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October 2013 Observations & Discussions


Rtd208

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October 1995 was warm and wet...this year is warm and dry...a bad combo so it better get wetter soon...

Analogs are somewhat helpful when trying to make a seasonal forecast; but overall, the weather does not have a memory. 

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Looks like 32F is possible for Southern Westchester County.

 

Central Park should see it's closest temperature to freezing for the season to date with an early guess low of 32-34 degrees.

The 20's should be just north and west of the city.

 

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Drought slowly worsening now, really noticing the dried out grass and trees. Beautiful foliage though, one of the better ones I've seen in a long time. The gfs only gives us .25 or less with tonight and tomorrow and that's all for at least a week. It does have a close call with a low just offshore on Saturday.

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