IsentropicLift Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 GL cutter on the Euro. North32America_msl_180.gif The Euro focuses on a different piece of energy and takes the system OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Euro is even colder for next week. Urban areas flirt with 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 ewr's most recent late october record low is 30 set on 23 oct 1997. pattern: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 euro forecast: similar pattern but a few degrees warmer in this area at h85 and higher thicknesses. more anomalously cold to our sw, however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 ewr's most recent late october record low is 30 set on 23 oct 1997. pattern: ] What was their low during the october snow 2 years ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 33 during the storm, 32 the morning of the 31st... neither were records Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 What was their low during the october snow 2 years ago? 33, they didn't drop below 32 until 12/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Showers incoming...perhaps a few hundredths of an inch to moisten the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 That line in central PA continues to look impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Got a little drizzle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Did we have a plus ten today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Did we have a plus ten today?Had a +9 for the high and +15 for the low for a +12 here for the day. Also a very impressive 0.01 in. of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Anyone see this sneak into the AFD? .FIRE WEATHER...DRY FUELS...FCST RH DROPPING TO 30-35 PERCENT...AND WEST WINDSGUSTING UP TO 25 MPH MAY PROMOTE FIRE WX GROWTH ON FRI...WITH THEMAIN FOCUS ON NYC METRO AND NE NJ. THIS WILL BE PARTIALLYDEPENDENT ON EXTENT/AMOUNTS OF PRECIP TONIGHT...ATTM EXPECTWETTING RAINS OF 1/10 TO 1/4 INCH REMAIN NW OF NYC. WILL UPDATEFWF WITH ENHANCED WORDING. Getting very dry out there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Gorgeous day. 59, breezy and sunny now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Beautiful morning. Nice and cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Imperator Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2013/10/17/beware-of-faulty-flaky-facebook-weather-forecasts/ I think people are finally waking up to all the overboard BS happening in weather circles. ..and for good laughs: https://www.facebook.com/weatherpolice?fref=ts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Departures through the 17th w/ monthly precip NYC: +6.4 (0.29) LGA: +5.5 (0.38) JFK: +5.6 (0.28) EWR: +6.3 (0.40) TTN: +7.0 (1.48) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Still looks like the strongest departures of the coming cold shot will occur between 10/24 and 10/30. Still think first frost and freeze likely for many. Will be close into metro NY/NJ. Overall guidance continues to look mainly dry or limited precip the next week. We should see a brief warmup between the first cold shot and perhaps a reload towards Halloween and early Nov. Beyond there I suspect we see a return toeards more normal temps into the first week of Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Dry, boring pattern continues. No rain in the forceable future. Headed for an all out drought soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Dry, boring pattern continues. No rain in the forceable future. Headed for an all out drought soon. Well it could help us radiate better next week, giving us colder lows, potential frost and freezes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Still looks like the strongest departures of the coming cold shot will occur between 10/24 and 10/30. Still think first frost and freeze likely for many. Will be close into metro NY/NJ. Overall guidance continues to look mainly dry or limited precip the next week. We should see a brief warmup between the first cold shot and perhaps a reload towards Halloween and early Nov. Beyond there I suspect we see a return toeards more normal temps into the first week of Nov. this Octobers temperatures are a far cry from 1964 which I am using as an analog...But precipitation which was a record 0.14" in 1964 is close this year with 0.29"...The month could end up as a top ten driest October... driest... 0.14" in 1964...la nina winter 0.28" in 1924...la nina winter... 0.43" in 1879...neutral- winter... 0.59" in 1892...la nina winter... 0.66" in 2001...neutral- winter... 0.66" in 1909...la nina winter... 0.67" in 2000...la nina winter... 0.72" in 1897...neutral- winter... 0.78" in 1918...el nino winter... 0.85" in 1946...neutral- winter... 0.88" in 1921...neutral- winter... out of the eleven driest Octobers only one was an el nino year...The others were neutral negative or la nina years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Well it could help us radiate better next week, giving us colder lows, potential frost and freezes. Yeah, because that's something to look forward to......FAIL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 this Octobers temperatures are a far cry from 1964 which I am using as an analog...But precipitation which was a record 0.14" in 1964 is close this year with 0.29"...The month could end up as a top ten driest October... driest... 0.14" in 1963...el nino winter 0.28" in 1924...la nina winter... 0.43" in 1879...neutral- winter... 0.59" in 1892...la nina winter... 0.66" in 2001...neutral- winter... 0.66" in 1909...la nina winter... 0.67" in 2000...la nina winter... 0.72" in 1897...neutral- winter... 0.78" in 1918...el nino winter... 0.85" in 1946...neutral- winter... 0.88" in 1921...neutral- winter... out of the eleven driest Octobers only two were el nino years...The others were neutral negative or la nina years... Unc - you mean 63? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Unreal drought here. Any chance we break this pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 This pattern is unreal. We finally get good blocking and it ends up being too strong. Now we're going to have a trough, but the axis is going to be well offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Yet looking at the drought monitor, it doesn't seem all too bad, more abnormally dry areas are showing up but nothing severe. I do fear this will continue into winter where we miss out on storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 A far as the October warmth goes, it's been so warm that my coldest low was nearly a month ago in September so far this meteorological fall, not to mention it dropped into the 40s at least 6 times in September vs. only twice this month. So given all that, this upcoming cool down is much needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 A far as the October warmth goes, it's been so warm that my coldest low was nearly a month ago in September so far this meteorological fall, not to mention it dropped into the 40s at least 6 times in September vs. only twice this month. So given all that, this upcoming cool down is much needed. We don't need to jump from September to January in one weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 We don't need to jump from September to January in one weekend. 30s and 40s for lows is not January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 30s and 40s for lows is not January The 00z Euro had the NW burbs not getting out of the 40's for a few days next week and a shot at lows below freezing around Halloween. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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