr 220 it lifts north from mid-atlantic and we get in on the rain. def 1+ of rain, but this is way out in clown range. Looks like we get back to normal temps also The huge block centered over the NE and Canada really slows the northward progress to a crawl. An onshore flow looks like a good bet with the high moving off the New England Coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Todays highs TEB: 78 NYC: 76 EWR: 77 LGA: 73 JFK: 76 ISP: 76 New Brunswick: 80 TTN: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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