TWCCraig Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Some ocean effect rain out east. Still warm out here, still have yet to drop below 40 so far this season. 46/28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 First flakes of the yr! 5 mins worth lol Us too, around 3 PM. Must be lake effect snow off of Lake Hopatcong, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Us too, around 3 PM. Must be lake effect snow off of Lake Hopatcong, ha. Alot of reports through out the Hudson Valley and NW CT of flakes in the air. 32/23 currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 32 currently. Got down to 31 for the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 i had to turn the heat on last night....looks like tonight will be the coldest for the urban areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Halloween looks mild and dry on the 00z euro. Nice to see as some have not had it in two years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 First hard frost of the season last night. Car had 32 degrees at 8AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Got down to a little under 34F this morning, expecting the growing season to effectively end tonight. Under freeze watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 It looks like the Euro is going with close to or a little above normal temps for November similar to the CFS. http://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2013/10/24/for-the-geeks-ecmwf-weekly-maps/ http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/monthly/images/CFSv2.z700.20131025.201311.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Looks like a legit rain threat coming next weekend. 00z Euro showed nearly 2" of rain for western sections and 1"+ for NYC and LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 It looks like the Euro is going with close to or a little above normal temps for November similar to the CFS. http://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2013/10/24/for-the-geeks-ecmwf-weekly-maps/ http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/monthly/images/CFSv2.z700.20131025.201311.gif This is actually good news for December if you like colder weather and snow - the NAO is going to be positive through at least the first couple weeks of November maybe longer and if the 1 month trend of positive vs. negative NAO holds it should go back to negative by the last week of November and stay negative through a good chunk of December -BUT one thing that is very concerning right now is the drought we are currently in -yes Upton actually used that word in yesterdays discussion - we have had 6 Decembers in a row with precip above 4 inches which has never happened before - another thing to worry about is that this fall is turning out similar to 2001 - mild and dry - we all remember how the 01 -02 winter turned out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 It looks like the Euro is going with close to or a little above normal temps for November similar to the CFS. http://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2013/10/24/for-the-geeks-ecmwf-weekly-maps/ http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/monthly/images/CFSv2.z700.20131025.201311.gif It'll probably end up like +1 to +2 for November with a +NAO but the high heights out west and by the Aleutians, NW Canada are promising. If that can stay with us this winter, then at the very least we could see interesting gradient events like in 1993-1994. If the NAO goes negative then it's even better as we could get some decent snow events. I won't like the fact we get a warm October and November as those have favored warmer, less snowy winters. Also the dryness is not promising either, but patterns can flip on a dime sometimes and what we see in fall may not be what we see in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Winds never decoupled so 36F for me. I've yet to reach my 35F low from Sunday night's cool shot. Tonight should really plummet, 25-32 possibly in suburbia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Latest analog package for D 10 has 1993 showing up third from the top: Like This Unlike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Latest analog package for D 10 has 1993 showing up third from the top: Like This Unlike Yeah but the Superstorm was in March of 1993 meaning that the November analog would have been the following winter after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Yeah but the Superstorm was in March of 1993 meaning that the November analog would have been the following winter after. I know. Mother nature can hold the superstorm, it was a pathetic 12" here. I'd take 93-94 over 92-93 any day. Of course just to clarify, a similar H5 pattern right now does not mean we'll continue being similar to 93-94 throughout the winter season. The comparisons could fall apart in a couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 I know. Mother nature can hold the superstorm, it was a pathetic 12" here. I'd take 93-94 over 92-93 any day. Of course just to clarify, a similar H5 pattern right now does not mean we'll continue being similar to 93-94 throughout the winter season. The comparisons could fall apart in a couple weeks. I was to young to remember 93 (7 years old) I would have been quite excited to see 4" of snow in the FL panhandle though. Why is it that people only care about snow? It's such a small percentage of weather events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 39.2 this morning, first time in the 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 I was to young to remember 93 (7 years old) I would have been quite excited to see 4" of snow in the FL panhandle though. Why is it that people only care about snow? It's such a small percentage of weather events. I think you just answered your own question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 12z euro mild and dry again for Halloween Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 I was to young to remember 93 (7 years old) I would have been quite excited to see 4" of snow in the FL panhandle though. Why is it that people only care about snow? It's such a small percentage of weather events. 93-94 wasn't just about snow, it had everything, record cold, snow, ice, long duration events, snow on the ground most of the winter. We lucked out particularly with the Feb 8-11 period with back to back storms totaling 24-30" but most places saw one third of that. 92-93 had the December superstorm (mostly rain and wind) and the March superstorm and little else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 I think you just answered your own question. I can understand getting excited over it, I do too, but some here act like it's the only weather event worthy of talking about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Widespread 60's and even a shot at 70 on 12/31/11/1 period ahead of the front on the 12z Euro. Continues to show the potential for 1"+ on 11/1 which will feel like a deluge after this month. A few days with dew points in the 60's as well, could see some thunderstorm activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 I can understand getting excited over it, I do too, but some here act like it's the only weather event worthy of talking about. Agree. I like discussing rain & wind events, warm spells and cool spells, anything about weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41078-fall-2013-banter-thread/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 I think you just answered your own question. lol. I was gonna say the same thing Last night dropped to 28.. Currently 49/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Frz warning up for my area! Growing season ends tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Frz warning up for my area! Growing season ends tonight We must've had just a slight frost last night. I noticed today that my tomato, eggplant and pepper plants were only slightly damaged. They'll be finished off tonight. I do have some brussels sprouts plants in my garden, which I started from seeds in the summer for a fall crop. They can handle freezing temps. So when we say the growing season ends tonight, it's for most but not all things. I'll be getting brussels sprouts in november when the rest of the garden is dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 Already 37/23 here... Growing season ended last night but its gonna be a good 3-5 degrees colder than last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted October 25, 2013 Share Posted October 25, 2013 U.S. nationwide radar mosaic about as quiet as it ever gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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