IWXwx Posted October 29, 2013 Share Posted October 29, 2013 http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?map.x=146&map.y=168&site=dtx&zmx=1&zmy=1#.Um_Utfkgfg3 This busted for everyone? Reminds me of the Mayan Calendar Forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 29, 2013 Share Posted October 29, 2013 Halloween is looking more and more like a washout from start to finish. Looks like a Geos soaker! Less precip around here but looks like it could be a half decent wind event, 50mph gusts IMBY and for YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 29, 2013 Share Posted October 29, 2013 I could see us flirting with wind advisory criteria for a while on Thursday if temps can warm up a bit more than currently progged (steeper low level lapse rates for more efficient mixing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 29, 2013 Share Posted October 29, 2013 I could see us flirting with wind advisory criteria for a while on Thursday if temps can warm up a bit more than currently progged (steeper low level lapse rates for more efficient mixing). Thought I'd share these maps since I just discovered them and they look pretty nifty. Choppy waters: 9 foot waves on Michigan Thursday afternoon. Later in the evening 7 footers on the north shore of Erie, 12 footers up near Bruce Peninsula. Thursday 18Z map: Friday 06Z map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 29, 2013 Share Posted October 29, 2013 Getting some filtered sun now. Still cool near 47°. Alex - the EURO from last night I know favors the later half of the day for rain on Thursday. Some rain in the early morning with the warm front. Looks like a lot of moisture sent your direction starting about midnight and definitely going through morning rush hour, then windy. GFS - a real soaker before daybreak and in the afternoon. I guess kids can trick o'treat with an umbrella! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 29, 2013 Share Posted October 29, 2013 18z NAM has 60+ kt winds as low as 900 mb and fcst soundings show it's close to getting tapped into even outside of showers/storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 29, 2013 Share Posted October 29, 2013 Peaked at 49°. Was nice to see some sun today - wasn't expecting that until Friday. 15 days since it hit 60° last. 18z GFS total rainfall through 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted October 29, 2013 Share Posted October 29, 2013 Wow that's a lot of rain. This could end up being a pretty intense wind & rain storm for the GTA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 29, 2013 Share Posted October 29, 2013 Wow that's a lot of rain. This could end up being a pretty intense wind & rain storm for the GTA Certainly the most exciting system in a few weeks. I'm biased though because I love wind events haha. EC will almost certainly have a special weather statement out for this one, maybe wind warnings across the St. Catherine's region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted October 30, 2013 Share Posted October 30, 2013 Certainly the most exciting system in a few weeks. I'm biased though because I love wind events haha. EC will almost certainly have a special weather statement out for this one, maybe wind warnings across the St. Catherine's region. The winds should help knock off the existing leafs on the trees for sure, will be a nice fall storm with strong gusting winds and decent rains of about 25-30mm or 1". Cold morning today, YYZ got down to about 26.5F, or around -3.1C, and Vaughan, my area, got down to 24F or around -4.5C. Certainly the only real exciting thing i see for the next 1-2 weeks, looks like a prominent zonal pattern with warm-ups and cool downs, up and down. Nice way to end off October though and ring in a new month. Going to suck for the trick and treaters haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 30, 2013 Share Posted October 30, 2013 56/32 high/low here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 30, 2013 Share Posted October 30, 2013 A little bit of clearing has allowed for some cooling tonight. Down to 41° at UGN with some haze in the air. Starting Sunday DST ends. Will be getting dark at 5:30, which I don't really like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 30, 2013 Share Posted October 30, 2013 Looking forward to some rain tomorrow and tomorrow night. The system is pretty much a run-of-the-mill rain event around here, but it'll be nice to see some rain. Pattern overall is fairly boring, with the lack of any real powerhouse fall storm systems that we could see this time of year. Been pretty cold the past several weeks, so a switch to a warmer pattern in coming weeks isn't surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 30, 2013 Share Posted October 30, 2013 Looking forward to some rain tomorrow and tomorrow night. The system is pretty much a run-of-the-mill rain event around here, but it'll be nice to see some rain. Pattern overall is fairly boring, with the lack of any real powerhouse fall storm systems that we could see this time of year. Been pretty cold the past several weeks, so a switch to a warmer pattern in coming weeks isn't surprising. Given that the averages are falling fast, will probably become more seasonable in November. Which is probably good, considering I'd rather save the good troughs for December. Warming up now with more of a marine influence. Probably can open the windows tomorrow night a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 30, 2013 Share Posted October 30, 2013 Models have been shifting the heavier rain southeastward, putting east-central Iowa on a gradient. Waterloo may be lucky to get a half inch while the Quad Cities gets 1.5+". The NAM even has CR down to only a quarter inch as the secondary piece of energy misses to the southeast. If CR can get 0.75"-1.00" I'll be happy. While doing some end-of-season digging in the garden in the last couple weeks I found the soil to be quite dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 30, 2013 Share Posted October 30, 2013 Rain and t-storm starting to make there way into the subforum along the warm front. Low stratus deck here this morning, but warmer at 52°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 62° for the last day of October. Too bad it was raining all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 1.04" of rain at ORD today makes it the 4th wettest Halloween on record. 1. 2.26" - 1994 2. 1.41" - 1871 3. 1.27" - 1941 4. 1.04" - 2013 5. 0.75" - 1912 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Seems like I just posted a monthly summary. Man time is flying. Oct was a pretty decent month here. Started with some respectable warmth, and ended up with a nice rain event to end the month. The early season snow system on the 22nd was probably the highlight of the month, when 1" of snow fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Temp still falling here. Gonna have to wait for the midnight obs, to get the low. Highlight was the 5 minute snow shower a week ago and the rain/t-storms event from the 4th-6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 My ending stats. Overall a cool and wet month. Month was kind of bipolar. haha Definitely will be remembered for the persisting cool/cold weather after mid-month. 15 day below normal, 1 normal, 15 above normal. Can't get much more of an even distribution of highs for a 31 day month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Ended up with 1.59" for the day here at KDTW which is a daily record for Halloween. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Finished the storm with 0.54" of rain. My October rainfall total was 1.96, which makes it four straight months with less than 2 inches of rain. My total since July 1st is only 6.83". The trees in and around my yard are currently as colorful as they ever get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 A wet month in NW lower.... I had 13" here for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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